July 2023 PNW Observations and Discussions

[Rubus Leucodermis]

0.11" and counting.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Phishy Wx said:

nope, only pay for sewer.  seems wasteful.  I'm in an irrigation district technically, most of this area use to be farmland at one point.  Apparently if you use a huge amount over your given allotment, they charge overages for water use.  I guess ive never gotten close, I've never had a bill

That's cool. I have a well, which is nice, but not so much when the pump goes out. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

25 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Isn't it always dry in the summer out there? IDK, maybe you typically get more precip with thunderstorms, but it essentially does not rain here from 4th of July through Labor Day... EVER. Might get a couple drops today.

Today is my highest total IMBY for that timeframe since I moved here in 2017....0.04" ..... woot

[Phishy Wx]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That's cool. I have a well, which is nice, but not so much when the pump goes out. 

even our sewer is a fixed bill and the same $48 every month.  not by volume

[Omegaraptor]

Drops starting to fall here

[T-Town]

.01 here. If that’s it then that will be lame. 

[TT-SEA]

Just a few sprinkles here with that initial band.   Not enough to even wet the driveway.    And now I can see the sun through the clouds.   64 degrees. 

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, T-Town said:

.01 here. If that’s it then that will be lame. 

Just the initial “Ice breaker” band. Still think we get 0.10-0.20” later tonight. 

[TacomaWx]

Got down to 56 this morning…up to 63 now. Should be our first sub 70 high since mid June IIRC. 

[FroYoBro]

It smells funny out here!

[Cold Snap]

Only have picked up .02” so far. Rained a bit earlier but just cloudy here now. Hopefully I can get more out of this. Looks like there’s some heavier stuff off the coast right now but I’m not sure how far inland it will make it.

[Cold Snap]

4 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Interesting yellow glow in Bellingham as the sun rises to the east with rain approaching from the west.   Almost looks like a bad smoke day.

I got up to go to the bathroom around 6 and noticed that same thing. I thought smoke had returned until I peeked through the blinds out my window and saw it was just the sunrise. It was pretty cool to see. I should have taken a pic.

[the_convergence_zone]

4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Just the initial “Ice breaker” band. Still think we get 0.10-0.20” later tonight. 

According to the HRRR I'll get another 0.01" to add to the 0.01" that I got this morning. But it does look like there will be some embedded heavier showers in that band so there will be some winners. 

Need to get the sun out today to build up the surface CAPE before that secondary line moves in. Getting up to 75 F would be ideal. 

[Phishy Wx]

I wish some moisture would make it over here.  doubtful.  just a passing dry cold front, breezy conditions and increased fire danger.  it least it going to cool off for a couple days

[SunAndSnow]

There’s something falling from the sky! Didn’t think we’d get anything today. 

[SnowWillarrive]

39 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Just a few sprinkles here with that initial band.   Not enough to even wet the driveway.    And now I can see the sun through the clouds.   64 degrees. 

Bust

[Front Ranger]

Raining at PDX!

Looks like HQM is the big winner so far with .29

[TT-SEA]

Total remaining precip per 12Z ECMWF... 1 p.m. today through 1 p.m. tomorrow.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Total remaining precip per 12Z ECMWF... 1 p.m. today through 1 p.m. tomorrow.

Over an inch more yet to come! That would be awesome!

Now at 0.19" and counting. 58.2°F… cooler than it was at daybreak.

[Phishy Wx]

oof

 

 

[TT-SEA]

SEA will not have a sub-60 day and will not have a totally dry July. 

It's currently 63 there and the ECMWF shows it getting up to around 70 this afternoon.    And .01 has been officially recorded there so far.

[Front Ranger]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

SEA will not have a sub-60 day and will not have a totally dry July. 

It's currently 63 there and the ECMWF shows it getting up to around 70 this afternoon.    And .01 has been officially recorded there so far.

Did anyone actually think that would happen today?

With the trough moving inland over the next couple days, I would think onshore flow will be stronger and model bias will be to the warm side Tue-Wed at least.

[ShawniganLake]

0.03” so far.  ️ 

First rainfall in 36 days. 

[MossMan]

Dry and windy.

.03” on the day.

60 degrees.,

It’s over. What a lame dry arctic front. 

[Front Ranger]

12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Total remaining precip per 12Z ECMWF... 1 p.m. today through 1 p.m. tomorrow.

Flow looks favorable for Olympia to Seattle. Lots of folks should do well late this afternoon and evening.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

Did anyone actually think that would happen today?

With the trough moving inland over the next couple days, I would think onshore flow will be stronger and model bias will be to the warm side Tue-Wed at least.

Don't think you are right about the next couple of days.   The trough moves inland through southern Canada and not to our east.   This is a big difference and its not a marine layer locking in type of set up.   The ECMWF is not that warm anyways so its probably going to be close.  

Here is Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon:

[TT-SEA]

Wow... PNW is the place to be later this week.   Such a large area of extreme heat by Friday.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Wow... PNW is the place to be later this week.   Such a large area of extreme heat by Friday.

Summer is hot. 

[BLI snowman]

Pretty heavy trace here so far. Cracks in the ground seem mildly irritated. 

[Deweydog]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Summer is hot. 

Could be hoter.

I feel like we’ve left a lot of 500mb money on the table this warm season. Lots of room for improvement moving forward into 2024 and beyond.

Despite that, PDX has guaranteed the setting of the record for 85+ degree days through the end of July. Wat will August bring???

[Rubus Leucodermis]

11:50 AM, almost high noon, and the temperature continues to fall. Now down to 57.7°F. 0.24" and counting.

[Front Ranger]

32 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Don't think you are right about the next couple of days.   The trough moves inland through southern Canada and not to our east.   This is a big difference and its not a marine layer locking in type of set up.   The ECMWF is not that warm anyways so its probably going to be close.  

Here is Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon:

Yeah, looks more reasonable than the GFS.

[Front Ranger]

6 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Could be hoter.

I feel like we’ve left a lot of 500mb money on the table this warm season. Lots of room for improvement moving forward into 2024 and beyond.

Despite that, PDX has guaranteed the setting of the record for 85+ degree days through the end of July. Wat will August bring???

85 is a pretty low bar to measuring "heat" when the average high is 82-83 now.

[Ray]

Had a few random drops of rain so far this morning.  Now it looks as if the sun is trying to break through.  Maybe we will have better luck this afternoon or evening.  

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

85 is a pretty low bar to measuring "heat" when the average high is 82-83 now.

Actually, PDX’s average high is 84 beginning today through 8/5. Ironically, it appears there may be a serious dearth of 85+ degree days between now and then. Crazy!!

[Phishy Wx]

Impressive time period of record

 

 

[Omegaraptor]

Phoenix’s sensor has been down for an hour and a half now.

Are they fixing it???

[Omegaraptor]

33 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

85 is a pretty low bar to measuring "heat" when the average high is 82-83 now.

The very consistent warmth seems to be the story, rather than extreme heat.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

53 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

11:50 AM, almost high noon, and the temperature continues to fall. Now down to 57.7°F. 0.24" and counting.

I am jealous of your rain...

[Phishy Wx]

21 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Phoenix’s sensor has been down for an hour and a half now.

Are they fixing it???

too hot