July 2023 PNW Observations and Discussions

[TT-SEA]

Phil is coming a day too late... his days are not nearly as cold or wet.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Nice uptick for King County on the 00Z GFS and back to showing a very chilly day tomorrow.

76 and cloudy in Salem. Probably fairly humid and uncomfortable. 

[TT-SEA]

22 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

76 and cloudy in Salem. Probably fairly humid and uncomfortable. 

 Phil will be right with you.   

[SnowWillarrive]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

76 and cloudy in Salem. Probably fairly humid and uncomfortable. 

Probably hit 90 in Eugene 

[Phil]

6 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Nah... just hope we have regular rain mixed in.   My bet is on an early spring next year too.

Next summer is gonna be f**king awful out here. Already looks pretty clear-cut, post-niño and descending +QBO with likely -NPMM/+AMM re-emergence. Worst setup since 2010 at least.

[TacomaWx]

Really doubt we see 0.44” IMBY. But would not complain if we do! 

[the_convergence_zone]

17 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Really doubt we see 0.44” IMBY. But would not complain if we do! 

I’ll be happy with a tenth. The first storm after an extended dry period is almost always an underperformer and the central sound is going to be somewhat rain shadowed. 

[BLI snowman]

That wet asphalt smell tomorrow is going to be heavenly.

[LowerGarfield]

My parents wanted to visit from CA in the fall. Told them if they wanted to explore the Idaho panhandle or areas north of Spokane, late Oct or Nov might be a bit late in the season. I hope that doesn't jinx us on the east side. I am also going on a trip during Presidents Day so knowing my luck we'll probably have several inches of snow.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Phil is coming a day too late... his days are not nearly as cold or wet.  

Fully expect those mid-80s temps to approach 90F.

[lowlandsnow]

 

It's coming at 10,000 ft 8 inches of snow. 

Mount Baker Weather Forecast (3285m) (mountain-forecast.com)

Mount Baker Weather (Days 0-3): A moderate fall of snow, heaviest on Mon night. Freeze-thaw conditions (max 4\°C on Sun afternoon, min -6\°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SSW on Mon afternoon, light winds from the SW by Wed morning).									(Days 3-6): Mostly dry. Freeze-thaw conditions (max 3\°C on Fri night, min -4\°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.
°C	Sun 23		Monday 24			Tuesday 25			Wednesday 26			Thursday 27			Friday 28
°F	PM	night	AM	PM	night	AM	PM	night	AM	PM	night	AM	PM	night	AM	PM	night
	clear	clear	cloudy	light snow	snow shwrs	snow shwrs	snow shwrs	clear	clear	some clouds	some clouds	some clouds	some clouds	clear	clear	some clouds	some clouds
Wind mph	25	25	20	35	20	15	15	10	10	10	15	5	5	5	5	5	15
See all weather maps
in	—	—	—	0.4	6	0.4	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
in	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Max °F	39	39	32	30	27	23	27	28	30	30	32	25	27	30	30	32	37
Min °F	37	34	30	30	21	21	25	27	30	30	27	25	27	28	30	32	36
Feels °F	19	18	14	10	3	9	14	14	18	19	18	18	19	19	21	25	23

[Deweydog]

At this point I’d be happy with just some drops in the error.

[Phil]

Another night, another being jarred awake by a barrage of lightning strikes at 350AM.

Some of these are hitting within 500 feet or less. Like right out there. Maybe 1 or 2 houses down.

[Blizzard777]

Wow! What a sunrise with approaching storm  !!! beautiful colors currently 

 

 

 

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

Wow! What a sunrise with approaching storm  !!! beautiful colors currently 

 

 

 

I told my wife it will be raining by morning.  Still basically clear here with a beautiful sunrise in progress.   I am going to be told I was wrong when she wakes up at 6.    But she doesn't even know how to check the radar so she won't know it's still coming and she will be pleasantly surprised later this morning.  

[TT-SEA]

4 hours ago, Phil said:

Another night, another being jarred awake by a barrage of lightning strikes at 350AM.

Some of these are hitting within 500 feet or less. Like right out there. Maybe 1 or 2 houses down.

You should sleep soundly here... unfortunately we don't have this problem.

[TT-SEA]

Not much of a roller coaster on the 06Z GFS... just a steady climb.    Would be nice to have a day like today mixed in every week.

[TT-SEA]

Interesting yellow glow in Bellingham as the sun rises to the east with rain approaching from the west.   Almost looks like a bad smoke day.

[TT-SEA]

@Phil... didn't you say your mom and sister were in this crowd last night?    They had perfect weather.

[Omegaraptor]

Still sunny here although the front is only a couple dozen miles away.

[Chewbacca Defense]

It’s sticking!!!!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

What a treat to wake to rain! .04" so far. 58.8˚F.

[Chewbacca Defense]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Interesting yellow glow in Bellingham as the sun rises to the east with rain approaching from the west.   Almost looks like a bad smoke day.

It was really wild, I woke up to this and yeah, the first thing I registered was that my blinds had that crazy yellow/orange hue to it, and looked out the window to see that sky

I snagged this picture about 20 minutes later of the morning sun hitting the trees with the dark clouds behind it.  I was reading on FB there was an incredible rainbow at sunrise, and folks up in the north county got treated to an incredible sunrise.

 

 

Edit: and Phil will be telling me that one of those trees is sick in 3.....2.......1.......

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

@Phil... didn't you say your mom and sister were in this crowd last night?    They had perfect weather.

Andrew was secretly there. He had a lot of pictures saved up about Ashland and K-Falls to cover his tracks.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

@Phil... didn't you say your mom and sister were in this crowd last night?    They had perfect weather.

Yes they were. Sent me this pic.

[Phil]

20 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

It was really wild, I woke up to this and yeah, the first thing I registered was that my blinds had that crazy yellow/orange hue to it, and looked out the window to see that sky

I snagged this picture about 20 minutes later of the morning sun hitting the trees with the dark clouds behind it.  I was reading on FB there was an incredible rainbow at sunrise, and folks up in the north county got treated to an incredible sunrise.

 

 

Edit: and Phil will be telling me that one of those trees is sick in 3.....2.......1.......

Lmao. They look happy to me!

@MossMan has sickest tree award locked up already.

[T-Town]

Raining!!!

[Phil]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

You should sleep soundly here... unfortunately we don't have this problem.

Mixed feelings, lol. Always love a thunderstorm, but would rather it not happen at 3AM. Last 3 storms have all been in the middle of the night, including the angry MCS that trashed the neighborhood the other night. Good for lightning visuals but not much else.

Still good to have the rain before ridging cranks up temps (and kills off all clouds/storms) later this week.

[MossMan]

8 minutes ago, Phil said:

Lmao. They look happy to me!

@MossMan has sickest tree award locked up already.

Sick Phil is doing great!! Still sick as ever! 

[MossMan]

48 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

It’s sticking!!!!

Noting here yet…I’m getting close to going Jim level postal pretty soon.

Edited July 24, 2023 by MossMan

[TT-SEA]

My phone says today had better work out. Not really optimistic about rainfall amounts during the day but there should be better dynamics out here tonight with a c-zone signature shown in the models.

[LowerGarfield]

It's smoky out at my location and yet we're still in green. Mouth a bit dry from the smoke though. If the high winds can blow the smoke away without starting new fires, the next two days look nice with low 80's - basically the last three or four weeks have been like that. Mondays: breezy, high fire danger, Tue/Wed much cooler and pleasant, Thur: temp warms back up fri-sun: hot. Although the second half of the week is about 90 instead of 95 or 100.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like the smoke is pretty bad in Central Oregon. All the smoke from the fire near Eugene has settled in there...

[the_convergence_zone]

Officially measurable rain, 0.01!

Looks like this front had a rough time with the dry air over Puget Sound, I don't think I'm going to get more than a few hundreths with this initial line. Maybe more this evening...

[Phishy Wx]

so dry this summer If had to add a 2nd daily watering cycle to keep the grass green. if I had my way I'd just let die in the summer but the HOA has other ideas.  oof

[SilverFallsAndrew]

35 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

so dry this summer If had to add a 2nd daily watering cycle to keep the grass green. if I had my way I'd just let die in the summer but the HOA has other ideas.  oof

Isn't it always dry in the summer out there? IDK, maybe you typically get more precip with thunderstorms, but it essentially does not rain here from 4th of July through Labor Day... EVER. Might get a couple drops today.

Edited July 24, 2023 by SilverFallsAndrew

[Phishy Wx]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Isn't it always dry in the summer out there? IDK, maybe you typically get more precip with thunderstorms, but it essentially does not rain here from 4th of July through Labor Day... EVER. Might get a couple drops today.

it is, but we usually get a few downpours here and there if there is a decent monsoon.  nothing since a downpour one evening in June.

[Omegaraptor]

Some yellow on the radar along Highway 47 Forest Grove to McMinnville. Hopefully it holds together.

[the_convergence_zone]

48 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

so dry this summer If had to add a 2nd daily watering cycle to keep the grass green. if I had my way I'd just let die in the summer but the HOA has other ideas.  oof

Do you pay by volume for water? I was shocked the first time I was in Tri-Cities in the summer and there was green grass everywhere. Nobody waters their lawns in Seattle unless they want a $500 water bill. 

[Phishy Wx]

5 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Do you pay by volume for water? I was shocked the first time I was in Tri-Cities in the summer and there was green grass everywhere. Nobody waters their lawns in Seattle unless they want a $500 water bill. 

nope, only pay for sewer.  seems wasteful.  I'm in an irrigation district technically, most of this area use to be farmland at one point.  Apparently if you use a huge amount over your given allotment, they charge overages for water use.  I guess ive never gotten close, I've never had a bill