July 2023 PNW Observations and Discussions

[TT-SEA]

Not only is this troughing period very much needed... it is timed perfectly too.    Sunny and warm all of this weekend with rain on Monday and then sunny warm again by next weekend.   

[Phishy Wx]

WOW

 

[TacomaWx]

Could be the biggest daily rainfall IMBY since 5/5. Wouldn’t take much though just 0.18”. 
 Not so sure we see more than 0.33” or so out of this…but it could also end up the wettest July day since 7/17/19 (0.37”). 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

I still don’t buy it. I expect a dry Monday. 

[TT-SEA]

8 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I still don’t buy it. I expect a dry Monday. 

ECMWF actually does show it being dry in your area on Monday.  Rain is down here and to your north.

[TT-SEA]

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

48 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF actually does show it being dry in your area on Monday.  Rain is down here and to your north.

Shadow.

[Deweydog]

@Front Ranger

[T-Town]

2 hours ago, TacomaWx said:

Could be the biggest daily rainfall IMBY since 5/5. Wouldn’t take much though just 0.18”. 
 Not so sure we see more than 0.33” or so out of this…but it could also end up the wettest July day since 7/17/19 (0.37”). 

First rain with my new weather station!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Upper Williamson River. Klamath County, Oregon. 

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

4 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Seattle may stay below 75F all next week. That is an incredible win for the dead of summer in our warming climate during a developing mod-strong El Niño.

California's 13th coolest June on record for Downtown LA (since 1877) for the average high was even a bigger win.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like we need another jersey from @TigerWoodsLibido!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

And there’s another 90F burger!

[TacomaWx]

29 minutes ago, T-Town said:

First rain with my new weather station!

80 degrees #20 this year. 

[YahRaEl]

Just now, TacomaWx said:

80 degrees #20 this year. 

83° here at Eastside Tacoma Neighborhood 

 

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, ChristheElohim said:

83° here at Eastside Tacoma Neighborhood 

 

Normally would be quite a bit cooler on a day like today with offshore flow…but with onshore flow my area is just as warm as anywhere else. 

[Phil]

6 hours ago, Snownerd3000 said:

 

Holy crap. That is insane.

5 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

This is a pretty hilarious argument. Just because the climate system does change rapidly once every now and again, doesn't mean we should cause it ourselves! That would be like saying we should be allowed to drive drunk because car accidents happen regardless of inebriation, and will always be bad. I consider you to be a fairly intelligent guy Phil and I think after a moment of thought you'd agree.

The consequences will be just as harsh and avoidable as any instance of naturally originating climate change. Why do that to ourselves, especially if we know how 'violent' and 'disruptive' it would be to our lives according to your own words?

Also, I can read between lines. Clearly you are not convinced of the anthropogenicity of modern day global warming. I'm going to go out on a limb and say that (internally) you only 'admit' to roughly ~25% human influence. That would be pretty laughable given the gamut of evidence suggesting otherwise. I'd love to hear your complete honest thoughts on the matter though... And rest assured you will not hear regurgitated CNN talking points in return.

I don’t think you read the entirety of my post. I wasn’t saying we should cause it, I’m saying we should put more emphasis on adaptive measures.

[Phil]

What we really need is for Yellowstone to pop off.  

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Phil said:

What we really need is for Yellowstone to pop off.  

But you already admitted this is a joke and you don't really want it to happen.    

[Cold Snap]

23 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

80 degrees #20 this year. 

#18 for the year for me today.

[YahRaEl]

4 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

#18 for the year for me today.

#30 at Eastside Tacoma Neighborhood #31 Spanaway 

[TacomaWx]

Couple of wildfires visible on satellite imagery. Flat fire in SW OR and then a fire in southern WA near the Columbia river. Overall could be a lot worse with how dry it’s been recently. Should hopefully help (atleast in WA and BC) the rain coming early next week. I wouldn’t be surprised if we get a 1-2 similar systems passing through with more rain during august. 

[Omegaraptor]

27 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Couple of wildfires visible on satellite imagery. Flat fire in SW OR and then a fire in southern WA near the Columbia river. Overall could be a lot worse with how dry it’s been recently. Should hopefully help (atleast in WA and BC) the rain coming early next week. I wouldn’t be surprised if we get a 1-2 similar systems passing through with more rain during august. 

This has definitely been pointed out before but it's crazy to see the sheer scale of the 2020 burns in western Oregon from the satellite map. Crazy how much Cascade forest is just gone.

[TacomaWx]

17 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

This has definitely been pointed out before but it's crazy to see the sheer scale of the 2020 burns in western Oregon from the satellite map. Crazy how much Cascade forest is just gone.

I go down through Oregon a couple times a year. Absolutely love it down in central Oregon. It’s sad going every time though looking at the forests. Lots of burn scars and always so dry and drought stricken in many places. It really feels as if the climo is shifting…Oregon climo seems to be heading more towards Northern Californias climo. Washington’s trending more towards Oregons. Atleast the warm season…but hopefully the last 10 years is just a short term shift. 

[TT-SEA]

85 here now... visually beautiful day.   The air is clean with a few puffy clouds floating around.

[MossMan]

29 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

85 here now... visually beautiful day.   The air is clean with a few puffy clouds floating around.

72 here after a high of 77. 

[Deweydog]

So many eights of leight!

[Anti Marine Layer]

5 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

So many eights of leight!

How many nines to cause whines?

[Phishy Wx]

sitting at 90

[TT-SEA]

30 minutes ago, MossMan said:

72 here after a high of 77. 

Brrrr!  

81 at SEA.

[TT-SEA]

Not a fan of the 06Z and 18Z ECMWF runs lately... those runs shift the rain north.   Hopefully it comes back again on the 00Z run.    Tomorrow looks like a repeat of today... but a couple degrees warmer.    My sons have the boat today with their friends and we will be out there tomorrow with my daughter and her friends.   Should be in the 85-88 degree range on the lake.  Interesting note... Cal Raleigh is sort of dating one of the girls in my sons' group of friends and she invited him to join them on our boat after the game.   No word yet if that is actually happening!

Here is the 18Z ECMWF. 

[Phishy Wx]

hopefully some moisture can make over to this side

[MossMan]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not a fan of the 06Z and 18Z ECMWF runs lately... those runs shift the rain north.   Hopefully it comes back again on the 00Z run.    Tomorrow looks like a repeat of today... but a couple degrees warmer.    My sons have the boat today with their friends and we will be out there tomorrow with my daughter and her friends.   Should be in the 85-88 degree range on the lake.  Interesting note... Cal Raleigh is sort of dating one of the girls in my sons' group of friends and she invited him to join them on our boat after the game.   No word yet if that is actually happening!

Here is the 18Z ECMWF. 

Just don’t drive the boat like this…We need Cal to salvage the season. 

[MossMan]

16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not a fan of the 06Z and 18Z ECMWF runs lately... those runs shift the rain north.   Hopefully it comes back again on the 00Z run.    Tomorrow looks like a repeat of today... but a couple degrees warmer.    My sons have the boat today with their friends and we will be out there tomorrow with my daughter and her friends.   Should be in the 85-88 degree range on the lake.  Interesting note... Cal Raleigh is sort of dating one of the girls in my sons' group of friends and she invited him to join them on our boat after the game.   No word yet if that is actually happening!

Here is the 18Z ECMWF. 

Looks like I get a tad more than this last Monday! 

[TT-SEA]

SEA probably ends up with a high of 82 or 83 today so GEFS was not too far off.   Less of an underachieving day today as expected.    

And summer might be coming back after a brief stint with fall.

[Phishy Wx]

what's going on in SE Alberta?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

34 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not a fan of the 06Z and 18Z ECMWF runs lately... those runs shift the rain north.   Hopefully it comes back again on the 00Z run.    Tomorrow looks like a repeat of today... but a couple degrees warmer.    My sons have the boat today with their friends and we will be out there tomorrow with my daughter and her friends.   Should be in the 85-88 degree range on the lake.  Interesting note... Cal Raleigh is sort of dating one of the girls in my sons' group of friends and she invited him to join them on our boat after the game.   No word yet if that is actually happening!

Here is the 18Z ECMWF. 

Still around 1" for me!

[Cold Snap]

11 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

what's going on in SE Alberta?

I swear that guy has a map for literally everything.

[TacomaWx]

I figured 0.30” or higher was a little too good to be true. Not very often we get more than 1/4” this time of year. Still 0.10-0.20” looks like a good bet. 

[BLI snowman]

51 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

what's going on in SE Alberta?

They have the Medicine Hat.