TT-SEA Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: Super excited for fall. We got leaves changing and the Mariners in the pennant race. Some things never change. Really bored with the Mariners... always in the playoffs every year. Same old same old. 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Super excited for fall. We got leaves changing and the Mariners in the pennant race. Some things never change. My Man! First place in the West all alone Mariners in a pennant race! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 1 hour ago, T-Town said: 86 = toasty 88 = toastylicious 90 = warm It’s science. Texas Toast? Starting to see early signs the trees in the cooler spots in the foothills are starting to prepare for a color change. The decidous trees on the other side of Alpowa summit are usually the first in my area to change. They are east facing in a spot that blocks south facing sunlight. Getting closer. As of today's drive, they haven't. But the leaves are starting to turn a lighter shade of green. More a lime color and less of a forest green. They usually start changing by mid September. Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 56 minutes ago, RentonHill said: Fall comin’ Pumpkin spice reaction coming any day now. Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: On some days... noone really knows for sure though. We need a rules committee. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 It's almost here! 6 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 Fortunately, the area models seem to be honing in on for Idalia to hit in Florida is fairly sparsely populated, compared to much of the state. No big coastal cities in the likely impact area. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 42 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Super excited for fall. We got leaves changing and the Mariners in the pennant race. Some things never change. Can't wait. Colder dreary days to have warm coffee in the living room, the M's being in the division race, while football and the Kraken come back. How's fantasy football coming along? 1 Quote 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 1 minute ago, HuskyMaestro said: Can't wait. Colder dreary days to have warm coffee in the living room, the M's being in the division race, while football and the Kraken come back. How's fantasy football coming along? We didn't have enough ppl. We will have to try again next year! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: We didn't have enough ppl. We will have to try again next year! Boooooo! Lol 1 Quote 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 Nice rain maker Thursday! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 It’s August 27th. Anyway, my grass is still green but is starting to stress a little. And the moon is out. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 Lightning SE of Tofino right now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 18 minutes ago, Cloud said: Nice rain maker Thursday! Post pls? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Post pls? Yeah Def wetter. Ending 9am Thursday 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YahRaEl Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: Yeah Def wetter. Ending 9am Thursday How's it look for Thunderstorms for tomorrow-Tuesday? Quote Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 Solid. 5pm Monday to 5pm Tuesday 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YahRaEl Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Solid. 5pm Monday to 5pm Tuesday I bet that lightning density is lit up especially for Eastsound 1 Quote Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, ChristheElohim said: How's it look for Thunderstorms for tomorrow-Tuesday? Like looking a snowmaps lol. It took away any lighting for tomorrow, but Tuesday Morning is still solid. I wish it was later in the morning though and not so early. This is from 12am Monday to 12pm Tuesday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 Here, Midnight Tuesday to 11am 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 This could be hours of lightning starting in the late evening tomorrow. A classic setup. 5 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 0z Euro is basically troughy all the way through day 10. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 European rain totals. 5 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 Last day of summer for white pass is tomorrow lol 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted August 28, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 The pattern change looks great, but all of these last 90+ day/last day of summer posts could look pretty silly when the troughy pattern passes (it will) in 7-10 days and we’re sitting under another big ridge. At very least it will probably be less smoky at that point, heaven wiling. 86/60 day here today. A little cooler but essentially a repeat of the last four days in terms of sky conditions. An ugly smoky haze with some scattered clouds here and there. 2 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 4 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said: The pattern change looks great, but all of these last 90+ day/last day of summer posts could look pretty silly when the troughy pattern passes (it will) in 7-10 days and we’re sitting under another big ridge. At very least it will probably be less smoky at that point, heaven wiling. 86/60 day here today. A little cooler but essentially a repeat of the last four days in terms of sky conditions. An ugly smoky haze with some scattered clouds here and there. I agree, last year was nearly 90 in October... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 5 hours ago, Cloud said: European rain totals. If this happens, @MWG is going to miss their smoke. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 In a 90s throwback we have a marine layer Monday. Probably our most rare form of weather these days. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 Franklin out in the NATL trying for Cat5 status. Very lucky that one is missing land..what a beast. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 5 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said: The pattern change looks great, but all of these last 90+ day/last day of summer posts could look pretty silly when the troughy pattern passes (it will) in 7-10 days and we’re sitting under another big ridge. At very least it will probably be less smoky at that point, heaven wiling. 86/60 day here today. A little cooler but essentially a repeat of the last four days in terms of sky conditions. An ugly smoky haze with some scattered clouds here and there. I don’t think guidance is correct out in the NPAC for week2. Seems to lose the RWT for the most part. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 A very fall-like morning with the deep marine layer intrusion. Feels nice! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 The only way its fall is if we have well below 500mb heights? It will still be fall even when we have inevitable ridging in September and October. Just like our mega-trough in June was still summer. On a side note... we might get to do some water activities this coming weekend per the EPS even though its winter now. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 00z EPS looks nice out there! 6 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 06Z ECMWF on the fun coming tonight and tomorrow morning. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 Anecdotally it’s always seemed to me that the Atlantic waking up signals the start of the seasonal transition in the synoptic pattern/WT, with the muted/quiet years having the most consistent low frequency ET patterns. Of course I can’t prove this, and given the timing it could simply be a coincidence. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 06Z ECMWF on the fun coming tonight and tomorrow morning. Guess I'm busting out the rain jacket tonight for work! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 FWIW, the east-based niño/p8 structure in tropical forcing statistically favors a troughy pattern in the west during S/O/N. Come D/J/F that reverses, of course. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Anecdotally it’s always seemed to me that the Atlantic waking up signals the start of the seasonal transition in the synoptic pattern/WT, with the muted/quiet years having the most consistent low frequency ET patterns. Of course I can’t prove this, and given the timing it could simply be a coincidence. I would say the Earth's axial tilt and it's orbit around the sun are also responsible. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 7 minutes ago, Phil said: Anecdotally it’s always seemed to me that the Atlantic waking up signals the start of the seasonal transition in the synoptic pattern/WT, with the muted/quiet years having the most consistent low frequency ET patterns. Of course I can’t prove this, and given the timing it could simply be a coincidence. Anecdotally, I look at the Western Pacific and have been last couple years during this time of the year since my wife is currently there, but what I noticed is that their monsoon season (starting in June) is starting to wind down now, with rain and t-storms becoming less frequent as we transition to fall here. Obviously, I can't prove this either, but it's what I've been noticing last couple years since I start monitoring the SE Asia weather more frequently. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 28, 2023 Report Share Posted August 28, 2023 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: I would say the Earth's axial tilt and it's orbit around the sun are also responsible. Now that’s a radical, groundbreaking take if I’ve ever heard one. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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