January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[The Winter Warlock]

KING GFS - PLEASE DELIVER TO WASHINGTON. PRAISE OUR LORD AND SAVIOR.

[T-Town]

[Weiner Warrior]

Looks like the artic front may stall a bit south of Seattle. Light snow for about 6 hrs

[van city]

Be careful what you wish for. Enjoy the snow it won't last long. On the other hand SWBC.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Shame to see the arctic airmass falling apart 

Sure hope not. Picked up another inch of snow during the day today. Midnight and afternoon high of 34. 

[TT-SEA]

Does this mean anything??   Don't know.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

27 minutes ago, Doinko said:

That would be a true blizzard in places

Mark posted this on Facebook. It’s the strongest east wind he’s ever seen forecasted. Shades of Feb 1989/Dec 1968 type event.

[The Winter Warlock]

WASHINGTON NEEDS A WIN THIS WEEK. SO FAR THIS WEEK WE’VE LOST:

- NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS

- PETE

- BOEING

WE CAN’T LOSE THE SNOW TOO. THINK OF THE CHILDREN.

[Requiem]

Rare to see this from the GFS so close to an Arctic event.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Mark posted this on Facebook. It’s the strongest east wind he’s ever seen forecasted. Shades of Feb 1989/Dec 1968 type event.

Wow!   Totally downplaying again.  

[snow_wizard]

Wow!  The ICON has jumped WAY north with snowfall.  This is getting interesting.

[Gummy]

Just now, The Winter Warlock said:

WASHINGTON NEEDS A WIN THIS WEEK. SO FAR THIS WE’VE LOST:

- NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS

- PETE

- BOEING

WE CAN’T LOSE THE SNOW TOO.

Also lost the big snow event last year when the low trended North.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

Wow!  The ICON has jumped WAY north with snowfall.  This is getting interesting.

Do you realize we analyze each frame of each model as it comes out?   This was like 6 pages ago now.  

[Weiner Warrior]

[MossMan]

14 minutes ago, van city said:

If this is what Seattle people are chearing on. Well done. High and dry and no cold. 

Like I mentioned…It’s over. 

[TT-SEA]

No change on GFS... going to be like 18Z run which had snow in Seattle.

[MikeInEverett]

Looks very similar to its 18z run so far. 

[Front Ranger]

GFS looking a notch north.

[Cascadia_Wx]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Sure hope not. Picked up another inch of snow during the day today. Midnight and afternoon high of 34. 

Glad to hear that Andrew. We lost the NAM and the ICON 

[Requiem]

Slightly colder run but little change.

[Weiner Warrior]

Portland going to get nailed

[awright-31]

Conflicting reports

[BLI snowman]

GFS looks slightly warmer/colder and north/south.

More at 11.

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Glad to hear that Andrew. We lost the NAM and the ICON 

Hopefully we can get good precip and snow to bring temps down, and then snowcover for better lows

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Glad to hear that Andrew. We lost the NAM and the ICON 

Kind of a bummer. We can’t have nice things… Though the NAM did look snowy for many. But you and I see the bigger picture. 

[Weiner Warrior]

[bainbridgekid]

You know it’s real when you’re frantically refreshing the GFS each chairlift ride.
 

Just crazy powder at Stevens today. Even the picnic tables are buried. 

[TT-SEA]

Scratch that... GFS is trending south on Saturday.    Very close to other models now.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

GFS looking a notch north.

I swear for every model that comes out the last three days there’s always some posts in rapid succession with at least one person saying it trended north, one saying it trended south, and one saying no change 

[Randyc321]

Tim I’m not trying to be obnoxious.   I just don’t believe this is resolved yet   

 

 

 

[FroYoBro]

Washington weenies gone wild! 

[Front Ranger]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

I swear for every model that comes out the last three days there’s always some posts in rapid succession with at least one person saying it trended north, one saying it trended south, and one saying no change 

Different frames at times. My comment was for hour 48.

[MikeInEverett]

South!

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, Doinko said:

Hopefully we can get good precip and snow to bring temps down, and then snowcover for better lows

True it’s just such a a delicate balance.

[TT-SEA]

GFS now keeps precip south of Seattle... first run that has done that.   Compromise in progress.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

Different frames at times. My comment was for hour 48.

I mostly just think it’s funny I wasn’t trying to single you out in particular.

[SnowWillarrive]

6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Wow!  The ICON has jumped WAY north with snowfall.  This is getting interesting.

Our best shot is that arctic front tomorrow night.  

[Front Ranger]

Just now, MillCreekMike said:

South!

Yep, precip with initial system extended further north, and then parent low goes south by hour 60.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Randyc321 said:

Tim I’m not trying to be obnoxious.   I just don’t believe this is resolved yet   

 

 

 

Totally agree.   All the models are in general agreement and yet all the models could still change again.   And probably will.  

[Requiem]

The Tanna Tuva model (which takes its data from the Ulaanbaatar weather observatory) just released new experimental data and there are big changes. Huge north trends, huge south trends. Definitely warner, but also way more frigid.