Fircrest Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 13 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Many places will have ice. Possibly, but I was mostly referring to my location. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said: Go to bed everyone. It’s done And he did it as a reply to a Michael Snyder post that was totally unrelated. When Snyder blocks him, it will of course then be spun as yet another instance of how the entire unfair world is conspiring against poor little him. 1 2 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 21 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said: I thought our amateur eyes were deceiving us but interesting that JAYA noticed this. 6 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: 31 and rain? It's not icing up at all, no joke. Yes 31 degrees and pouring rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AuburnTexan Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 31 degrees and pouring rain here as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Just now, GHweatherChris said: It's not icing up at all, no joke. Yes 31 degrees and pouring rain. Cliff feels redeemed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingstonWX Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: And he did it as a reply to a Michael Snyder post that was totally unrelated. When Snyder blocks him, it will of course then be spun as yet another instance of how the entire unfair world is conspiring against poor little him. I still kinda like Cliff, despite all the drama over the last few years, but it takes a special kind of ego to double down on your forecasts that are marginal at best and could completely rug pull with the slightest change in low pressure positioning, and act like you are the end all be all of weather forecasting. Holy crap. Very Nyberg-esque tbh. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Hmmmmm. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 35 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Interesting that the temp at OLM has not dropped since the start of the precip there around 6:30. Currently light rain and 34. It dropped to 33. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowySeeker50 Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 30.6f and just regular cold rain, nothing freezing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Temp up to 31 from 30 earlier. No precip yet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Oops! I thought that last map was GFS. This is the GFS and it is a bit south. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Tacoma narrows and JBLM down to 32. At this temperature it’ll take the ice some time to freeze on surfaces…but it’ll eventually freeze on the roads. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, SnowySeeker50 said: 30.6f and just regular cold rain, nothing freezing It will. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 31 and moderate rain 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrozenBites Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 30 degrees, however the rain drops themselves do not freeze, a phenomena called supercooling (or forming "supercooled drops"). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_convergence_zone Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Raining here now and 35 F. I was always skeptical of this one but I thought it would at least be a close call. Maybe it will cool enough for a brief mix in an hour or two. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthBend RainEnthusiast Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said: Are you in town or up on the ridge? I’m at 28.4 but dropping. I’m in Wilderness Rim up against Rattlesnake Mountain at about 1000’. My steep driveway is already slick, even walking to my car at the bottom could be difficult in the AM. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: I thought our amateur eyes were deceiving us but interesting that JAYA noticed this. That is technically not the low for tomorrow. I think think this is a deceiving situation because everything is so weak and low centers will morph around. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Unfortunately the 00z GFS has taken away a bit of my snowfall, but I believe that's because it's a bit drier. Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Light snow 30.7 9 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Just now, NorthBend RainEnthusiast said: I’m in Wilderness Rim up against Rattlesnake Mountain at about 1000’. My steep driveway is already slick, even walking to my car at the bottom could be difficult in the AM. Same here in the shaded part of our driveway. And the wind just polishes it into a shiny surface. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffMassYelledAtMe Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 21 minutes ago, iFred said: Oh yeah, those guys. I step on everyone I see. Outside, they get crushed; inside they get flushed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawksfan2008 Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 This GFS run has SEA at 33 in the late afternoon tomorrow. A little bit of snow. Snow even down to Tacoma. If this verifies any south of this run the Seattle area will have snow tomorrow. Even at face value there is some. 6 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Hawksfan2008 said: Getting better! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Even though Cliff and Tim do not think this will be an event at all…I still staged my plow! 6 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Freezing rain looks exactly like non freezing rain until it doesn't. 8 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffMassYelledAtMe Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 27 minutes ago, RentonHill said: ME ME ME ME ME. what a chode Imagine thinking that Shannon O'Donnell is only forecasting for Seattle! And Snyder's YT channel covers OR, WA, ID, MT, and some of BC in different amounts. But Mass only focuses on Seattle to call everyone else out. Ugh. And I'm editing to add that he signs his Tweets. Like this isn't a forecast discussion, Cliff. Your name and picture are right there. Sigh. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: Freezing rain looks exactly like non freezing rain until it doesn't. If it isn't freezing on contact, is it freezing rain? Freezing after precip stops does not count. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said: How did the NAM and ICON snow map look? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: Freezing rain looks exactly like non freezing rain until it doesn't. It takes temperatures in the low to mid 20s to really see freezing rain freeze rapidly on contact. With these temperatures it takes longer for water to freeze. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingstonWX Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: Freezing rain looks exactly like non freezing rain until it doesn't. My first experience with real freezing rain was in Mukilteo back in the 1990s. I had no clue it was even a thing. Walked outside to what i thought was a normal wet and rainy environment and immediately fell on my butt. Not cool. You're right, it absolutely just looks like normal rain without snow involved. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 ZR here at 31.8. Stuff already has a coating on it. 3 1 1 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Even though Cliff and Tim do not think this will be an event at all…I still staged my plow! I don't think he's saying there won't be ice here and snow up there. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 SEA dropped from 35 to 33 as soon as precip started. 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, MossMan said: Even though Cliff and Tim do not think this will be an event at all…I still staged my plow! I think it likely will be a snow event for you! 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 The 00z GFS says we might be doing this all over again 2 days from now. It shows freezing rain Thursday afternoon/night for PDX/SEA. It looks like there should still be enough of a Cold Pool in the Columbia Basin to make it happen as winds turn offshore again. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthBend RainEnthusiast Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Same here in the shaded part of our driveway. And the wind just polishes it into a shiny surface. It’s kind of beautiful. However, ice is on my bad side right now because I slipped and landed right on my kneecap yesterday and I have a bad feeling I may have to visit a doctor soon.. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 I'm pretty happy with the temps the GFS is spitting out the next couple of days. Winter lives on! 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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