February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[snow_wizard]

10 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Long range eps now has all of spring with below average temperatures and goa ridging.

Big trade wind burst about to begin over the Equatorial Pacific.  The Nino is pretty done much at least atmospherically.  I'm pretty sure that cold subsurface water will pop this week as well.  There may be little Nino influence on our weather this spring.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

5 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

how about Brah?

broski?

Dude?

Man?

Pal?

Friend?

Buddy?

How about nothing?

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

36 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Why do you often post the 10:1 map for the GFS? Pivotalweather has the kuchera map available for free, but yet you choose the 10:1 map. 

 

Great run though, needs to trend maybe 15 miles north and I could get a Feb 25th 2019 redux. 2 and a half feet pleeeeaaase!!

 

Edit: actually no its in a perfect spot. DO NOT TREND NORTH OR SOUTH!

[ShawniganLake]

16 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Rainy and windy here. Feels raw out there 

Rain shadow here.  It sprinkled a bit around sunrise 

[MossMan]

Phil must still be searching for that next El Niño…

 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

How about nothing?

What if we want to mention you, should we say something like "This run has a lot of snow for you nothing!"? I think calling you @MR.SNOWMIZER is better than calling you "nothing"....

 

But if you really want to be called "nothing" I guess that's what we'll call you from now on.

 

[snow_wizard]

38 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Not sure I followed your reasoning and models have been much more consistent on a northern pscz. All I can hope is I get one right over me,

The models are showing a normal c-zone and then one south of normal tomorrow evening.  It's been well advertised.  The HRRR just totally ignores the King County action advertised on the other models.

[Cascadia_Wx]

26 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Same here, none. I find it funny yet annoying people think that is a sign winter is over. 

There are a lot of buds on the trees after the mild days last week, but seeing buds show up in late Feb is pretty much on time. I think most trees are smart enough to wait a bit to flower this early though. It would be kind of like a SoCal transplant putting their deck furniture out after the first 60+ and sunny day in late Feb.

[TacomaWx]

19 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I get it. Seems like you’re much more bearish about most setups than you used to be though. Just an observation.

It’s not just you, but I do feel like there is this sort of narrative in our little micro-culture here that being a forum “grown up” means taking the most pessimistic slant possible toward any and all snow/cold chances. As a result I believe there’s a lot of overcorrecting in that direction sometimes. Although I suppose it could be argued that balances out the stark raving Jim on the opposite side of the spectrum.

I am overall pretty optimistic still I feel like. I just am not excited IMBY about strong NW flow. Rarely works out here. This also isnt really a slam dunk snow event for most folks…but I’m sure some people will be happy! 

[Slushy Inch]

Pscz gets going by late tonight on gfs. I’ll be seeing if this verifies.

[snow_wizard]

Some upper 30s on the NW Coast of Vancouver Island.  Pretty darn cold!  Meanwhile 60+ in some places east of the Cascades with winds gusting close to 60.

[T-Town]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I am overall pretty optimistic still I feel like. I just am not excited IMBY about strong NW flow. Rarely works out here. This also isnt really a slam dunk snow event for most folks…but I’m sure some people will be happy! 

When the situation is marginal, Tacoma is generally not a good bet to score. So I try to set my expectations accordingly.  

[snow_wizard]

7 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I am overall pretty optimistic still I feel like. I just am not excited IMBY about strong NW flow. Rarely works out here. This also isnt really a slam dunk snow event for most folks…but I’m sure some people will be happy! 

There are going to be surprises over the next week with the big second trough.  Pretty much anywhere could score as the situation evolves.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

14 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

What if we want to mention you, should we say something like "This run has a lot of snow for you nothing!"? I think calling you @MR.SNOWMIZER is better than calling you "nothing"....

 

But if you really want to be called "nothing" I guess that's what we'll call you from now on.

 

You can call me AL

[snow_wizard]

7 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Pscz gets going by late tonight on gfs. I’ll be seeing if this verifies.

Possible I suppose.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Some upper 30s on the NW Coast of Vancouver Island.  Pretty darn cold!  Meanwhile 60+ in some places east of the Cascades with winds gusting close to 60.

Oroville is 57! 

[snow_wizard]

Might pull off a sub 50 high here in spite many places being 50+ right now.  Only 46 here.

[TacomaWx]

4 minutes ago, T-Town said:

When the situation is marginal, Tacoma is generally not a good bet to score. So I try to set my expectations accordingly.  

Yeah definitely, I am just not expecting anything with this set up the next week. NW flow rarely works out here. I overall usually am a glass half full kind of person when looking at the models. This set up is not ideal at all for us though. Maybe next year! 

[snow_wizard]

Two more possible snow events this week on the GFS I'll have to dissect.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

Two more possible snow events this week on the GFS I'll have to dissect.

The door is open just about all week except for a 24hr period or so. We will be cold enough, especially at night. Even on a 37 degree day it can snow because the upper levels will be really cold.

[Randyc321]

35 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Long range eps now has all of spring with below average temperatures and goa ridging.

Going to Western Ne. for a graduation (not my choice) in  mid-May and then on to Estes Park, Co. and the Rocky Mountain National Park (my consolation) for several days afterward.  Getting in a horseback trip up into the Rockies while we are there too.  Looks like there will still be plenty of snow in areas to say the least.

Picture is from the web.  Looking forward to posting mine though.

[DareDuck]

2 hours ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

The skiing is gonna be AWESOMMEEE next week! Quite a few days where the snow ratio is gonna be in the 20s at bachelor, not quite Utah or Alaska powder but it'll be pretty great. 

Backside at Bachelor on Thursday was amazing. Fairly light snow with only a small section of the usual ice on the traverse. 

[GHweatherChris]

[Randyc321]

28 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Rain shadow here.  It sprinkled a bit around sunrise 

Shadow and some sun throughout the day here.  Currently a breezy 52.7.  Did a bunch of yard work earlier it super nice outside.

[Phishy Wx]

11 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

You can call me AL

[Randyc321]

24 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

There are a lot of buds on the trees after the mild days last week, but seeing buds show up in late Feb is pretty much on time. I think most trees are smart enough to wait a bit to flower this early though. It would be kind of like a SoCal transplant putting their deck furniture out after the first 60+ and sunny day in late Feb.

They have started here, but they have been snowed on before.  I can see two from my window in the neighbors property.  Let it snow.

[Randyc321]

24 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Pscz gets going by late tonight on gfs. I’ll be seeing if this verifies.

Looks a little warm upstairs for that.

Current 925's

[MossMan]

Temp just dropped 4 degrees in 15 minutes.

[FroYoBro]

10 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

I accidently deleted all of my weather links two weeks ago. It was devastating. Could you link me this site again please?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

6 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

How are you doing today Mr Nothing?  Nice to meet you, I'm Phishy

Why don't you back the F off before you see a side of me you won't like. Deal? JUST DROP IT. Been on here way to long to deal with high-school  drama like this.

[FroYoBro]

Made it to above 50 degrees before the system moves in. 

[TacomaWx]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Why don't you back the F off before you see a side of me you won't like. Deal? JUST DROP IT. Been on here way to long to deal with high-school  drama like this.

You’re giving people the reaction they’re looking for by saying stuff like this. Not trolling you at all by saying this im just saying don’t feed into it. 

[Slushy Inch]

7 minutes ago, Randyc321 said:

Looks a little warm upstairs for that.

Current 925's

Good thing a cold front is going to be blasting through.

[Phishy Wx]

threatening violence on a wx board.  you seem stable

 

Lighten up. It was  nothing more than playful ribbing by Snownerd to start.  Not everything has to be end of the world serious,  you dig?

 

[Randyc321]

Just now, Slushy Inch said:

Good thing a cold front is going to blasting through.

Nothing would make me happier.  Maybe we get lucky. 

 

[AlTahoe]

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Big picture view of Western snowpack. Nice to see Utah, Nevada and SE Oregon/Southern Idaho doing so well.

Wish this map also included the Sierra basins. I haven’t seen a lot of posts from @AlTahoe complaining about too much/too little snow lately, so maybe that means they’re close to average

Currently at 60% of normal precip and 25% snowfall. Somehow South lake Tahoe is the driest city in Califronia PON so far. But the Gfs is showing 100" of snow here in the next 10 days so maybe we will catch up. Current snowpack pic

[GHweatherChris]

9 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

I accidently deleted all of my weather links two weeks ago. It was devastating. Could you link me this site again please?

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=11&parm=850mb&underlay=1&source=1#

[MossMan]

Down to 41 from 46 in the last 25 minutes or so. It’s coming. 

Edited February 25 by MossMan

[FroYoBro]

3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=11&parm=850mb&underlay=1&source=1#

[TT-SEA]

1 hour ago, Slushy Inch said:

Long range eps now has all of spring with below average temperatures and goa ridging.

Spring ends on April 11th?