March 2024 Weather in the PNW

[Blizzard777]

Always love these diffused looking storms 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

2 good runs in a row, lock it in. ITS COMING!!! 

[Deweydog]

4 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

Always love these diffused looking storms 

Nice, but what’s your take home after taxes?

[Cascadia_Wx]

Radar is looking really active to the SSW of here now. Hoping that can hold together.

Just heard some distant thunder from that cell near Scappoose.

[Cold Snap]

Just had a pretty decent downpour move through here.

[Blizzard777]

We’ve got thunder and lightning

[T-Town]

Got some hail with the shower currently in progress. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

35 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Just heard a loud rumble of thunder

Radar blowing up as moisture heads NE. Some intense cells just got to Washington County.  

[Frontal Snowsquall]

1 hour ago, Blizzard777 said:

Stormy skies woke me from my weather slumber

Storms just passing to the NW of me …love it! 

Beautiful pictures! What area is that?

[FroYoBro]

Had a nice shower just roll through here. Had one strike of lightning with a loud crack right after. It was definitely close, but only one strike with that cell. Nice.

[Cascadia_Wx]

18z GFS and ensembles looking pretty nice.

Also, an above average February/March is looking like a slam dunk for the Portland/Vancouver area. First time since 2016.

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

18z GFS and ensembles looking pretty nice.

Also, an above average February/March is looking like a slam dunk for the Portland/Vancouver area. First time since 2016.

This also means just one below average month out of the last 12 (January!) at PDX.

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

18z GFS and ensembles looking pretty nice.

Also, an above average February/March is looking like a slam dunk for the Portland/Vancouver area. First time since 2016.

This year (probably) marks the end of the cool F/M/A regime that has dominated the last half decade.

In this case it’s more ENSO-related, but going forward it’ll likely occur in response to the eastward extension of the equatorial flank of the IPWP.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

6 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Had a nice shower just roll through here. Had one strike of lightning with a loud crack right after. It was definitely close, but only one strike with that cell. Nice.

Looks like that one hit right on I-5. Another one hit North Plains. ️ 

[Doinko]

Just heard a couple rumbles of thunder and saw some flashes. Now it's hailing like crazy

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

This year (probably) marks the end of the cool F/M/A regime that has dominated the last half decade.

In this case it’s more ENSO-related, but going forward it’ll likely occur in response to the eastward extension of the equatorial flank of the IPWP.

Haven’t been a lot of cool months lately even based on the coked up 1991-2020 averages. One could say we are due, but we are also heading into a time of year soon (May-September) where it has been almost impossible to score meaningful cool anomalies, based on recent history.

[Meatyorologist]

47 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Are you gonna try to see the eclipse?

Nah. I'll try and make Iceland though

[Phil]

8 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Haven’t been a lot of cool months lately even based on the coked up 1991-2020 averages. One could say we are due, but we are also heading into a time of year soon (May-September) where it has been almost impossible to score meaningful cool anomalies, based on recent history.

It’s possible the recent tendency towards more frequent cool anomalies in F/M/A will see a seasonal shift to the J/A/S timeframe going forward, with a warmer/drier tendency developing during the late winter and/or spring months.

Though I suppose it depends on the structural (in)stability of any axisymmetric changes in the new post-niño tropical convection/circulation state.

It’s clearly different now, but exactly how and to what extent cannot be ascertained (or, at least I cannot see it yet). There are a few different ways the new regime could set up.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Son in salem reports LOUD thunder 

[Ken in Wood Village]

Some very active weather down my way. Wonder if I'll see any of them 🌩

[Phil]

2024 still looks like an epic year for heat misers in the US. Good chance it will be the warmest year on record for the lower-48.

Dr. Roundy’s low frequency analog composite now projects a sprawling dome of high heights (warm/dry) smack dap in the middle of the continent beginning in May.

Very stable too. Wobbles east/west at times, but largely stays fixed. The Midwest looks like ground zero for hellfire.

https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/analogs/analogslp.html

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, Phil said:

2024 still looks like an epic year for heat misers in the US. Good chance it will be the warmest year on record for the lower-48.

Dr. Roundy’s low frequency analog composite now projects a sprawling dome of high heights (warm/dry) smack dap in the middle of the continent. Wobbles east/west but largely stays put. The Midwest looks like ground zero for hellfire.

https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/roundy/waves/analogs/analogslp.html

So a big 'ol bowling ball trough parked over Minneapolis from May through October, understood.

[Blizzard777]

46 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Nice, but what’s your take home after taxes?

You’re gonna need to talk to the KeyMaster he seems to know my taxes better then I  

[Blizzard777]

37 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Beautiful pictures! What area is that?

Redondo Beach near Federal Way and Des Moines‘s, south sound basically

i’m spoiled!!!! 

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

You’re gonna need to talk to the KeyMaster he seems to know my taxes better then I  

If you’re doing as well as Ted and Annette Fleming, you’re doing ok!

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

So a big 'ol bowling ball trough parked over Minneapolis from May through October, understood.

As a low frequency tendency (100-day running mean in this case), probably something like that. It’s going to be warm almost everywhere, I suspect.

Keep in mind this is only the low frequency component. There will be much more variability from week to week in reality. 

[T-Town]

2 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

Redondo Beach near Federal Way and Des Moines‘s, south sound basically

i’m spoiled!!!! 

The South Sound rules. Indisputable scientifically proven fact. 

[T-Town]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

If you’re doing as well as Ted and Annette Fleming, you’re doing ok!

Anybody wanna play Parcheesi?

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

1 minute ago, T-Town said:

The South Sound rules. Indisputable scientifically proven fact. 

You have to be joking right?  North sound is so much better

[Meatyorologist]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

As a low frequency tendency (100-day running mean in this case), probably something like that. It’s going to be warm almost everywhere, I suspect.

Keep in mind this is only the low frequency component. There will be much more variability from week to week in reality. 

I'm kidding. Hopefully we're spared here west of the Cascades.

[Meatyorologist]

Summer 2000 or 2001 repeat would be nice, 2011 if we're being more reasonable. Or 1993 if we're choosers.

[T-Town]

2 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

You have to be joking right?  North sound is so much better

Does the north sound have a waterfront park and entertainment district built on a slag pile?  Didn’t think so. 
 

Checkmate. 

[SunAndSnow]

Thunderstorm rolling through! 

[Meatyorologist]

10 minutes ago, T-Town said:

The South Sound rules. Indisputable scientifically proven fact. 

8 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

You have to be joking right?  North sound is so much better

War! War! War! War!

[T-Town]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

War! War! War! War!

Finally a preference battle I actually care about.  

[Tanis Leach]

So we have Thunder here in Tigard. Unfortunately I'm at my filler job right now so no chasing. 

[FroYoBro]

Another boom and some very heavy rain this time. 

[TacomaWx]

Had a crazy band of hail move through here about an hour ago. Finally some interesting weather. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

7 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Another boom and some very heavy rain this time. 

Great posts. I definitely don’t think you should be banned.

[Blizzard777]

23 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

If you’re doing as well as Ted and Annette Fleming, you’re doing ok!

LMAO!