April 2024 Weather in the PNW

[TT-SEA]

12Z GEM vs new 00Z run one week out.

[Meatyorologist]

33 minutes ago, Phil said:

Interesting. I assume you’re to the north of said hills?

Yep! NNE. Directly in the lee of Maple Leaf hill.

[BLI snowman]

31 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Both the 00Z GFS and 00Z GEM are much less troughy for next week.   

A little early for the dry season to be starting.

If I were in SE King County, I'd be getting pretty nervous about the prospects for a really wet Memorial Day to 4th of July stretch.

[Front Ranger]

Just now, BLI snowman said:

A little early for the dry season to be starting.

If I were in SE King County, I'd be getting pretty nervous about the prospects for a really wet Memorial Day to 4th of July stretch.

Yep. Be careful what you wish for.

[Phishy Wx]

Same Wedge?  This one was in St Augustine, FL

 

 

 

[Chewbacca Defense]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

 

Interesting, that’s kind of similar to here, then (w/rt the “instant” start time and lack of precip). Are the winds more sustained out there or are they more gusty?

Out this way the big league windstorms are driven by mountain waves and downsloping under post-frontal CAA/pressure rises. So winds usually manifest as strong, pulsing gusts that come in sets of 2-3 (except in exceptional events, which can rip nonstop, but that is uncommon).

Yes.

 

The winds usually have a pretty healthy sustained element here in Bellingham with us being on the water and I guess as for how gusty it is, it depends on the type of storm and location.  Frasier outflows are definitely mostly sustained winds where I am, where as the fall windstorms are more likely to be gusty at my location.  I would say that 3-4 times a year we go from calm to trees bent over in an instant.  The places I play soccer at are both very open and exposed, and they tend to see more sustained winds in a storm, but again, they are closer to the water.

Another time that is inevitably windy here is when we have the ski to sea race out here Memorial Day weekend.  I've done the canoe leg a couple of times, and by early afternoon there is usually a decent south wind coming off the bay.  The tail end of the canoe leg is out in the open, flat part of the county and is getting blasted those winds.  There were times we literally were not moving...our paddling force+push of the river current=the force of the wind.  Abso-f*cking-lutely sucked.  We would have to hunt to find the sweet spot in the current or a break in the wind.  It was a 20 mile canoe leg, and this happened in 3 or 4 spots over the course of the last 3-5 miles.

I've since  moved on to the kayak, and I can usually make pretty good headway even in a strong headwind.  Worst I've been in was about  10-15 knots sustained.  They cancelled the leg soon after I got out on the water because they were having to do too many rescues.  I made it, but passed a lot of people who were getting fished out by the Coasties and the local Sheriff & Fire boats.  Its always a south wind, one of these days the gods will smile on us and give us a north wind.  Being able to surf the swell would be a hell of a boost to race times!

[TT-SEA]

44 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

A little early for the dry season to be starting.

If I were in SE King County, I'd be getting pretty nervous about the prospects for a really wet Memorial Day to 4th of July stretch.

Indeed... would fit the 2010 analog too.

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

A little early for the dry season to be starting.

If I were in SE King County, I'd be getting pretty nervous about the prospects for a really wet Memorial Day to 4th of July stretch.

We’ll see if our climate is capable of such a thing anymore. 

[TT-SEA]

7 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

Yep. Be careful what you wish for.

This makes no sense.   I don't control the weather.   I said yesterday that too much warm and dry weather in April is often an indicator of the opposite in early summer.  So if I wish for cold and rain now then will I be able to change what happens in the summer?  I will try to be careful Jared.   

[MossMan]

Wet deck. 
43 degrees. 

[the_convergence_zone]

7 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

We’ll see if our climate is capable of such a thing anymore. 

Sign me up for a 2022 repeat…just not the part at the end of summer. 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Wet deck. 
43 degrees. 

Deck is wet here too... had a little rain overnight but its already clearing up with blue sky overhead.

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Sign me up for a 2022 repeat…just not the part at the end of summer. 

2022 was the most messed up year I have experienced here.   Trees started leafing out in early April and then were stunted by all the cold weather... and then summer went on forever... and then we went right into winter at the end of October.   We basically skipped spring and fall.  The trees kept their leaves into December here even when it was snowing because they were trying to make up for the unusually cold spring. 

[MossMan]

35 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Deck is wet here too... had a little rain overnight but its already clearing up with blue sky overhead.

Still very light drizzle (opposite of heavy Drizzle, Phil, so you don’t get very wet) here and dark as well. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just a little bit of rain overnight, and didn’t get all that cool with a low of 46. Sun is already coming out this morning and it looks like the action is over with sun and warm temps the next three days. Hoping we can break out of the weather doldrums at some point.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just saw this  

[Cascadia_Wx]

What are your thoughts on this disaster @SilverFallsAndrew

[Phishy Wx]

already up to 50

[Timmy Supercell]

12 hours ago, Phil said:

Seems when you score I get shafted and vice versa. I’ve been seeing flashes of lightning for the last 90 mins and there’s a bowing line of storms approaching from the southwest. Feels like an over-performer incoming.

Another pattern too I've noticed is usually when the increasing dynamics "start" around these counties I can get shafted in those. When Louisville/Lexington are in the thick and also includes me, I score the better ones. I need already matured and organized convection reaching those points before they get to Boyd County.

Still, probably shouldn't be bummed at not getting a thunder, I've had quite a high number of them for this time of year. If they continue on a weekly basis this summer, I might get to 60 of them for 2024 

[Timmy Supercell]

1 hour ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Sign me up for a 2022 repeat…just not the part at the end of summer. 

lol I recall there being another rare stretch of 100's at KLMT that year, 5 days in a row? It's hard to get just one of them there.

After 2013, there wasn't another 100+ until June of 2021. 

[LowerGarfield]

Today's our wedding anniversary and it's shaping up to be a nice day. A few high clouds but sunny. My wife is taking her driving test today. She had to take the written also.

[Omegaraptor]

12 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

lol I recall there being another rare stretch of 100's at KLMT that year, 5 days in a row? It's hard to get just one of them there.

After 2013, there wasn't another 100+ until June of 2021. 

Late July? Very long heat wave happened then. One day I saw it rain with temps in the mid-90s in Tigard which is probably some of the most un-PNWlike weather I’ve seen in the PNW.

[LowerGarfield]

Old man Washington can beat your preferences in a fight.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

10 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

Same Wedge?  This one was in St Augustine, FL

 

 

 

Looks like it was confirmed as an EF1 . 

[Front Ranger]

47 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

What are your thoughts on this disaster @SilverFallsAndrew

[Timmy Supercell]

6 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Late July? Very long heat wave happened then. One day I saw it rain with temps in the mid-90s in Tigard which is probably some of the most un-PNWlike weather I’ve seen in the PNW.

If that rain came with a chance of t'storms that used to happen more as a kid. More recently it looks like summer time storms are more of a east side thing. 

And yeah, late July sounds right for that heatwave in 2022. I left there in Nov '21 but I still have a couple family members there that tell me some things. Apparently December and April was their winter, but not much snow fell between those months. Late winter seems to be all or nothing for them these last few years. It's a contrast to ones like 2011, 2012, or 2017 that had more consistent periods of snow.

[Cascadia_Wx]

9 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Ok. It’ll be alright Jared. I’m sure they will fix OLM one of these days

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

What are your thoughts on this disaster @SilverFallsAndrew

I’m not that upset, this happens annually. Plus between OJ passing away yesterday and now the Golden Bachelor getting divorced I have other things on my mind! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Cedar Breaks, UT 

[Timmy Supercell]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Cedar Breaks, UT 

Now that's a sight. Come across any marmots? They love high places. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Timmy Supercell said:

Now that's a sight. Come across any marmots? They love high places. 

No they are probably still hibernating. There was about 8’ of snow on the ground at the overlook. It’s about 10,450’. 

[Chewbacca Defense]

*light* drizzle this morning and 46

[Blizzard777]

This doesn’t happen very often, but just arrived in Portland with blue skies above and slightly raining

[Anti Marine Layer]

On 4/11/2024 at 12:23 AM, Meatyorologist said:

I think the winter predictions were a joke man. But yes I agree, I think our ECOSYSTEM can HANDLE a couple eighpril eighty-burgers.

Not everyone's immune system can handle them.

[MossMan]

It was snowing again 2yrs ago today! 

[Randyc321]

11 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z GEM vs new 00Z run one week out.

Yep, I could go for some of that.  

Nice morning here so far.  50 and hazy, filmy clouds.  Was gusty earlier but it's calmed down.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The only thing that has sucked about this trip is my wife’s work coverage fell through so we have to come back Saturday. 

[Deweydog]

20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The only thing that has sucked about this trip is my wife’s work coverage fell through so we have to come back Saturday. 

Get divorced.

You could be the next Golden Bachellor!

[Cascadia_Wx]

22 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The only thing that has sucked about this trip is my wife’s work coverage fell through so we have to come back Saturday. 

Last I checked I thought you h8’ed traveling Andrew.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Last I checked I thought you h8’ed traveling Andrew.

Always. But I like the landscape of America.