TacomaWaWx Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Just now, Cloud said: I'm hoping for an arctic outbreak... it seems to be quite allergic to crossing the border and spill into W. WA. Things can change...even if we don’t score this month (could change and end up scoring still) there’s still all of February left. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: I'm hoping for an arctic outbreak... it seems to be quite allergic to crossing the border and spill into W. WA. COVID regulations. Way more difficult to cross the border. Arctic air is low on the vaccination phase list. 2 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Maybe when the pattern change is imminent, the models will flip? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 GEFS has resumed. SLOWLY Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: Maybe when the pattern change is imminent, the models will flip? I'm actually quite happy with the day time temps. Being near 40 does give you that "bite" to it. Something to improve upon as we get closer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: Maybe when the pattern change is imminent, the models will flip? Could you post Everett? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Canadian forum is getting awfully excited about what the model runs are saying for 8 or 9 days out. 5 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 GEFS Day 5.5 (Past 4 runs) Well, that's a bit different Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Could you post Everett? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 GEFS Day 7 (Past 4 runs) Not the best trend here though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 8 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Canadian forum is getting awfully excited about what the model runs are saying for 8 or 9 days out. Some forum members here might need to take a field trip over to their forum and drop them down a peg or two! Excitement NOT allowed. 1 1 2 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Canadian forum is getting awfully excited about what the model runs are saying for 8 or 9 days out. I should probably be over there, though the weather in Victoria is more similar to the Puget Sound area than it is to Vancouver/Nanaimo. We're far less likely to get snow than most of the region with this upcoming pattern due to shadowing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: I should probably be over there, though the weather in Victoria is more similar to the Puget Sound area than it is to Vancouver/Nanaimo. We're far less likely to get snow than most of the region with this upcoming pattern due to shadowing. Yeah that track is the absolute worse track for vic. Slams Vancouver though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 8 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: I should probably be over there, though the weather in Victoria is more similar to the Puget Sound area than it is to Vancouver/Nanaimo. We're far less likely to get snow than most of the region with this upcoming pattern due to shadowing. You should! There’s plenty of contributors from the Island there. I’m there because, climate-wise, Whatcom County is more similar to the BC Lower Mainland than the Puget Sound area. 3 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 34 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: That and he is now trying to steal any hope Jim has for some goodies soon, referenced by his immediate replies to Jim earlier today. #timlecturesaresopredictable Not true at all. You have been more negative that anyone. Jim actually had to scold you. We are on good terms. But I will just stop offering any analysis or opinion on snow details until it looks really good. Its easier that way. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 54 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Direct tv channel 535!! Airplane 2 Shirley you can't be serious! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Not true at all. You have been more negative that anyone. Jim actually had to scold you. We are on good terms. But I will just stop offering any analysis or opinion on snow details until it looks really good. Its easier that way. I haven't been negative at all. Not one bit. And Jim didn't scold me, he acts that way everytime someone does not share the same enthusiasm as he does for 7+ days out on the models, definitely not a scolding. 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 9 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: You should! There’s plenty of contributors from the Island there. I’m there because, climate-wise, Whatcom County is more similar to the BC Lower Mainland than the Puget Sound area. Your weather is probably more similar to the rest of lower BC than my weather, I think you're even north of here. I was there for awhile in 2017, then my account stopped working and I never ended up creating a new one. Not sure if it's even the same domain anymore. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Believeable range still looks safe from rug pulls, phew. Thought it was gonna get close for a second there 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 32 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: I guess after one of the warmest first halves of January on record we are justified in getting excited over a few days with highs in the low 40's with rain. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Thanks for the hot dog Randy!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 5 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: I haven't been negative at all. Not one bit. And Jim didn't scold me, he acts that way everytime someone does not share the same enthusiasm as he does for 7+ days out on the models, definitely not a scolding. Sure Chris. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 19 minutes ago, Esquimalt said: Yeah that track is the absolute worse track for vic. Slams Vancouver though. Doesn't look great, but if we can get any sort of NE outflow prior to that front we may swing a brief overrunning event. We're more prone to precipitation enhancement with NE winds and the rain shadow loses its effectiveness; as soon as the winds go E or SE it's over. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Thanks for the hot dog Randy!! Ditto 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Sure Chris. You call that a scolding? Pfff. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Day 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 00Z ECMWF shows some lowland snow next Sunday... 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Euro looking colder 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 ECMWF snow through Monday afternoon... 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Snow to rain event 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Day 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: ECMWF snow through Monday afternoon... I’m in the 3rdish shade of blue! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 A bit colder onshore flow. 850s -6c to -8c. Snow levels perhaps below 1000' at times. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2021 Report Share Posted January 18, 2021 Day 9'er hmmm.... If that slides south... Any offshore flow would make things VERY interesting! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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