SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: Andrew... should we meet half way in Kelso or Chehalis? I can get on Expedia now. I've met some kinky people from Kelso. 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 25 minutes ago, rsktkr said: I picked a bad time to check in on the snowy weather discussion. Nah, this is a good indicator that our snow chances are currently low Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I don't really think it is a matter of your preferences bothering him. Moreso you rubbing your "preferences" in his face. In other words when he is feeling bad you pounce like a puma! Good Lord. He will take on anyone who dares to express any negative feelings towards wet/chilly weather in the summer. Anyone. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: Good Lord. You are in a really bad space right now. He will take on anyone who dares to express any negative sentiment towards wet/chilly weather in the summer. Anyone. Not Jim. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Big 00z runs tonight. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 2 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 30 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: 00z NAM looks snowy at hour 84. 84 hour NAM = The old 384 hour GFS (after a few satellites and weather balloons had gone down) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Big 00z runs tonight. Hoping it nails you with 30". Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Big 00z runs tonight. Side note... I still respect you big time and think you are very intelligent. That is no joke. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 00z is going to be epic!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Side note... I still respect you big time and think you are very intelligent. That is no joke. Thanks Tim. You are obviously a smart guy too, probably why we butt heads. Both have to be right. 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 In all honestly I don't expect any consistent structural differences in the LR outlooks until the last few days of the month. The GFS is notorious for picking up on MJO influences a bit late. Buckle up. Could be a long week of paltry model runs. In the meantime we have some marginal events I'd suggest following. I think y'all would be surprised at how much of a morale boost even a few snowflakes in the air could provide. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Thanks Tim. You are obviously a smart guy too, probably why we butt heads. Both have to be right. Maybe so. But I am not saying you are wrong... the difference is just in perspective and emotion. I completely understand how you feel. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: In all honestly I don't expect any consistent structural differences in the LR outlooks until the last few days of the month. The GFS is notorious for picking up on MJO influences a bit late. Buckle up. Could be a long week of paltry model runs. In the meantime we have some marginal events I'd suggest following. I think y'all would be surprised at how much of a morale boost even a few snowflakes in the air could provide. Hopefully we see an improving trend. This forum needs HOPE. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 The goofus is running! 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Looks like PDX put up a -3 on the day. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Phil said: The goofus is running! Phil, when do we get to see this arctic blast? 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Jesse said: Looks like PDX put up a -3 on the day. Impressive for late June. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 28 minutes ago, MossMan said: She had just got done romping in the woods with the young dogs...She is 13 but doesn’t act it! D****T. I had a 50% chance to get it right. She looks like an absolute sweetie. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 C'mon 00z!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 9 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: In all honestly I don't expect any consistent structural differences in the LR outlooks until the last few days of the month. The GFS is notorious for picking up on MJO influences a bit late. Buckle up. Could be a long week of paltry model runs. In the meantime we have some marginal events I'd suggest following. I think y'all would be surprised at how much of a morale boost even a few snowflakes in the air could provide. This is very true. My favorite parts of any snowfall are the first flakes and when the grass first starts to turn white. It's the transition that's most exciting. We get that even in our smallest snows. 5 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 NAM range already. Was it the NAM or the EURO that picked up on last week's windstorm first? Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Decided to take an hour nap because I thought I wouldn't miss anything.....guess I was wrong Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: This is very true. My favorite parts of any snowfall are the first flakes and when the grass first starts to turn white. It's the transition that's most exciting. We get that even in our smallest snows. Down here closer to sea level, most of our snows don't accumulate, even on the grass. Just up on Maple Leaf they do more often, though! It's always so cool when the ground starts turning white. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Phil, when do we get to see this arctic blast? If I tell you, it won’t happen. Ma’ nature seems to have a vendetta against me. Kidding aside, once tropical forcing becomes less IO-centric (probably later this month) the probability of conduits to -EPO w/ N-American based TPV opening up almost exponentiates. Plenty of history there under weak vortex regimens. Never a sure thing but you’d rather have the present boundary conditions to work with vs climatology. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 So far 00z looks like tomorrow's low is heading further offshore. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Decided to take an hour nap because I thought I wouldn't miss anything.....guess I was wrong You were definitely right. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Does show some wraparound snow by Friday morning though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Light snow for Culver. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 00z GFS Day 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 By hour 42 flurries have moved off towards Prineville. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Day 2 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: By hour 42 flurries have moved off towards Prineville. I know, it is pretty lame. Still have a bet with my brother that we get at least one 12" storm before the winter is out, may even happen early spring this year, who knows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Coming into view!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Day 3 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Meh. Trough too far offshore again.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 GFS says it’s gonna rain! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Hour 90 is some serious low level westerly flow, just shadowing for me. Lame. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 21, 2021 Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by OysterPrintout,
3 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.