Jesse Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Direct 850mb temp outputs are highly dependent on small-scale features, and as such are prone to "wobbling". It's more useful to look at upstream differences. Meanwhile, nice improvements in that building ridge at hour 130-170, both in intensity and in placement. Whenever Andrew complains about a run this time of year all it means is it shows less snow at his house. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 Still showing a deep trough next weekend. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cjmessling Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 I mean I feel like I have heard they are almost done with i5 in Tacoma for the last 5-6 years but this recent article claims they are working on the 14th of 14 “major projects” now. Claims to be done with the project in fall 2021 I feel like the i5 Tacoma construction completion directly correlates with hour 384 arctic air. Keeps pushing back to 384 when it gets close https://www.king5.com/mobile/article/traffic/traffic-news/longest-beam-tacoma-i5-bridges/281-78ba9cd0-3e8c-4a21-bedc-bafe5eb3aa93?fbclid=IwAR15tixoY1Cqdn2g89o3RAi8c5qQGJz962SmFyUNX3In1p85dPvTB_D0xVU 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 minute ago, Jesse said: Whenever Andrew complains about a run this time of year all it means is it shows less snow at his house. Unfortunately, though there are exceptions, if it is not cold enough to snow at 1600' it is probably not cold enough to snow in the valley. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Unfortunately, though there are exceptions, if it is not cold enough to snow at 1600' it is probably not cold enough to snow in the valley. U r dumb 1 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 A lot less moisture from Willamette Pass north next weekend on this run. . Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, Jesse said: U r dumb Oh sh*t 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 Tahoe Al gets buried again. Let's keep an eye on hours 288-312, massive ensemble improvement there on the 18z. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 It's going to snow in the Sierra Nevada mountains for 5 days straight. 100 plus inches looks very possible. 2 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 9'er Not a lot of enthusiasm tonight? 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, Cloud said: Oh sh*t Well someone had to say it. Obviously there are a lot of factors besides elevation that determines who does and doesn’t get snow. He knows that as well as anyone. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Not a lot of enthusiasm tonight? Very little. Watching TV and falling asleep off/on. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 16 minutes ago, Cjmessling said: I mean I feel like I have heard they are almost done with i5 in Tacoma for the last 5-6 years but this recent article claims they are working on the 14th of 14 “major projects” now. Claims to be done with the project in fall 2021 I feel like the i5 Tacoma construction completion directly correlates with hour 384 arctic air. Keeps pushing back to 384 when it gets close https://www.king5.com/mobile/article/traffic/traffic-news/longest-beam-tacoma-i5-bridges/281-78ba9cd0-3e8c-4a21-bedc-bafe5eb3aa93?fbclid=IwAR15tixoY1Cqdn2g89o3RAi8c5qQGJz962SmFyUNX3In1p85dPvTB_D0xVU Well played lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 32 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: If you have any new neighbors, I don't know how comfortable you are with talking to them, but I'd recommend striking up a conversation about it. You could very well be saving a valley transplant from a lot of hassle, if not a lot of money and insurance BS from a collapsed roof. You would think local building codes would ensure roofs could handle large snow loads. The code here in Leavenworth makes sure roofs can handle even extreme snow depths. The issues we see, especially with new houses designed by architects from the West side, is that they don't take into account where the snow slides when it does. Many house, like mine, have snow guards to prevent sliding, but others will let the snow slide. Some new houses will have snow sliding from different parts of the roof to the same area, and that causes problems when it jams up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Not a lot of enthusiasm tonight? BBC is having Planet Earth marathon! Can never get tired of it. There are places with spectacular snowy weather. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 23, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 I’m still onboard. 3 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Yeah... that d*mn overpass was being built when my kids were little. Still not finished. It will never be finished, the engineers f*cked up and it will not fit in to any plan, they didn't figure it out until well in to the project, at least from what I heard about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 28F 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 35 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: You would think local building codes would ensure roofs could handle large snow loads. The code here in Leavenworth makes sure roofs can handle even extreme snow depths. The issues we see, especially with new houses designed by architects from the West side, is that they don't take into account where the snow slides when it does. Many house, like mine, have snow guards to prevent sliding, but others will let the snow slide. Some new houses will have snow sliding from different parts of the roof to the same area, and that causes problems when it jams up. I think we have the highest snow load building codes in the nation because of our wet snow and rain on snow loads. But in 2016-2017 we still had tons of roof collapses. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: 28F Same here! Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 GFS shows close to a foot of snow here over the next week. Let’s just say I have my doubts. 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 La Niño 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said: Lol not sure why Tacoma’s getting all of this negativity all the sudden! Some parts of town are kinda shady but quite beautiful on this side of town from downtown northward. Yeah, the areas within a few miles of the water are nice. And the waterfront has come a long way from its industrial past (my original point). There are worse places to live. Down to 36 here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 23, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 17 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: GFS shows close to a foot of snow here over the next week. Let’s just say I have my doubts. Mind posting a snow map? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 16 minutes ago, paulb/eugene said: La Niño NINO (Niña in name only) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 23, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 28. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 Down to 34. Can we get below 30? 3 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 38 here and still cloudy! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 13 minutes ago, MossMan said: Mind posting a snow map? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 G a r b a g e 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 Well thanks for keeping us in the loop Rob, even if the news is not good. 2 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Well thanks for keeping us in the loop Rob, even if the news is not good. Agreed. I appreciate everyone who’s putting time in to crush my spirits. (But seriously, thanks!) Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2021 Report Share Posted January 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Well thanks for keeping us in the loop Rob, even if the news is not good. No problem. Snow levels 500-1000' Sunday. You should see at least a few inches. PDX may see a period of wet snow, but nothing sticking. I will be happy with that at least. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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