Winterdog Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, Deweydog said: NAM ends warmer than the Euro as the southern stream tries to take over. Crap, you are right. The new NAM shows colder 850's than the 12Z NAM but yeah it looks like the warm push is moving into the sound at 84 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MV_snow Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Well, I certainly don’t have to worry about east winds nuking our precip here on the latest Euro. The northward trend definitely makes me nervous though. Would much rather have bitterly cold and dry than 40 degree rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 It is weird how Vedder Crossing is still 42 degrees with southwesterlies, while a couple kilometers east it is 33 and snowing. The northeast winds are stuck halfway between Hope and Chilliwack currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 00z runs will be interesting tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Good news is the ECMWF 18z is coming into range for the Friday system. Let’s hope for a southern shift. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 This is west of Hope; 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, MossMan said: It’s over. Even up here. And to top it off I have to look at Tom Brady’s face once again in February. Dark dark day. Whom would you rather see today, other than Russell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, Acer said: Crap, you are right. The new NAM shows colder 850's than the 12Z NAM but yeah it looks like the warm push is moving into the sound at 84 hours. The 18z will most likely show 44 degree rain for us for the second half of the week. This one is over. 1 1 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, kokaneekidz said: Whom would you rather see today, other than Russell? As much as it pains me to say...I would even chose Rodgers over Brady. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Pretty interesting that the ICON was the most consistent model when looking the 0z and 12z runs. A very cold / dry solutuion after the Arctic front. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: The 18z will most likely show 44 degree rain for us for the second half of the week. This one is over. I actually do think it's going to end up a slushfest for a day then back to normal. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, MossMan said: As much as it pains me to say...I would even chose Rodgers over Brady. I feel ya. But as much as I loathe Brady and his smugness. I am proud to see him flourish without Belicheat. Seems the Patriots needed Brady more than he needed them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, Acer said: I actually do think it's going to end up a slushfest for a day then back to normal. Good lord. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Good lord. After we get fairly cold of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I've been thinking about this terrible model agreement coming up, and remembered the ECMWF has a known bias to shove too much energy underneath a block. If that holds true this time I would expect a delay on the breakout over the ocean (if it happens at all). If the breakout is delayed it would probably be further south than currently progged. Interestingly the GFS's problem on the 12z is it didn't dig enough energy far enough west. May a compromise be in order? As for Seattle...All of the big three models deliver well below normal temps even though they all have a very different look at the 500mb level. Even the EPS mean shows 2 sub freezing max temps for Seattle, so I feel ok about Seattle's chances at some real winter. Obviously an ECMWF like solution pushed south about 50 miles would be the big winner for most of us. I heard of that EURO bias before. The 12z UKMET which is suppose to be the 2nd most accurate model behind the EURO had the Thursday system make landfall in Central Oregon. I'm still thinking at least PDX North can do well later this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 12z UKMET 4 AM Sunday. Positive vibes guys! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: 12z UKMET 4 AM Sunday. Positive vibes guys! Jan 10, 2017 on steroids!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 We have seen nothing but cold and or snowy runs for Seattle thus far. Why anyone up here would be glum right now is beyond imagining. Let's just wait until there is something to actually be down about first. 1 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 How's that 18Z Euro looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: Jan 10, 2017 on steroids!! Wow! Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Acer said: How's that 18Z Euro looking? Not anywhere near running yet. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 We should rename the website. Bipolar Weather Weenie Forums 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Acer said: How's that 18Z Euro looking? I think your a couple of hours early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YahRaEl Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Seattle NWS just posted a Winter Weather Advisory for a the East Puget Sound 1 1 Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, kokaneekidz said: We should rename the website. Bipolar Weather Weenie Forums That does have a cold connotation to it! I like it. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: I think your a couple of hours early. Haha, yeah I was thinking it was later than it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, Acer said: How's that 18Z Euro looking? Not yet. I was just mentioning that when it runs later today we will get some insight into the Friday system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Looks like the UKMET hits the sweet spot we all want. This has epic potential. 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Acer said: Haha, yeah I was thinking it was later than it is. When the game starts it will be up and running! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 ICON looks warmer at hour 75. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Looks like the UKMET hits the sweet spot we all want. This has epic potential. Didn't the UKMET have us in single digits with strong east winds just last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, kokaneekidz said: When the game starts it will be up and running! The 18Z sounds much more interesting to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Acer said: The 18Z sounds much more interesting to me. The drunk Irish uncle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Today’s sun breaks are kinda nice. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 hours ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: When you see a red door do you want to paint it black? some of that smoked meat sounds good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YahRaEl Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 I know this ain't facebook in all. I'm no real Meteorologist but extremely live weather since the age of 5 and having asperger's has highly enhance my love and passion for it. I decided to make a group on Facebook that concentrates on the Weather for Tacoma and rest of Pierce County and nearby surroundings from nearby Counties such as southern King County and Northern Thurston County around the Nisqually Valley. I usually keep my forecast within a 48 hour range. Looking for to some snow and cold weather before my spring birds starts to arrive later this month after the 20th which I'm going to start needing warmer weather by then. Weather Group https://facebook.com/groups/696681740851659/ 6 Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: We have seen nothing but cold and or snowy runs for Seattle thus far. Why anyone up here would be glum right now is beyond imagining. Let's just wait until there is something to actually be down about first. I think you worry almost as much about having literally everyone on board as you do about the models and the actual weather! Maybe 45% to 55%. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 ICON is still way South with Thursday's storm but it's dramatically warmer than previous runs. 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Early reports suggest the Arctic Front is traveling south, refusing to wear a mask and hasn't had a Covid 19 test. It may be difficult for it to sneak past Border and Customs Patrol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Steve Pierce's most recent Facebook post says stay tuned, and that it may be a GOLU model situation. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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