WBadgersW Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 This. Sucker is a la crosse to Green Bay specialCan't give up hope yet. Storms have been trending away from us as the storm gets closer though... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 madtown freaking out for no reason at all Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 DMX has always been pretty tight when it comes to the "B" word-- but with 45-50kt gusts with a fresh 4-6" of snow-- wouldn't surprise if its mentioned as a possibility in the afternoon disco Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 I think Madison will do fine with this storm. I think it's done moving NW now. Will have watch what happens the next 36 hours with the model swaying. Not expecting much more than 0.5-1.5" of wet snow with this. Problem is that there is no snow cover around to hold the cold air in place ahead of the storm. WAA won't have that working against it. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 Lot, still thinking 1-2 inches northwest of a line from Peru to Chicago Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 18z shifted NW again a bit and matches the 12z parallel very well. 6-8 in the main band in SW WI and up towards eastern WI Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 WAA could throw a wrench into this baby Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 Mkx goes with 1-3 and mix Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 18z gfs farther northwest. Local mets still saying could come farther north. NWS north Platte and NWS goodland still mentioning a further shift north. Cutoff lows over the southwest are tough to forecast, seem to have a mind of their own. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 Parallel GFS http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2015010118/gfsp_asnow_us_20.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 Parallel GFS http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2015010118/gfsp_asnow_us_20.pngPGFS sure has been consistent Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 Nice pm disco from DMX. Bumped up totals to 4-6 and Sunday winds could be 40-45. Wind chills in NW Iowa could reach -40. This is setting up to be a classic winter storm with moderate-heavy snow followed by strong winds, blowing snow and dangerous wind chills. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 Did PGFS shift a tad SE? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 PGFS needs to turn it around at some point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 Nice pm disco from DMX. Bumped up totals to 4-6 and Sunday winds could be 40-45. Wind chills in NW Iowa could reach -40. This is setting up to be a classic winter storm with moderate-heavy snow followed by strong winds, blowing snow and dangerous wind chills.You look to be in a great location to get hit with some warning type snows. This storm may even get juiced a bit more over the next 24 hours. Classic winter storm like you said. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 1, 2015 Report Share Posted January 1, 2015 Lot, still thinking 1-2 inches northwest of a line from Peru to Chicago Models need to start pulling this back SE then. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 In my area, we are getting close to the edge of the heavier snow because of it inching NW. Does anybody think it will keep going more NW? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Hopefully this storm can give me several inches of snow before transitioning to an icy mix and then plain cold rain. Too bad its not moving a tad SE, that way, I would be on the colder side of the storm. Lets see how this will play out. Fun storm coming up. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Hopefully this storm can give me several inches of snow before transitioning to an icy mix and then plain cold rain. Too bad its not moving a tad SE, that way, I would be on the colder side of the storm. Lets see how this will play out. Fun storm coming up. I highly doubt Detroit will see more than an inch out of this as it stands now. Hopefully it trends a tad SE. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlp Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 From MKE. 729 PM CST THU JAN 1 2015 ...ONE - TWO PUNCH OF WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND... CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING ON A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING TO THESOUTHEAST OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN THIS WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM WILLGATHER STRENGTH AND MOISTURE AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THEGREAT LAKES FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SATURDAY. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS NEAR CHICAGO AND ACROSS LOWERMICHIGAN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. THE NEARNESS ANDSTRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING A MIXTURE OFSNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN ON SATURDAY. THE MIXTURE WILL CHANGE TO ACCUMULATING SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT. INADDITION, STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 35 MPH AREEXPECTED TO DEVELOP WHICH WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ANDRESTRICTED VISIBILITIES. AT THIS TIME, ANYWHERE FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED DURINGTHE 24 HOUR PERIOD FROM SATURDAY MORNING INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THEHEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL INTO EAST CENTRALWISCONSIN, ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM DODGEVILLE TO MADISONTO PORT WASHINGTON. THIS WILL BE ONE OF THE FIRST WIDESPREAD WINTER WEATHER EVENTS TOAFFECT SOUTHERN WISCONSIN THIS COLD SEASON. HAZARDOUS TRAVELCONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP THIS WEEKEND. NOW WOULD BE A GOODTIME TO REVIEW YOUR WINTER SAFETY AND DRIVING RULES. STAY ON TOP OF THE LATEST FORECASTS CONCERNING THE RETURN OFWINTRY WEATHER THIS WEEKEND. IF CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH, WINTERWEATHER HEADLINES WOULD LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THIS UPCOMING WINTEREVENT ON FRIDAY. $$MBK Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 I highly doubt Detroit will see more than an inch out of this as it stands now. Hopefully it trends a tad SE.Im about 50 minutes north from Detroit. Im thinking I could stay on the frozen side a bit longer. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 NAM weak snow totals on 00z run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Reading DVN looks like 7" best case scenairo for me, 30mph winds after that. Local met says he expects it to continue more NW though...hoping it stays put myself. Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Reading DVN looks like 7" best case scenairo for me, 30mph winds after that. Local met says he expects it to continue more NW though...hoping it stays put myself.At least the latest Nam stopped the NW trend and even came South a bit. I hate riding the line... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 At least the latest Nam stopped the NW trend and even came South a bit. I hate riding the line...Trended towards strung out . 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 0z NAM Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 00z GFS... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 WTF??? Absolute terrible runs tonight. Unbelievable how it change that quickly in one run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Models are picking up on a secondary wave that may bring some accumulating snow for N IL. Let's see what the GGEM/EURO show. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 WTF??? Absolute terrible runs tonight. Unbelievable how it change that quickly in one run.This is the year of model consistency, remember??? LOL...baffled how much the GFS/NAM have strung out this system and we are less than 48 hours away. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 This is the year of model consistency, remember??? LOL...baffled how much the GFS/NAM have strung out this system and we are less than 48 hours away. In this case stringing it out hasn't impacted Milwaukee's prospects too much, but wouldn't be surprised if it did in subsequent runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Well I like the placement of the GFS and NAM at least. Just not the amounts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 WTF??? Absolute terrible runs tonight. Unbelievable how it change that quickly in one run.yeah-- unreal. the only model that held was the hires NAM. I have a feeling the NAM and GFS are onto it being weaker/phasing later and the 2nd wave not as strong. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 In this case stringing it out hasn't impacted Milwaukee's prospects too much, but wouldn't be surprised if it did in subsequent runs.Ya, MKE doesn't look that bad so far in tonight's 00z runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 yeah-- unreal. the only model that held was the hires NAM. I have a feeling the NAM and GFS are onto it being weaker/phasing later and the 2nd wave not as strong.Yup, we're 36-48 hours away from the event now. So my bet is going toward the weaker/SE trend from tonight's runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seahawkfan Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 Nam Shows about 4 inches for my area Saturday storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 00z PGFS went farther south this run...N IL now getting some snow... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 00z PGFS... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015010200&time=24&var=ASNOWI&hour=108 Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 2, 2015 Report Share Posted January 2, 2015 http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015010200&time=24&var=ASNOWI&hour=108There is a separate thread for this Clipper... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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