February 2014 in the PNW

[brody]

How dare you say that??

 

Completely offensive!    I am very angry right now.

 

And be prepared... tomorrow will be sunny but its going to be 3 degrees colder.    Tomorrow is going to be brutal.     

 

(it WILL be 3 degrees cooler since the GFS MOS has been dead on)

Ye of little faith

 

Tell me Tim, HOW brutal will it be tomorrow?

[TT-SEA]

Ye of little faith

 

Tell me Tim, HOW brutal will it be tomorrow?

 

B-R-U-T-A-L

 

I can't even imagine 34 degree and sunny.   It will blow your mind.   

[Gradient Keeper]

This will be a good test for the models.  Any guess on which one is first with the correct solution?

LMAO @ your profile pic.... hahaaaaa

[TT-SEA]

Official reading is in... SEA was at 37/28 today.

 

I had 37/25.

 

Hopefully they can get down to 25 by midnight... otherwise my cold bias is showing again.  

[HighlandExperience]

I'm not sure if this was posted earlier or not, but North Sound looks to do pretty well before the change over

 

 

Notice that the SwampLand (Bonney Lake) gets nothing.

[Jesse]

32/26 out here so far today. 26 is the current temperature and dropping fast.

 

Looks like PDX put up a respectable 37/25.

[Gradient Keeper]

I don't think anything correct-ish will get fully established until 24 or so hours out at the earliest. There's just a lot of moving parts with a setup like this, and every small amount of jet suppression can make a difference. HRRR model did the best with the December snow events, so I'd say look for it to be less out to lunch than the NAM/GFS duo.

 

What's interesting is how fused together the Saturday storm now looks with the Thursday/Friday conglomeration down south. Not nearly as well defined a gap between the two now, with low and mid level moisture advection increasing dramatically through the day on Friday across the region.

Agreed. Baroclinic zone setting up somewhere over the Willamette Valley and the pacific moisture streams in continously over the same area leading to a major snow storm. It would likely favor PDX south. I have a hunch going out on a limb that models soon may turn decidedly wetter/whiter. If I'm wrong, sue me.

[The Swamp]

Bonney Lake and a Puyallup are in the sweet spot for DRY and NOTHING! Hahaha! Gonna go kill myself now. Bye.

[Jesse]

-20c still progged at The Dalles on the 18Z. I think PDX will see highs below 30 tomorrow and Thursday, especially with more cloud cover around potentially.

[seattleweatherguy]

I'm not sure if this was posted earlier or not, but North Sound looks to do pretty well before the change over

 

 

 

Looks like bothell is 1 to 5 on that map?

[FroYoBro]

-20c still progged at The Dalles on the 18Z. I think PDX will see highs below 30 tomorrow and Thursday, especially with more cloud cover around potentially.

Yep, I am starting to think that it will be difficult to get any decent lows out of this thing. I don't really care, as long as we get some subfreezing highs and some snow. 

[luvssnow_spokane]

Notice that the SwampLand (Bonney Lake) gets nothing.

LOL!!!  Omg!      this is so awesome and classic for our area... I swear to God this area had been the suck zone of western Wa since I have lived here.  I honestly find it quite funny!!!!!        Hey I got flurries today!!!  I better chain up

[seattleweatherguy]

Bonney Lake and a Puyallup are in the sweet spot for DRY and NOTHING! Hahaha! Gonna go kill myself now. Bye.

0 to 2 for you so its possible.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Currently 31 here. Looks like at least an inch of snow fell today!!! Looking for my ruler to get an officially measurement!

[Snowman Josh]

Looks like bothell is 1 to 5 on that map?

I'll go with 5" . I think that is progged too far south. Unless they are figuring the county line north to Everett gets some shadowing and not Seattle.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Currently 31 here. Looks like at least an inch of snow fell today!!! Looking for my ruler to get an officially measurement!

pictures?  We need to document it

[The Swamp]

0 to 2 for you so its possible.

. Keep telling yourself that. I'll be watching the news to keep tabs on all your snow. Heck, might even break out the mower and cut the grass.

[Gradient Keeper]

-20c still progged at The Dalles on the 18Z. I think PDX will see highs below 30 tomorrow and Thursday, especially with more cloud cover around potentially.

I agree, and I can't believe that sharp of a 850mb gradient between PDX and DLS of 8-9c over 90 miles, yet 4-5 runs in a row show this.That's insane. Don't forget some snowcover in the eastern Gorge and throughout most if not all the Columbia Basin to aid in further cooling. The Freezer Door is now open!

[Parksvillewx]

I'm not sure if this was posted earlier or not, but North Sound looks to do pretty well before the change over

 

 

Wow, I'd do good if that were to verify too.  12"+

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

How dare you say that??

 

Completely offensive!    I am very angry right now.

 

And be prepared... tomorrow will be sunny but its going to be 3 degrees colder.    Tomorrow is going to be brutal.     

 

(it WILL be 3 degrees cooler since the GFS MOS has been dead on)

  :lol:  

[Jesse]

I agree, and I can't believe that sharp of a 850mb gradient between PDX and DLS of 8-9c over 90 miles, yet 4-5 runs in a row show this.That's insane. Don't forget some snowcover in the eastern Gorge and throughout most if not all the Columbia Basin to aid in further cooling. The Freezer Door is now open!

 

We shall see. The 18Z spit out -20 at The Dalles starting at 06Z (10pm) tomorrow while PDX is -11c at the same time.

 

Should make for some wicked east winds.

[Gradient Keeper]

We shall see. The 18Z spit out -20 at The Dalles starting at 06Z (10pm) tomorrow while PDX is -11c at the same time.

 

Should make for some wicked east winds.

My thoughts too, mainly downslope/mountain wave concerns if this verifies. IF....

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I just measured. 2" of snow fell up here today! More snow than I got with the December blast.

[brody]

I just measured. 2" of snow fell up here today! More snow than I got with the December blast.

That's actually sad 

[seattleweatherguy]

I'll go with 5" . I think that is progged too far south. Unless they are figuring the county line north to Everett gets some shadowing and not Seattle.

For some reason my location seems to always be on the lower end...of the snow totals.

[TT-SEA]

I just measured. 2" of snow fell up here today! More snow than I got with the December blast.

 

Very nice!

[Weather101]

Weather is cold...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This snow has put me in a MUCH better mood! Now maybe Jesse will be able to stand me! If a solution like the 18z or a little further north were to verify I'd be a very happy camper!

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Snowing lightly here in Poulsbo.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

[luvssnow_spokane]

I hate you just a little! -- Honestly that is beautiful .. Happy for you.

[Dadio]

Beautiful picture. Thanks for sharing. Hope all the rest of us get snow too. Good to hear about the snow falling in different places today. Unfortunately I didn't get to watch any snowflakes dancing or falling like meteors through the air.

[Gradient Keeper]

You *******! ..... looks really nice

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Salem had a midnight high of 38 today.

[FroYoBro]

The 0z NAM shows snow for most of Oregon Thursday into Thursday night. Portland gets nailed on this run. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The 0z NAM shows snow for most of Oregon Thursday into Thursday night. Portland gets nailed on this run. 

 

Its been a long 18 year wait. Hope it happens.

[BLI snowman]

Its been a long 18 year wait. Hope it happens.

 

18 years?

[Weather101]

18 years?

LOL

[Gradient Keeper]

00z NAM is awesome. Low comes in Thursday-Friday south of PDX stalls throws up increasing moisture. More moisture/WHITER run. East wind continues. And look what is approaching the southern Oregon Coast? oooo this is going to be BIG

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/nam/00/nam_namer_054_10m_wnd_precip.gif

 

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/nam/00/nam_namer_060_10m_wnd_precip.gif

 

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/nam/00/nam_namer_066_10m_wnd_precip.gif

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Actually 19 years since the Willamette Valley had a major snow event in February...Well except for EUG they had one in late Feb 1996.