snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Even on 11/5/91, meteorological winter didn’t start for another 25 days and lasted for 90 days. I think the same can be said for 11/5/1949 also. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Some days it’s really hard to figure out whether I’m in a simulation or not 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 That situation around day 10 is incredibly complex and a cold outcome for us can't be ruled out. The pieces are there if they come together right. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 7 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Even on 11/5/91, meteorological winter didn’t start for another 25 days and lasted for 90 days. What about 11/5/1105? 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: No uppers for Jim I’ll have a couple points of MDMA. 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I think the same can be said for 11/5/1949 also. I’ll look into it. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Only light rain and mist so far for Astoria. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Some days it’s really hard to figure out whether I’m in a simulation or not I feel like this is a simulation absolutely. 1 1 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 10:47 PM Radar Update VERY heavy rain roughly I-5 eastward in PDX metro and down the valley toward Foothills. There is a burst of wind with this too. Why does KPDX only show a trace? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said: Some bolts off the coast What happened to this? Did everything just went poof and disappeared as it moved inland? Current coastal radar is quite scattered. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 18 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I know he was trying to play the Debbie Downer roll and I just countered it. Huh? How? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Why does KPDX only show a trace? It won't with the next reading. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: What happened to this? Did everything just went poof and disappeared as it moved inland? Current coastal radar is quite scattered. Nobody on here lives in Forks. And yes to your question. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: What happened to this? Did everything just went poof and disappeared as it moved inland? Current coastal radar is quite scattered. Skark…expected you to be on top of this one 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Why does KPDX only show a trace? Joshua put duct tape over the rain gauge. 4 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 00z Euro still showing lowland snow, wth. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 46F with some light rain. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Nobody on here lives in Forks. I don’t care about that. Mostly talking about the band of storm heading into Ocean Shores and Aberdeen. It just kinda disappeared. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 I’d say this is more realistic. 3 1 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Skark…expected you to be on top of this one I’m sorry sir… it’s been a busy day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Snow level started creeping down earlier. Wish I got a shot of Gunn range. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 00z Euro splits it even more. Hm. 18z (bottom) 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: 00z Euro splits it even more. Hm. 18z (bottom) What was looking like a real possibility fell apart faster than cheap Walmart luggage. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 8 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: I’d say this is more realistic. Still shows a chance that doesn't exist for here. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 hours ago, AbbyJr said: I would have thought that type of pattern would be a result of a SSW, not a trigger for one but perhaps it can be both a result and a trigger? Yes both can be true. The NW-Pacific low and Nordic ridge can serve as conduit to -NAM in troposphere and inception of w1 response in stratosphere, which can evolve into SSW under the right conditions. Blocking often begets blocking. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 https://www.opb.org/article/2021/11/03/snowpack-cascades-climate-change/?fbclid=IwAR19EUvk7QOL-niD6cSaV8kU7PdetoMWEp0xO-fy6bqZq8qVmzlhduG6NSc 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, Phil said: Yes both can be true. The NW-Pacific low and Nordic ridge can serve as conduit to -NAM in troposphere and inception of w1 response in stratosphere, which can evolve into SSW under the right conditions. Blocking often begets blocking. Or not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: https://www.opb.org/article/2021/11/03/snowpack-cascades-climate-change/?fbclid=IwAR19EUvk7QOL-niD6cSaV8kU7PdetoMWEp0xO-fy6bqZq8qVmzlhduG6NSc What garbage. Yes I read the entire article. Could. Maybe. Might. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: https://www.opb.org/article/2021/11/03/snowpack-cascades-climate-change/?fbclid=IwAR19EUvk7QOL-niD6cSaV8kU7PdetoMWEp0xO-fy6bqZq8qVmzlhduG6NSc Yawn. Decades upon decades and haven’t seen any of these alarmist predictions come to fruition. Wasn’t the arctic supposed to be ice free by 2013? 4 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, Phil said: Yawn. Decades upon decades and haven’t seen any of these alarmist predictions come to fruition. Wasn’t the arctic supposed to be ice free by 2013? Wasn’t an ice age supposed to start in 2010? 1 3 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 46 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: 2nd shade of grey still!!! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall totals. DRIPPY! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: https://www.opb.org/article/2021/11/03/snowpack-cascades-climate-change/?fbclid=IwAR19EUvk7QOL-niD6cSaV8kU7PdetoMWEp0xO-fy6bqZq8qVmzlhduG6NSc I’m going to enjoy reading this article in 50 years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 The ECMWF gets modestly cold late in the run. The ECMWF seasonal update was posted today and it has the best signal for January yet. Better than the last two runs. In fact it also looks chilly for February. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, SnowChild said: I’m going to enjoy reading this article in 50 years. It's articles like this that make climate alarmists look like imbeciles. We are talking about the snowiest mountains in the world at present in spite of some recent warming. At elevations above 3000 feet the amount of warming required to result in no snowpack would be insane. Even Snoqualmie Pass still has snow on the ground in late May / early June at present. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: https://www.opb.org/article/2021/11/03/snowpack-cascades-climate-change/?fbclid=IwAR19EUvk7QOL-niD6cSaV8kU7PdetoMWEp0xO-fy6bqZq8qVmzlhduG6NSc "The researchers reviewed hundreds of scientific studies, honing in on 18 of them to develop projections for when “low-to-no-snow” winters would arrive for several Western mountain ranges, including the Cascades." Let me translate. The researchers took data that would fit their narrative and used that data to project what they wanted to promote, then the media took it, made a headline, and buried the meat of the content in a vague sentence. Yep. I had a bag of pristine, non broken chips. I took the three broken chips and said the bag was mostly all broken chips in my review that I published to Chip Enthusiasts Monthly. Good journal by the way. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 hour ago, Phil said: Yes both can be true. The NW-Pacific low and Nordic ridge can serve as conduit to -NAM in troposphere and inception of w1 response in stratosphere, which can evolve into SSW under the right conditions. Blocking often begets blocking. No question about that. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 Just now, NWbyNW said: "The researchers reviewed hundreds of scientific studies, honing in on 18 of them to develop projections for when “low-to-no-snow” winters would arrive for several Western mountain ranges, including the Cascades." Let me translate. The researchers took data that would fit their narrative and used that data to project what they wanted to promote, then the media took it, made a headline, and buried the meat of the content in a vague sentence. Yep. The article is just plain stupid. I've seen no appreciable change in Cascade snowpack in my lifetime. And they wonder why an increasingly large number of people roll their eyes at the mention of climate change. 3 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted November 6, 2021 Report Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The article is just plain stupid. I've seen no appreciable change in Cascade snowpack in my lifetime. And they wonder why an increasingly large number of people roll their eyes at the mention of climate change. Exactly. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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