TacomaWaWx Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: Yeah... Matt's house would be perfect. But he likes to remain anonymous for professional reasons which is a good call. Robs house or anywhere in Portland would probably be the best…might be a little far for mossman and the Bellingham folks but they’re all insufferable jerks who hog up all the snow every winter anyways so they can do the long drive! 2 4 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 7 minutes ago, Phil said: Not sure if this interests anyone but check out these localized temperature variations. Upper 20s to low 50s just a few miles apart. Nocturnal downslope winds have been common lately, causing all kinds of weird anomalies. http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?&zoom=11&scroll_zoom=false¢er=39.248473233548935,-77.55867004394533&boundaries=false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false&tab=observation&hazard=true&hazard_type=all&hazard_opacity=60&obs=true&obs_type=weather&elements=temp,dew,wind,gust&temp_filter=-80,130&gust_filter=0,150&rh_filter=0,100&elev_filter=-300,14000&precip_filter=0.01,18&obs_popup=true&obs_density=10&obs_provider= Looks very similar to temp map around the east side of Seattle during east wind, downslope events. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: If we ever have a forum gathering... we would probably all just be sitting around a table staring at our phones. Maybe even talking to each other on here while we are there. Hahaha know dude, we're a bunch of knuckle heads when it comes to weather. We'd be all there but still looking at the forum lol. 2 1 4 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 December we will see model runs so cold we won't know how to contain ourselves. MBG 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: Looks very similar to temp map around the east side of Seattle during east wind, downslope events. I feel sorry for the unlucky souls that spiked into the 50s. All that radiational cooling just wasted. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 56 and dry and breezy out here... looks like it might be pretty much dry until tomorrow night. Tomorrow is going to be a warm start to December... easily into the low 60s here. And will likely set the stage for a huge temperature variation for the month. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 18 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: 1999/2007 analogs…winter cancels…”communist news network” this forums almost never a dull place especially this time of year. you pulled some gems Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 21 minutes ago, MossMan said: This is the time of the year my wife starts getting slightly annoyed that I constantly have my face buried in my phone haha! 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, Phil said: Man if we can somehow avoid avoid a +ENSO transition in 2022, next winter would be in rare company as 3rd year niña/+QBO and likely -PMM. All dreamland for now but it’s possible. whats a -PMM? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 All are welcome at Winter's Hill. We've been talking about a get together for years and years. It would be a hoot. Maybe we could even invite Jesse for old time's sake. 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 3 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Snownerd3000 said: whats a -PMM? Pacific meridional mode. https://www.aos.wisc.edu/~dvimont/MModes/PMM.html Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: All are welcome at Winter's Hill. We've been talking about a get together for years and years. It would be a hoot. Maybe we could even invite Jesse for old time's sake. Lol now THAT would be very interesting. Jesse scolding people for saying it’s a nice sunny day. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 Just now, Deweydog said: Price per gallon of gas in a few months 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 And Phil. You better make it you son of a b*tch. Which is when we realize you are actually a sexy woman, posing as a dork from the mountains of Maryland via Stampede Pass. 1 7 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 EC thinking of ways to go about spitting out this run... 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 00z GEFS trying to drop the hammer on us IF the ridge cooperates! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Pacific meridional mode. https://www.aos.wisc.edu/~dvimont/MModes/PMM.html I'm sorry I asked lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: holy , we're further away from 1999 than when that song came out. SLOW DOWN, TIME! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Phil Posted December 1, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: And Phil. You better make it you son of a b*tch. Which is when we realize you are actually a sexy woman, posing as a dork from the mountains of Maryland via Stampede Pass. 4 5 1 3 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 That is one great looking GEFS tonight. Really sharp trough. Huge improvement from earlier runs and the AK cold begins to get displaced late in the run. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 Just now, snow_wizard said: That is one great looking GEFS tonight. Really sharp trough. Yep, and great tilt as the arctic air digs south-southwest. Positive anomaly on block at ~160 W. This is only the beginning my friend! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 13 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, Phil said: Doesn't look like it's about to snow. 1 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 No doubt the ensemble has picked up on a very strong signal for the mean to change so much. Let's hope this is for real. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 Best GEFS run by far! We're getting there folks. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 The extended range GEFS control run is insane, even more anomalous than 1950. Arctic airmass remains parked over the PNW for weeks, -PNA/-NAO, and literally meters of snowfall. Too bad it won’t happen. 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 damnit front ranger. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Yep, and great tilt as the arctic air digs south-southwest. Positive anomaly on block at ~160 W. This is only the beginning my friend! The model trends have been fantastic today for week two. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: Doesn't look like it's about to snow. +EPO. Such a turn off. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: The extended range GEFS control run is insane, even more anomalous than 1950. Arctic airmass remains parked over the PNW for weeks, -PNA/-NAO, and literally meters of snowfall. Too bad it won’t happen. Yeah. About that. It's coming. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 7 minutes ago, Phil said: 7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: That is one great looking GEFS tonight. Really sharp. Huge improvement from earlier runs. 4 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Phil said: The extended range GEFS control run is insane, even more anomalous than 1950. Arctic airmass remains parked over the PNW for weeks, -PNA/-NAO, and literally meters of snowfall. Too bad it won’t happen. I think you are enjoying trying to bring us down. I think something good is going to happen, but anything like what the GEFS long range is showing is always doubtful. Not impossible though. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: The extended range GEFS control run is insane, even more anomalous than 1950. Arctic airmass remains parked over the PNW for weeks, -PNA/-NAO, and literally meters of snowfall. Too bad it won’t happen. It will cause you just used the metric system. This is America and not some European nation. Use the imperial system!!!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 1, 2021 Report Share Posted December 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Phil said: +EPO. Such a turn off. It is going to drop though. You seemingly ignored the ECMWF weeklies. I don't totally get why you're being like this. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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