PNW November 2021 Wx Obs/Discussion

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

No, but that would be a great scale to use

Then when you get to "wow" and it keeps raining... you have no choice but to say "ow?" 

[Ellsworb]

40 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

That’s interesting our roof just started leaking just now. Freaking great rooting for rain and this happens!

Yep.  Insurance company's problem as of about 90 min ago.  Roofers and water mitigation team on site by 0800 tomorrow.  I was going to do it tomorrow, but went ahead and put the thawed pork shoulder on the pellet grill a few minutes ago and will smoke her all night.  Make some tacos for the worker helpers in the morning.

[T-Town]

3 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Then when you get to "wow" and it keeps raining... you have no choice but to say "ow?" 

I think at that point you have to switch it up and go with F***in A. 

[GHweatherChris]

1 minute ago, T-Town said:

I think at that point you have to switch it up and go with F***in A. 

That doesn't happen until it's 5" of rain in a day with no end in sight, seen it more than once.

[LowerGarfield]

Went to Lewiston this evening and visibility east of Alpowa Summit was poor. Maybe one car ahead bad. Wanted to get better photos but my son did not want to wait any longer.

[Gradient Keeper]

Temp surging quickly now 58.3 here we go!

[Anti Marine Layer]

7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Temp surging quickly now 58.3 here we go!

Another warm front.

[snow drift]

6 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Up to 68F now and comfortable in a t shirt and shorts. Not much fun.

41 here and rain

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 1

[Blizzard777]

1 hour ago, Ellsworb said:

We've sprung a leak in our roof on the east shore of lake tapps!  What a deluge of rain!

 

1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said:

That’s interesting our roof just started leaking just now. Freaking great rooting for rain and this happens!

Had this happen a few years back….went up to Depot and bought a can of roofing  tar and slabbed it in the area the water was penetrating. Worked like a charm but messy!  I had it all over me as well  

 

1.14 here so far today 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z NAM 3km Rainfall totals ending 4 AM Saturday

[TT-SEA]

00Z GFS only shows another .87 at SEA through Saturday.    Just don't think the major flooding is going to materialize around here.

[TacomaWaWx]

3 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

 

Had this happen a few years back….went up to Depot and bought a can of roofing  tar and slabbed it in the area the water was penetrating. Worked like a charm but messy!  I had it all over me as well  

 

1.14 here so far today 

That band must’ve been heavier on that side of the bay…we just went over 1” of rain here and over 4” for the month. Hopefully the leakage is fixed soon. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2

[RentonHill]

Was 35 and raining when I got here an hour ago. Now 33 and mostly flakes. 

 

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3

[Cloud]

0z has the fire hose going into Longview/Portland next 12-24 hours while things become more showery here. We could use the break before the next AR comes in. 

[TT-SEA]

Not sure if it means anything... but the HRRR shows the plume focused more to the south early tomorrow afternoon and sinking south.

[MossMan]

.73” so far on the day, 5.86” for the month. 
 

[TacomaWaWx]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not sure if it means anything... but the HRRR shows the plume focused more to the south early tomorrow afternoon and sinking south.

They need it more than us and I’d rather get less rain now so my darn roof stops leaking. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, TacomaWaWx said:

They need it more than us and I’d rather get less rain now so my darn roof stops leaking. 

More than us?   We don't need any more at all... but obviously we will get more. 

[TacomaWaWx]

6 minutes ago, Cloud said:

0z has the fire hose going into Longview/Portland next 12-24 hours while things become more showery here. We could use the break before the next AR comes in. 

Joshua ought to be happy! Well maybe. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4

[TacomaWaWx]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

More than us?   We don't need any more at all... but obviously we will get more. 

Yeah the only place in Washington that was still in significant drought status was the SE corner…and they look like there getting some pretty hefty rain right now so that’ll help. Send the focus down to Oregon for awhile. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, DJ Droppin said:

Day 4

Quickly pushes that second AR to the south which is nice.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6

[Phil]

Wow..the 12z EPS control run gets real close to something beautiful.

[Cloud]

Don't know if it means anything this far out but upper level winds does suggest we get a little bit of a break from the raging pacjet about a week out from now. Which also allows some cooler air to filter in. The pacific been way too angry lately.  Chillax bro!

[TT-SEA]

Even the ECMWF is having trouble... this is rain from 5-8 p.m. this evening from the 18Z ECMWF.  It shows the focus from Seattle northward.    It's actually been from Seattle southward this evening. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

[TacomaWaWx]

9 minutes ago, 1000'NorthBend said:

Have you been up there yet? Last year when we sprung a leak, I went up on the roof and found that too many leaves had collected against a skylight and was pooling water, which then found its way in. Once I removed the leaf buildup, the leak stopped. This October, we had our roof replaced and the new roof/flashing should keep us nice and dry now.

Water dripping into your home is not fun at all, hopefully it’s an easy fix. 

I haven’t it’s a flat roof on an apartment building and we have no ladder tall enough here to get up there. GENIUS design here in the PNW having a flat roof. I was very worried during February 2019 when there was 2 feet of snow on the roof. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Pretty boring run so far. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hmmmm 

[SnowWillarrive]

37 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Was 35 and raining when I got here an hour ago. Now 33 and mostly flakes. 

 

Where is that? 

[LowerGarfield]

10 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Why is Eugene in the Portland forecast zone? They barely ever mention us in the forecast discussion and there hasn’t been a blizzard in this location since like 1972. It’s been 1762 days since our last sub-freezing high for fuckk’s sake.

Absolute joke. We need our own NWS office in the south valley. The weather here does not feel like Portland…

Crazy to think that the peaks on Hawaii have had a blizzard warning more recently than NWS Seattle. 

NWS LV last had one almost 14 years ago? 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Day 9'er

Next

[RentonHill]

8 minutes ago, SnowChild said:

Where is that? 

Twisp