RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Here’s a loop of the euro end 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The surface gradients being shown on this ECMWF run are fantastic for some impressive low level cold. The gradient is persistently offshore, but weak enough to limit mixing for most areas. Cold 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 46/35 on the day. Currently raining and 43. .34” so far on the day, 5.48” for the month. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 11:17 PM Radar Update - This weather sucks balls 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 18, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, DJ Droppin said: 11:17 PM Radar Update - This weather sucks balls 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 EPS v Euro at day 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Major dumpage currently. If it was 17 degrees cooler we would be having a 12/30/21 in the early morning redux minus the early morning part. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 49/39 today 0.01”. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Day 13 vs 12z vs 00z yesterday 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Up to 6.98” of rain so far this month about 1” above normal. Also running +0.3 this month. Could be worse. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Been raining most of the afternoon and evening up here with 0.4" in the bucket and 3.68" on the month. With the additional 3/4" that we'll probably pick up by Friday we might still end up below normal up here for the month (which I think is just over 5"). 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 EPS day 14 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Full run 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Control 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Timing moving ahead with the EPS too. Here we go! 6z GFS in 1 hour 31 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Not to wishcast but February has “that feeling” to it again. The hammer will drop before season’s end IMO... Been a while since we had two good separate cold snaps in Seattle. Maybe 08-09? 13-14 and 16-17 included a lot of near misses and only a few days in which snow fell. 4 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Not to wishcast but February has “that feeling” to it again. The hammer will drop before season’s end IMO... Been a while since we had two good separate cold snaps in Seattle. Maybe 08-09? 13-14 and 16-17 included a lot of near misses and only a few days in which snow fell. Suddenly you have become much more trustworthy to me. I'm sure it's because you know what's gonna happen and not any snow bias in my head... 1 1 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Not to wishcast but February has “that feeling” to it again. The hammer will drop before season’s end IMO... Been a while since we had two good separate cold snaps in Seattle. Maybe 08-09? 13-14 and 16-17 included a lot of near misses and only a few days in which snow fell. I'm just glad we had the late December snow and cold snap. Anything that happens now is extra icing on the cake. It really makes so much of a difference for enjoyment of the winter. If we hadn't had that, think about how desperately we would be hanging our hopes on February. 3 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 18, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Anyone hear about this? https://www.kptv.com/news/family-and-dog-safe-after-home-slides-off-its-foundation-near-seattle/article_b6a87660-782c-11ec-93ac-a33dad0c90fc.html 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Cause I don't want to write it out again 1 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 hours ago, Skagit Weather said: I'm just glad we had the late December snow and cold snap. Anything that happens now is extra icing on the cake. It really makes so much of a difference for enjoyment of the winter. If we hadn't had that, think about how desperately we would be hanging our hopes on February. For Tacoma north, Dec was an exemplary 21st century event. My high of 23°F was the coldest in NE Seattle since Dec 1990. Hard to top that, especially in conjunction with the epic Arctic frontal band that brought 2-4”/hr snowfall rates, the highest I’ve ever seen in my life. I would be satisfied with this winter if we ran out the clock without another flake. Unfortunately the event petered out south of OLY, a common theme of the last 3-5 years. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 For Vancouver BC, Dec 2021-Jan 2022 was the best cold/snow event since 1968-69. If only that blocking ridge had set up just a hundred miles further east... It could have real been big for most areas Medford north. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 21 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Had to look it up... that town has a surprisingly Seattle-like winter climate given its at 63N. The big climate difference is that summer in Seattle is much warmer and sunnier. Pretty incredible this far north. Also frustrating! It’s 46 today and most of the snow is gone! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 19 hours ago, TT-SEA said: I love to learn about new places. I thought Norway was more like Alaska. I guess that is more inland and away from the coast. I don't think he traveled there just for a winter getaway. But that location is interestingly almost exactly like Seattle in the winter and I did not expect that. The Gulf Stream goes up the east coast of the us and straight into west Norway. I saw the current sea ice map the other day and the warm ocean temps are very well depicted there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 It’s a start... 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 18, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 59 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: It’s a start... Icy for PDX Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 hours ago, Meatyorologist said: For Vancouver BC, Dec 2021-Jan 2022 was the best cold/snow event since 1968-69. If only that blocking ridge had set up just a hundred miles further east... It could have real been big for most areas Medford north. I’m curious what metrics you are using to conclude that about Vancouver Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 8 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: I’m curious what metrics you are using to conclude that about Vancouver I imagine December 1996 was probably better, and maybe 2008. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 December 2021 ended up being out best snow event since probably March 2012. As for cold, it was nothing to write home about, though we did manage some sub-freezing highs. Our last real impressive cold was early January 2017. February 2018 and 19 both got a little colder too, it was a great event though. If we can manage a few more decent events and a chilly February and March, this winter will be tough to complain about. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 11 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: I imagine December 1996 was probably better, and maybe 2008. December 1990, 96 and 2008 were certainly snowier. I think this year came in slightly colder with the minimum temps Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Last night's CFS was incredibly wet for W. Oregon during the first half of February (And mild.). Not quite as wet for Washington, with some cold air sneaking in north of Seattle at times. Then after Valentine's Day a very cold air mass drops in. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 18z GEFS finally sorted out where the first shot of cold comes from looks we start out with sloppy seconds of east coast cold with a reinforcing north shot. Low confidence Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 My least favorite weather currently…Heavy drizzle and 43 degrees. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 GFS shows it staying completely dry for a week after this little system on Thursday moves through. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 0.08" of rain so far this morning. Drizzling and 41. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, FroYoBro said: GFS shows it staying completely dry for a week after this little system on Thursday moves through. We'll have to see if we can manage any "fake cold" out of it. NWS is liking highs in the valley in the 50-55 range for the foreseeable future. If we get any kind of fog or stratus deck that will bust big time. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 actually having a snow shower currently 32 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 13 hours ago, rsktkr said: Toronto today. Lucky bastards. Canada.....why do we still let them be a country? Completely shut the city down, too. They are used to snow, but not that much. P.S. You could always move. If you have an in-demand career, it’s not that hard…. 2 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 14 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: GFS shows it staying completely dry for a week after this little system on Thursday moves through. Pity it’s not likely to be a good fake cold setup, but any ridge will do. Beats the pants off more AR’s. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by MR.SNOWMIZER,
28 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.