Niko Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 Looks like a bullseye hit from Clinton's pl right up towards Jasters pl and mine of course () Also, I think Yerf does really good as well. 1 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, Niko said: Looks like a bullseye hit from Clinton's pl right up towards Jasters pl and mine of course () Also, I think Yerf does really good as well. Looks like the amounts will be close to the GHD-3 storm for us. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, Clinton said: Looks like the amounts will be close to the GHD-3 storm for us. Ur right....almost identical 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 My accumulations have just been upped to 8-12" interCast Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening 8 - 12 in Snow 0.05 - 0.15 in Ice 2 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 28 minutes ago, Clinton said: Looks like the amounts will be close to the GHD-3 storm for us. Here ya go amigo..we are both in the 6-12 range. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 Really happy for you snow fans!!! Hope it’s a whopper! 2 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 00z HRRR 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 Man, how awesome is this.... 2 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 @TomRooting for ya as your area looks to be really close to the hvy stuff. Come to think of it, Its funny how both storms are taking similar tracks. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, Niko said: Man, how awesome is this.... Haha, ya beat me to the WEENIE map posting! The only map I'm saving (just in case this over-performs lol) 1 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Niko said: @TomRooting for ya as your area looks to be really close to the hvy stuff. Come to think of it, Its funny how both storms are taking similar tracks. Yeah, have to Tom some kudos for saying days ago (when nothing was looking like it) that this could hit almost the same places that got hit 2 weeks ago. Well, here we are. 2 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 Just now, jaster220 said: Haha, ya beat me to the WEENIE map posting! The only map I'm saving (just in case this over-performs lol) This 18z NAM model means business.... Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 Just now, Niko said: This 18z NAM model means business.... Ikr, but so did all those pretty maps a couple weeks ago, lol. I wanna believe.. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 minute ago, jaster220 said: Yeah, have to Tom some kudos for saying days ago (when nothing was looking like it) that this could hit almost the same places that got hit 2 weeks ago. Well, here we are. Yes...he did mentioned that......Good job Tom! 2 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 21z SREF Mean staying juiced. Models have really been increasing totals over east central Kansas. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Clinton said: 21z SREF Mean staying juiced. Models have really been increasing totals over east central Kansas. I noticed that too! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 So, right now I am thinking that once we are in the lull tomorrow morning and early afternoon, much colder air will be arriving (arctic air that is) and by the time the snow arrives later in the pm hours, air temps will be solidly in the 20s or colder, which will be perfect for a bonify heavy snowstorm, sticking immediately as it hits the ground. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, Niko said: So, right now I am thinking that once we are in the lull tomorrow morning and early afternoon, much colder air will be arriving (arctic air that is) and by the time the snow arrives later in the pm hours, air temps will be solidly in the 20s or colder, which will be perfect for a bonify heavy snowstorm, sticking immediately as it hits the ground. What happened to tStasch?? Anyways, I'd love to say "here comes an east side special" except I don't really know that that is a thing. It's pretty rare actually if/when far SE SEMI jackpots over areas to the west. This may be one of those times. Waiting to find out.. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 12 minutes ago, Niko said: So, right now I am thinking that once we are in the lull tomorrow morning and early afternoon, much colder air will be arriving (arctic air that is) and by the time the snow arrives later in the pm hours, air temps will be solidly in the 20s or colder, which will be perfect for a bonify heavy snowstorm, sticking immediately as it hits the ground. Hoping the CAA does a more impressive job than last time around here, lol. Would be nice to avoid hours of 4:1 slushy cone stuff. I can remember some pretty epic quick "ice-overs" as the snow comes down steady on a brisk NE wind. That would be an ideal situation if we can pull it off. I'm recalling storms from my youth a bit further north when that happened. Back in '80's 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 00z NAM, 3k, FV3 all coming in drier (especially the 3k) in the TOP/KC areas along with some sharp cutoff issues. I guess we'll be sweating this out til the bitter end...yikes! 1 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, mlgamer said: 00z NAM, 3k, FV3 all coming in drier (especially the 3k) in the TOP/KC areas along with some sharp cutoff issues. I guess we'll be sweating this out til the bitter end...yikes! Good luck I can't believe how tight it is again. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 13 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Hoping the CAA does a more impressive job than last time around here, lol. Would be nice to avoid hours of 4:1 slushy cone stuff. I can remember some pretty epic quick "ice-overs" as the snow comes down steady on a brisk NE wind. That would be an ideal situation if we can pull it off. I'm recalling storms from my youth a bit further north when that happened. Back in '80's I truly believe this time whatever liquid falls in the morning ends and the ground dries up as much colder air filters in. By the time the snow arrives, it will be sticking on frigid ground, which will enhanced the accumulations much more this time around. Also, w the last storm, I did pretty good. Detroit received 9.2" and Macomb 9.0" even though, there wasn't as much cold air w that storm to work with. Thats the ironic part of it, but in any case, w this storm, it has w it a lot more frigid air to content w. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 NAM is south and drier here. Heavy band west and east of here lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 All of these models have a little doughnut hole right over the south burbs of Chicago (aka me lol). Anyone know why?! So weird to me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 11 minutes ago, Clinton said: Good luck I can't believe how tight it is again. Thanks! Even the HRRR has been slowly shifting south the last three runs (23z-01z). On the 01z run Kuchera has 1" in the NW corner up to 15" in the SE corner of Shawnee Co.!! That's nuts! 2 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 13 minutes ago, Jaycee said: All of these models have a little doughnut hole right over the south burbs of Chicago (aka me lol). Anyone know why?! So weird to me. You continue to bring Lincoln with you. 3 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, mlgamer said: Thanks! Even the HRRR has been slowly shifting south the last three runs (23z-01z). On the 01z run Kuchera has 1" in the NW corner up to 15" in the SE corner of Shawnee Co.!! That's nuts! This is giving me a heart attack! This is more stressful than a chiefs game lol 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: This is giving me a heart attack! This is more stressful than a chiefs game lol Never easy getting a storm to pan out in the Central Plains. I feel your nerves. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 hour ago, jaster220 said: What happened to tStasch?? Anyways, I'd love to say "here comes an east side special" except I don't really know that that is a thing. It's pretty rare actually if/when far SE SEMI jackpots over areas to the west. This may be one of those times. Waiting to find out.. I said the one thing this has going for it is the cold air could get established better with a more pronounce second wave would allow better rates. Where it snows. Still remains to be seen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 Pouring rain and 47 out. Goodbye snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 0z RGEM 10:1: 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, someweatherdude said: We had lightning and thunder here a little while ago. Not much rain though. Special weather statement for Jackson County pea size hail reported. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 0z GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Clinton said: 0z GFS Yikes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, Clinton said: 0z GFS Wow, even the southern Chicagoland burbs are out of it, as are the northern Detroit burbs. It was clear the GFS was on drugs a couple days ago, but dang. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 WOWZA!!! This is crazy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 7 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: Wow, even the southern Chicagoland burbs are out of it, as are the northern Detroit burbs. It was clear the GFS was on drugs a couple days ago, but dang. Not sure if there is something fundamentally wrong with the GFS or if this particular pattern is giving it trouble. It stinks so bad right now it's covering up how bad the Euro has stunk as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 1 minute ago, someweatherdude said: All you can do is shake your head. Whoever is in charge of that model needs to go back to the drawing board. The short term models still look pretty good for KC for the most part. I've heard a lot of people say the GFS is trash inside 24 hours. I'm not sure that's true in general. But let's hope so this time. That what i was about to comment. Aren’t global models not that well inside 24 hours and the short range models are better? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 The latest RAP shows a lot of snow for the area. I guess we are just in radar watch mode now 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 17, 2022 Report Share Posted February 17, 2022 9 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: The latest RAP shows a lot of snow for the area. I guess we are just in radar watch mode now Agree the HRRR is good for everyone south of the Missouri River. @mlgamerit's gonna be close for you, I would just close my eyes and then look out the window tomorrow morning lol. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.