September 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Nice on and off decent rainfall.  Nice to see fall slowly but surely creeping closer. I would love to see some good mid-late Sept storms.

[BLI snowman]

Thunder!

[Kayla]

Glad to see everyone finally seeing some much needed rainfall.

 

Unfortunately the 12z EPS says the ridge builds back in by the third week of the month with well above average 850mb temps. Not surprising I suppose. Things seem to retro like Phil was expecting. Looking forward to a full on Western trough.

[Perturbed Member]

Nice convective shower moving through HIO right now. Quite the downpour. It's been a long time since I've seen these kind of precip rates here.

[El_Nina]

0.35" total for yesterday

[Deweydog]

Thunner!

[Deweydog]

Dewey was making a menstruation joke, not to be taken literally.

It happened to coincide with reality, but yes.

[Blizzard777]

This one has sound and it’s 34 miles off the coast, and between 75-100ft off the water. Doubt it survives, but it’s a cool one.

You are the man of resources! COOL!

[Phil]

Dewey was making a menstruation joke, not to be taken literally.

Haha, I completely missed that. Just so happened to describe the situation perfectly, I guess.

[Jesse]

Glad to see everyone finally seeing some much needed rainfall.

 

Unfortunately the 12z EPS says the ridge builds back in by the third week of the month with well above average 850mb temps. Not surprising I suppose. Things seem to retro like Phil was expecting. Looking forward to a full on Western trough.

EPS has been bumping back ridging for awhile now. I was convinced we would be back in a ridgy pattern by the second week of the month based on the EPS 7-10 days ago.

[ShawniganLake]

Very warm in Prague today, about 85.

Three of my friends just landed in Prague this afternoon. From what I hear, it’s an awesome place.

[Jesse]

EPS looks troughy still at day 10. By then it’s the 4th week of September.

[Phil]

You are the man of resources! COOL!

Haha, I do my best.

 

FWIW, over the last hour or so, wave heights have increased by (at least) 5 feet in Surf City, NC. Those initial swells are definitely arriving now.

 

(Might be slow to load).

 

http://surfchex.com/cams/surf-city-pier-north/

[Kayla]

EPS looks troughy still at day 10. By then it’s the 4th week of September.

 

What happened to September!? I was referencing days 11-15 fwiw. Haven't been paying enough attention to the models lately so didn't know it has been showing the ridge popping back up in that range.

[Jesse]

What happened to September!? I was referencing days 11-15 fwiw. Haven't been paying enough attention to the models lately so didn't know it has been showing the ridge popping back up in that range.

That makes sense. You said the third week of the month, which starts in two days. So that part was confusing.

[Kayla]

That makes sense. You said the third week of the month, which starts in two days. So that part was confusing.

 

Yeah this month is apparently flying by for me! 

[Blizzard777]

Tigard sucks as much as Federal Way! Missing all the action

Nice thunderstorms east county Pdx

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Apparently we need more Readers Digest survival stories

As much as I love storms I would be out of there on this one

Same here. If I saw this thing coming, I would have been long gone by now.

 

[Blizzard777]

Meanwhile plenty of places to sit on beach in Waikiki

[Phil]

Same here. If I saw this thing coming, I would have been long gone by now.

 

That looks nasty. Good thing it’s just the 18z NAM.

 

The picture has completely changed since yesterday. Earlier it looked like shear/dry air was going to increase as it approached the coast, now it looks like shear/dry air will relax substantially upon approach. Looking at what Hugo did in 1989 over those Gulf Stream waters, there has to be some concern about a jump in intensity within 12-18hrs of landfall once the PVS is clear, and a track a bit farther north than is currently modeled by the ECMWF.

[Farmboy]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Maybe enough rain to start a green up this week, but not much...Probably won't be a green up in the Willamette Valley just yet. 

[Blizzard777]

Beautiful though....looking west from Tigard

[Farmboy]

Maybe enough rain to start a green up this week, but not much...Probably won't be a green up in the Willamette Valley just yet.

 

For there to be a green up, doesn't there have to be trees/vegetation? I thought it all burned up during the August Dante's inferno..?

[Deweydog]

I hate to see your jokes go unappreciated. I can't wait to see your puns as Aunt Flo wreaks damage, destroys houses, and makes so many miserable.

I picture her face to be the same as the waitress in Dumb and Dumber as Lloyd calls her over.

[TT-SEA]

Some very heavy rain here. No thunder though.

[Deweydog]

Just when I thought the alarmists were totally right about the troughorce field surrounding the Pacific NorthWET....

[Front Ranger]

Three of my friends just landed in Prague this afternoon. From what I hear, it’s an awesome place.

We're in love with it.

[Deweydog]

The TWC doing its best to make the slow weakening seem like a bad thing. PLEASE KEEP WATCHING!

[Front Ranger]

The TWC doing its best to make the slow weakening seem like a bad thing. PLEASE KEEP WATCHING!

Weakening? I thought everything was lining up perfectly for an awful, worse case scenario?

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Jesse]

Just when I thought the alarmists were totally right about the troughorce field surrounding the Pacific NorthWET....

People who were talking about how incredibly warm and dry the last four months have been were actually saying there would never be a trough here again. Very astute of you to pick up on that.

[Jesse]

There was some talk about the Western Anti-Trough Force Field.  It's down for repairs at the moment, but it looks like they'll have it back up and running within a week or so.

Tim’s top scientists are scrambling to get it fixed before the sun angles are too low for it to matter.

[Deweydog]

.24 at PDX in the last hour!

 

Really fooked up their post 5pm push for 90.

[TT-SEA]

Tim’s top scientists are scrambling to get it fixed before the sun angles are too low for it to matter.

 

 

I love sunny October weather.    

[Geos]

Same here. If I saw this thing coming, I would have been long gone by now.

 

 

That's one huge eye.

 

GFS now drives it inland.

 

 

[BLI snowman]

PDX's daily rainfall record for today was a pathetic 0.24" back in 1940.

 

Looks like they've more than doubled that already.

[MossMan]

Tim’s top scientists are scrambling to get it fixed before the sun angles are too low for it to matter.

Big thanks to Tim’s scientists if they can pull it off...perhaps I will keep the boat and jetski in the water for a little longer. Think we had nearly another inch of rain on the day here.

[Geos]

Cool day, only 65 today with 0.01" of rain this morning. 

 

Looks like one shower trying to push its way into the city now.

 

[TT-SEA]

Cool day, only 65 today with 0.01" of rain this morning. 

 

Looks like one shower trying to push its way into the city now.

 

 

 

 

SEA has gotten completely screwed again... been a running theme since May.   

 

Massive disparity between the immediate Seattle area and all the areas around Seattle which have been repeatedly hit.    Way more than the usual difference once again.   SEA is at .23 for the month.  

 

Normal rainfall in my area in September is just over 4 inches... approaching 3 inches here now after today's deluge.   This will likely end up a wetter than normal month here.