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April 2014 in the PNW

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#101
Black Hole

Posted 05 April 2014 - 06:31 AM

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Where do you see this blocking forming Phil? I bet its right over the western states. Although I don't know if it hugs the PNW coast or is a bit inland. Technically I don't know anything but that's what I think :P


BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#102
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 05 April 2014 - 08:42 AM

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I could totally see May/June be warmer/drier in the PNW then they have been for the past few years. Then July/August being cooler, I don't know about wetter, kind of hard to get a "wet" July around here. Though last September showed that anomalies do happen.


  • Jesse likes this

Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#103
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 05 April 2014 - 08:44 AM

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Looks like nearly half an inch of rain fell this morning in that band of rain that moved through...


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#104
stuffradio

Posted 05 April 2014 - 08:45 AM

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I could totally see May/June be warmer/drier in the PNW then they have been for the past few years. Then July/August being cooler, I don't know about wetter, kind of hard to get a "wet" July around here. Though last September showed that anomalies do happen.

We have a fair in Vancouver in August called the PNE. On a number of days, it poured during the PNE and caused the power to go out a few times. It was funny for me, sad for the attendees, and a nightmare for the operators!



#105
Phil

Posted 05 April 2014 - 08:55 AM

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Where do you see this blocking forming Phil? I bet its right over the western states. Although I don't know if it hugs the PNW coast or is a bit inland. Technically I don't know anything but that's what I think :P


Haha. Probably over the NAO domain, or possibly the EPO domain...there's something to be said about persistence so I'm tempted to go with the latter, like you.

The tropical forcings will dictate the location of the blocking. Right now we have a CCKW (convectively coupled Kelvin wave) over the IO, which will propagate east, setting off a major MJO wave and perhaps forcing another round of WWBs. This MJO wave will also be enhanced by cooling near the tropopause as a result of the PV breakdown.

So whatever happens will probably be very unstable in nature, as we're quickly leaving the winter circulation regime behind.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#106
Phil

Posted 05 April 2014 - 09:02 AM

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Haha. Probably over the NAO domain, or possibly the EPO domain...there's something to be said about persistence so I'm tempted to go with the latter, like you.

The tropical forcings will dictate the location of the blocking. Right now we have a CCKW (convectively coupled Kelvin wave) over the IO, which will propagate east, setting off a major MJO wave and perhaps forcing another round of WWBs. This MJO wave will also be enhanced by cooling near the tropopause as a result of the PV breakdown.

So whatever happens will probably be very unstable in nature, as we're quickly leaving the winter circulation regime behind.


Either way I'm not happy about it, mainly because it'll probably lead to a terrible +DA circulation regime in the Arctic for 4-8 weeks, giving certain folks something to panic over. And we all know how crazy the media goes with this nonsense.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#107
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 05 April 2014 - 09:13 AM

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I see the Mariners game in Oakland was rained out last night. Apparently the A's are blaming a lot of it on a bad forecast they got which led them to leave the tarp off the field before they got about a third of an inch of rain. That is what they get for hiring Kevin Martin. JK


  • Perturbance likes this

Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#108
Jesse

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:05 AM

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Just when things were starting to look interesting around here. 12z Euro goes back to ridge city for us while the Midwest/East get slammed with another unseasonably cool airmass.

#109
snow_wizard

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:05 AM

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Haha. Probably over the NAO domain, or possibly the EPO domain...there's something to be said about persistence so I'm tempted to go with the latter, like you.

The tropical forcings will dictate the location of the blocking. Right now we have a CCKW (convectively coupled Kelvin wave) over the IO, which will propagate east, setting off a major MJO wave and perhaps forcing another round of WWBs. This MJO wave will also be enhanced by cooling near the tropopause as a result of the PV breakdown.

So whatever happens will probably be very unstable in nature, as we're quickly leaving the winter circulation regime behind.

 

 

If there isn't another round of WWBs I would think any El Nino would be short lived as colder than normal subsurface water is right on the heels of the Kelvin wave that is currently surfacing.  It would be strange to have the Nino peak before early summer, but I would think another WWB will probably happen.


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2018-19 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 27

Lows 32 or below = 4

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows Below 20 = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 


#110
snow_wizard

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:07 AM

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Just when things were starting to look interesting around here. 12z Euro goes back to ridge city for us while the Midwest/East get slammed with another unseasonably cool airmass.

 

 

Obviously it's pretty uncertain right now.  You would think the wavelength would have to change to favor an overall regime change at some point.  I suppose it's possible the upper Midwest will be in a situation like we were in 1955 though.


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2018-19 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 27

Lows 32 or below = 4

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows Below 20 = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 


#111
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:08 AM

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Just when things were starting to look interesting around here. 12z Euro goes back to ridge city for us while the Midwest/East get slammed with another unseasonably cool airmass.

 

That theme should continue well into May.


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#112
snow_wizard

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:11 AM

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That theme should continue well into May.

 

Evidence?


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2018-19 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 27

Lows 32 or below = 4

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows Below 20 = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 


#113
TT-SEA

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:11 AM

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Obviously it's pretty uncertain right now.  You would think the wavelength would have to change to favor an overall regime change at some point.  I suppose it's possible the upper Midwest will be in a situation like we were in 1955 though.

 

 

Pure misery there.    I am telling you... people are at their wits end after two horrible winters and now springs in a row.

 

One of the stations there had a story about coping with the horrific weather and the importance of talking to other people rather leaving it bottled up.      



#114
chinook

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:15 AM

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Just when things were starting to look interesting around here. 12z Euro goes back to ridge city for us while the Midwest/East get slammed with another unseasonably cool airmass.


I would be satisfied with a dry, warm April/May time frame...followed by a wet early June. then crank up the warmth for the rest of Summer.

#115
snow_wizard

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:15 AM

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Pure misery there.    I am telling you... people are at their wits end after two horrible winters and now springs in a row.

 

One of the stations there had a story about coping with the horrific weather and the importance of talking to other people rather leaving it bottled up.      

 

Wow.  That does sound bad.  I remember people having similar issues here a few years back when we didn't see the sun for about 8 straight weeks, and then almost endless gloom after that.

 

I wonder when our turn will come to finally get stuck in one of those endless cold regimes.  We are quite due.  We came close in late 2008 and early 2009, but not quite.


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2018-19 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 27

Lows 32 or below = 4

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows Below 20 = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 


#116
chinook

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:19 AM

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Wow.  That does sound bad.  I remember people having similar issues here a few years back when we didn't see the sun for about 8 straight weeks, and then almost endless gloom after that.
 
I wonder when our turn will come to finally get stuck in one of those endless cold regimes.  We are quite due.  We came close in late 2008 and early 2009, but not quite.


Yeah but the enjoyable months of late spring, summer and fall only bring in gunk, low clouds with coolness. No thanks.

#117
snow_wizard

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:24 AM

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Yeah but the enjoyable months of late spring, summer and fall only bring in gunk, low clouds with coolness. No thanks.

 

Not true at all.  August 1955 was one of the driest and sunniest Augusts on record despite being way cooler than normal thanks to chilly nights.  1985 was a cold year overall and had lots of very nice weather.  We get a lot of cold clippers in the kind of regime I'm talking about which bring more of a continental flavor.

 

Another fabulous example of that is 1949.  Tons of abnormally cold nights in the spring and early summer.  Some places had frost in early July.  Later in the year we had a slightly drier than normal October with an Arctic outbreak.  Not at all what you are talking about.


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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2018-19 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 27

Lows 32 or below = 4

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows Below 20 = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 


#118
Jesse

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:26 AM

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Yeah but the enjoyable months of late spring, summer and fall only bring in gunk, low clouds with coolness. No thanks.

 

Cool, dry weather is actually possible during all of those times of year. We just haven't seen much of it lately.



#119
Jesse

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:27 AM

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Evidence?

 

CFS



#120
snow_wizard

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:28 AM

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Cool, dry weather is actually possible during all of those times of year. We just haven't seen much of it lately.

 

Bingo!


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2018-19 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 27

Lows 32 or below = 4

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows Below 20 = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 


#121
Jesse

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:28 AM

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Not true at all.  August 1955 was one of the driest and sunniest Augusts on record despite being way cooler than normal thanks to chilly nights.  1985 was a cold year overall and had lots of very nice weather.  We get a lot of cold clippers in the kind of regime I'm talking about which bring more of a continental flavor.

 

Another fabulous example of that is 1949.  Tons of abnormally cold nights in the spring and early summer.  Some places had frost in early July.  Later in the year we had a slightly drier than normal October with an Arctic outbreak.  Not at all what you are talking about.

 

This.

 

A regime of that nature was looking likely in the mid-long range. Now not as certain. 12Z EURO sure was a downer. GFS and ensembles still show hope, though. They lead the way with the quick breakdown of the ridge early next week.



#122
Jesse

Posted 05 April 2014 - 11:31 AM

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Bingo!

 

A lot of people on here don't understand that that's what I am wanting to see in the warm season. I am 100% ok with the low clouds and drizzle taking an extended vacation. Today is just putrid, for example. 



#123
Phil

Posted 05 April 2014 - 12:13 PM

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Wow. That does sound bad. I remember people having similar issues here a few years back when we didn't see the sun for about 8 straight weeks, and then almost endless gloom after that.

I wonder when our turn will come to finally get stuck in one of those endless cold regimes. We are quite due. We came close in late 2008 and early 2009, but not quite.


It's been nasty here too, but at least it looks like the worst is behind us.

The ground is still frozen solid, snow everywhere, and no sign of bird/plant life. We're way past the equinox now too.

Goes to show how massive our system's thermal inertia truly is. We're approaching a late-August Sun angle.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#124
Phil

Posted 05 April 2014 - 12:16 PM

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If there isn't another round of WWBs I would think any El Nino would be short lived as colder than normal subsurface water is right on the heels of the Kelvin wave that is currently surfacing. It would be strange to have the Nino peak before early summer, but I would think another WWB will probably happen.


There's no doubt 2014-15 will be an El Niño winter. Problem is people love to hype and ignore the facts (AKA what governs ENSO). Hence all the super Niño predictions.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#125
Phil

Posted 05 April 2014 - 12:19 PM

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That theme should continue well into May.


I hope you bust. :)
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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#126
Jesse

Posted 05 April 2014 - 01:04 PM

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It's been nasty here too, but at least it looks like the worst is behind us.

The ground is still frozen solid, snow everywhere, and no sign of bird/plant life. We're way past the equinox now too.

Goes to show how massive our system's thermal inertia truly is. We're approaching a late-August Sun angle.


I think that as of today the sun angle is equivalent to September 5th, roughly.
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#127
TT-SEA

Posted 05 April 2014 - 01:07 PM

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I think that as of today the sun angle is equivalent to September 5th, roughly.

 

He said approaching.   We will be at late August sun angle equivalent later this coming week.


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#128
Jesse

Posted 05 April 2014 - 01:35 PM

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He said approaching. We will be at late August sun angle equivalent later this coming week.


Did I disagree with him? :huh:

#129
chinook

Posted 05 April 2014 - 01:44 PM

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Did I disagree with him? :huh:


No. You were pointing out for today.

#130
Jesse

Posted 05 April 2014 - 01:51 PM

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In the mean time, I am going to try to savor the last few days of autumnal sun angles. Just under five months to go until they're back. ;)

#131
Black Hole

Posted 05 April 2014 - 02:05 PM

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One of my classes is called 'weather forecasting' and I am leading the class, including the teacher so that's fun. Anyway we had a forecast for Seattle the other day so I felt pretty comfortable with that one because I knew about its warm bias ahead of time :lol:


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BS Atmospheric Science University of Utah May 2015

PhD Candidate Atmospheric Sciences

 

--Emphasis on: Forecasting, Mountain Weather, Numerical Weather Prediction, Data Assimilation

 

Winter 2017/2018

Dec 4: 3.2", 16: 0.9", 20: 2.1", 23: 1.5", 25: 4.6"

Jan 6: 1.5", 20: 10.8", 25: 1.5"

Feb 19: 8.6", 20: 2.4", 23: 7.1", 25: .5"

Mar 4: 13", 15: 1.8", 17: 5.3", 25: 4.2"

April 12: 1", 17: 1.3"

Total: 69.3"

 

 

Winter 2016/17 Snow:
Nov 17: 3.2", 23: 1.6", 28: 9.2" (14)

Dec 1: .5", 16: 2.5", 25: 13" (16)

Jan 2: 5", 3: 2.4", 4: 7.7", 12: 1", 19: 1.2", 21: 13", 23: 6", 24: 1", 25: 3.7", 26: 2.5" (43.5) 

Feb 11: .5", 23: 6.5", 27: 4.5" (13.5)

Mar 5: 5.5" (5.5)

Apr 8: 2", 9: 1.8" (3.8)

May 17: 1" (1)
Total: 96.3"

Lowest Temp: 2F


#132
richard mann

Posted 05 April 2014 - 02:34 PM

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-

There's no doubt 2014-15 will be an El Niño winter. Problem is people love to hype and ignore the facts (AKA what governs ENSO). Hence all the super Niño predictions.


 And others (apparently), like to draw general conclusions regarding / present general characterizations of .. "peoples'" views, other than their own.

http://theweatherfor...ge-2#entry24306


---twitter_logo-t12.png

#133
richard mann

Posted 05 April 2014 - 03:01 PM

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... [The] Problem is ... people love to hype .. and ignore the facts (AKA what governs ENSO). 

 

Remind us all again, if you would perhaps then "Phil", as to your own views regarding these main causal or controlling factors and elements.

 

Here, perhaps. http://theweatherfor...o-thread/page-2 (.. head of pg. 2.)

http://theweatherfor...thread/?p=24306 (.. The most recent post to the thread.)

 

For better general referencing in the future. ....

 

("AKA" / "also known as". ?)


---twitter_logo-t12.png

#134
BLI snowman

Posted 05 April 2014 - 03:01 PM

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18z alert!

 

Something like that would be kind of groovy.



#135
Jesse

Posted 05 April 2014 - 05:14 PM

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18z alert!

Something like that would be kind of groovy.


Outlier.

#136
Timmy_Supercell

Posted 05 April 2014 - 07:25 PM

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Pure misery there.    I am telling you... people are at their wits end after two horrible winters and now springs in a row.

 

One of the stations there had a story about coping with the horrific weather and the importance of talking to other people rather leaving it bottled up.      

 

Spring started 15 days ago and we call it quits..

 

By May it will be alright! :P


Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR

-------------------------------------------------------------------

Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

 

2010-2011 - 58.20" (161%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 16.70" (46%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
 
2018-2019 - 00.00"
 
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.00" (03/20/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (12/29/2012), 8.00" (01/01/2011)
 
T'storm Days: 16 (2018), 11 (2017), 12 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011) / 1980-2015 Avg = 12 T'storm Days
Severe T'storms: 4 (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe - (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 


#137
richard mann

Posted 05 April 2014 - 08:37 PM

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Major SSW attm with a favorable EPF and full scale propagation likely, could be the FW event.

Should see more "blocking" develop in May/June..which is exactly when we DON'T want it.

 

Working backward through this set of statements here above (Not, so far as I can tell, connected particularly to anything previous to it, posted whether by yourself or anyone else.), and with my apologies, .. Why, don't we (presumably those of us either whether or both in or interested in what takes place weather and or climate wise where looking at the PNW), want to see more "blocking" develop in May/ June. ?

 

And then with this question otherwise, could you perhaps expand a bit more where regarding, elucidate with respect to, what you've said here above more initially, having apparently lead to the conclusion that you've pointed to. ?


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#138
Guest_Monty67_*

Posted 05 April 2014 - 09:58 PM

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18z alert!
 
Something like that would be kind of groovy.


That would be more than groovy. I like our chances of seeing some decent ridging around mid month.

#139
Weather101

Posted 06 April 2014 - 02:49 AM

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Sunny and 60-70F is the best weather for spring/summer IMO. 70-75F is find but anything more is uncomfortable and too much.
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2013/2014 Winter season
Coldest Low: 14 F December 7th
Coldest High: 27.3 F December 7th
Coldest Wind chill: 5 F December 7th
Lowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6th
Days below freezing: 5
Total Snowfall: 11 inches
Most snowfall in a Day: 8 inches
Days With Snow: 3

#140
Jesse

Posted 06 April 2014 - 06:54 AM

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For those wanting to see a return to a ridgy pattern, it's interesting to think about how ridgy overall the last year or so has been.

 

Late April/early May last year were quite warm and ridgy. Same with early June, then we had the heat wave in late June of course. July-early September were persistently ridgy. We had a wet and cool period for about a month between mid-September and mid-October, then went right back to an extremely ridgy pattern for about three weeks. The last half of November and most of December and January had a ridge either near us or over us. February and March were wet and now we are looking at a possibly ridgy middle of April. 

 

Just some food for thought.



#141
TT-SEA

Posted 06 April 2014 - 07:23 AM

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For those wanting to see a return to a ridgy pattern, it's interesting to think about how ridgy overall the last year or so has been.

 

Late April/early May last year were quite warm and ridgy. Same with early June, then we had the heat wave in late June of course. July-early September were persistently ridgy. We had a wet and cool period for about a month between mid-September and mid-October, then went right back to an extremely ridgy pattern for about three weeks. The last half of November and most of December and January had a ridge either near us or over us. February and March were wet and now we are looking at a possibly ridgy middle of April. 

 

Just some food for thought.

 

 

Just want what has been basically two months of nearly endless rain and troughing here to end.   Don't care how it ends.   Just end.   

 

A ridge is the easiest path to ensuring that result.

 

You want some very specific pattern where its troughy and cold but sunny.    That would be fine with me... but it seems much more difficult to achieve that result.     

 

I am easy... don't care if its 58 and sunny or 78 and sunny.    The only part of that equation that matters to me is the sunshine and a generally dry weather regime. 



#142
TT-SEA

Posted 06 April 2014 - 07:25 AM

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Heavy drizzle here... probably socked in all day again.

 

GFS and the MM5 models completely blew it for today... ECMWF has shown light precip out here all day for today for many runs.

 

Did I ever mention that I hate warm fronts??   



#143
Jesse

Posted 06 April 2014 - 07:27 AM

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Heavy drizzle here... probably socked in all day again.

 

GFS and the MM5 models completely blew it for today... ECMWF has shown light precip out here all day for today for many runs.

 

Did I ever mention that I hate warm fronts??   

 

At least we can agree about that. :)

 

Worst weather possible in this climate, hands down. Nothing redeeming about it usually, not even mountain snow.



#144
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Posted 06 April 2014 - 07:33 AM

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At least we can agree about that. :)

 

Worst weather possible in this climate, hands down. Nothing redeeming about it usually, not even mountain snow.

 

Amorphous blobs of precipitation with no definition.   

 

Can track on the radar very well... most of it comes from the thick pile of low-level, gooey crap that gets deposited on top of us and can't clear out.

 

Sometimes it goes on for days.     Weather hell.      



#145
Jesse

Posted 06 April 2014 - 07:34 AM

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Just want what has been basically two months of nearly endless rain and troughing here to end.   Don't care how it ends.   Just end.   

 

A ridge is the easiest path to ensuring that result.

 

You want some very specific pattern where its troughy and cold but sunny.    That would be fine with me... but it seems much more difficult to achieve that result.     

 

I am easy... don't care if its 58 and sunny or 78 and sunny.    The only part of that equation that matters to me is the sunshine and a generally dry weather regime. 

 

I would just like to see an overall dry pattern during the warm season that doesn't completely torch. It used to happen a lot around here. I believe the atmosphere is still completely capable of it, and there will probably come a time when it becomes common again.

 

It's not like it takes some sort of extremely unusual setup. Basically just take whatever ridge that is giving us nice weather and move the axis a little bit offshore and I'm a happy camper.

 

I am even fine with some very warm days as long as there is variability. Dry fronts/clipper systems and cold nights here and there to break things up. It's when the warmth starts to get stagnant and redundant and consistently record-breaking that I start to get antsy.



#146
Jesse

Posted 06 April 2014 - 07:37 AM

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Amorphous blobs of precipitation with no definition.   

 

Can track on the radar very well... most of it comes from the thick pile of low-level, gooey crap that gets deposited on top of us and can't clear out.

 

Sometimes it goes on for days.     Weather hell.      

 

I'm going hiking on the east side again today. Plenty of sunshine over there. You should follow suit. ;)



#147
TT-SEA

Posted 06 April 2014 - 07:40 AM

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I'm going hiking on the east side again today. Plenty of sunshine over there. You should follow suit. ;)

 

 

We should.  

 

So much yardwork we want to do and its just terrible out there.   A drenching, miserable drizzle.   

 

Really hoping next weekend stays dry like the models are showing.    



#148
stuffradio

Posted 06 April 2014 - 08:09 AM

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I would gladly accept a weather pattern where it's rain 1 or 2 days, followed by 3-5 sunny days in a row. That doesn't usually happen though. Usually we get rain for 4+ days in a row and 1 sunny day.

 

Environment Canada says it's supposed to reach 68F for me next weekend.



#149
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Posted 06 April 2014 - 09:07 AM

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For those wanting to see a return to a ridgy pattern, it's interesting to think about how ridgy overall the last year or so has been.

 

Late April/early May last year were quite warm and ridgy. Same with early June, then we had the heat wave in late June of course. July-early September were persistently ridgy. We had a wet and cool period for about a month between mid-September and mid-October, then went right back to an extremely ridgy pattern for about three weeks. The last half of November and most of December and January had a ridge either near us or over us. February and March were wet and now we are looking at a possibly ridgy middle of April. 

 

Just some food for thought.

 

Okay... we also just had a top wet March and a cold, wet February. And we're not in any kind of -ENSO event, so there's nothing to sway things towards a persistently cold/wet pattern like you would like.



#150
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Posted 06 April 2014 - 09:10 AM

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GFS MOS and the new WRF run keep it fairly cloudy tomorrow with rain moving in by noon on Tuesday.

 

Not really going to break out of this crap for awhile.