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October 2022 PNW weather Discussion. + Ultimate Leg Reveal Extravaganza


TacomaWx

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Honestly I am not sure why everyone is so obsessed with getting a bunch of rain. In the big picture snowpack and spring precip mean a lot more for the drought situation. A ton of rain right now is pretty meaningless if it falls with 8,000' snow levels and we have a record dry spring.Β 

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew
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SnowfallΒ  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2021-22: 91.46"Β 

2020-21: 12.0"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2012-13: 78.45Β Β 

2011-12: 98.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill!Β 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

Β 

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Everyone knows I would love to see rain... But I am not going to whine about what at face value would be a very cold pattern for late October.Β 

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SnowfallΒ  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2021-22: 91.46"Β 

2020-21: 12.0"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2012-13: 78.45Β Β 

2011-12: 98.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill!Β 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

Β 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Honestly I am not sure why everyone is so obsessed with getting a bunch of rain. In the big picture snowpack and spring precip mean a lot more for the drought situation. A ton of rain right now is pretty meaningless if it falls with 8,000' snow levels and we have a record dry spring.Β 

We need one at least one good soaking rain to give the plants and trees a drink. They are suffering hard.Β 

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He wants to downvote that post so fucking hard.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining:Β 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21:Β 13"

-2021-22:Β 8.75"

-2022-23:Β 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall:Β 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm):Β 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth:Β 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest:Β 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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5 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

God this place is so meta I wish I could just stick it straight into my veins

I've had to doubletake half of everything I've read this last week.

  • Like 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining:Β 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21:Β 13"

-2021-22:Β 8.75"

-2022-23:Β 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall:Β 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm):Β 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth:Β 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest:Β 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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I would take the GFS solution over the GEM any day of the week.Β 

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SnowfallΒ  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2021-22: 91.46"Β 

2020-21: 12.0"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2012-13: 78.45Β Β 

2011-12: 98.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill!Β 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

Β 

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Just now, Deweydog said:

Will suppository form suffice?

image.gif

Boof it!

  • lol 2

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining:Β 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21:Β 13"

-2021-22:Β 8.75"

-2022-23:Β 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall:Β 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm):Β 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth:Β 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest:Β 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Honestly I am not sure why everyone is so obsessed with getting a bunch of rain. In the big picture snowpack and spring precip mean a lot more for the drought situation. A ton of rain right now is pretty meaningless if it falls with 8,000' snow levels and we have a record dry spring.Β 

Rain is really necessary to stop the endless smoke improve air quality across the state. And some of us like to ski! 😎

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Just now, selkirks said:

Rain is really necessary to stop the endless smoke improve air quality across the state. And some of us like to ski! 😎

The GFS shows rain (GEM does not.), and very low snow levels for this time of year. The fires would be out if the GFS verified. And I always thought a Thanksgiving ski opening was considered pretty good, so we are still probably at least a month away.Β 

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SnowfallΒ  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2021-22: 91.46"Β 

2020-21: 12.0"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2012-13: 78.45Β Β 

2011-12: 98.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill!Β 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

Β 

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21 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Oh Tiger!!! Brother you were so optimistic earlier todayΒ 

I'm optimistic about the long term prospects for winter. But I'm not sure if things are changing just yet.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (JanΒ 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (JanΒ 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24Β (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4Β (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024Β (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

Β 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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BTW the CFS is showing a ton of rain once we get into November.Β 

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SnowfallΒ  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2021-22: 91.46"Β 

2020-21: 12.0"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2012-13: 78.45Β Β 

2011-12: 98.5"Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β  Β 2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill!Β 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

Β 

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3 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Clown range looks good!
500h_anom.na.png

Great windstorm pattern

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining:Β 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21:Β 13"

-2021-22:Β 8.75"

-2022-23:Β 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall:Β 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm):Β 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth:Β 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest:Β 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The GFS shows rain (GEM does not.), and very low snow levels for this time of year. The fires would be out if the GFS verified. And I always thought a Thanksgiving ski opening was considered pretty good, so we are still probably at least a month away.Β 

Oh, of course – I was referring to the comments referencing the GEM. Thanksgiving is good but we do get earlier openings from time to time. Late October and early November build Opening Day snowpacks.

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Models seem to be hinting at a downslope component to these east winds into the weekend. Some mountain wave activity perhaps?

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"Let's mosey!"

Β 

--Cloud Strife

Β 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Β 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

Β 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

Β 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

Β 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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4 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Models seem to be hinting at a downslope component to these east winds into the weekend. Some mountain wave activity perhaps?

No mountain wave like last month, but it’s a decent downslope with a cool kiddie pool in the basin.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Just a bit of a crash on the 0z GFS.Β  Gorgeous pattern!

1665792000-9Zqh5FUQgRE.png

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

Β 

Winter 2023-24 stats

Β 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

Β 

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