Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 WOW. BLOCKING anyone? http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016112500/gfs_z500a_npac_48.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Holy freezing cow balls http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016112500/gfs_T850_nwus_48.pngWell Baton down the hatches Gorton that ones a chilly one... frozen cow farts cold! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I remember November 1995 being exceptionally mild.I was a little too young to remember much about that one. That is indeed the year that we are courting the record for this year though. Epic mid-winter followed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 There were actually a lot of sunny days in the first ten days. Of course the ridiculously mild airmasses over us at the time only allowed a drop into the mid-40s on clear nights. It was lovely. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I was a little too young to remember much about that one. That is indeed the year that we are courting the record for this year though. Epic mid-winter followed.Coldest high was 51 degrees. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 It is a pretty lengthy outbreak too. For whatever reason that December 6-12th time frame is a common one here in the PNW. We'll see what kind of outlier it is. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 It was lovely.Maybe, but that kind of throws the cloudy month thing out the window. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Let's see if there are any improvements with the Ensembles tonight. Seeing that support would be nice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 It is a pretty lengthy outbreak too. For whatever reason that December 6-12th time frame is a common one here in the PNW. We'll see what kind of outlier it is. December is our only winter month now. We have to make it count! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Coldest high was 51 degrees. There was actually some chilly weather at the end of October though. We had a few lows in the upper 20s in late October down in Silverton. I think we made up for it later in the winter though. We flirted with snow too, a few days before the Dec. 12 wind storm. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I was a little too young to remember much about that one. That is indeed the year that we are courting the record for this year though. Epic mid-winter followed. November 1998 was more pathetic than November 1995, since 1995 at least had a cold start. 1998 was wall to wall cloudcover and it didn't have a freeze until the 28th here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Maybe, but kind of throws the cloudy month thing the window.Generally to get lows well into the 30's, especially early in the month, you need a coolish, dry air mass. By now it's pretty easy, but it's been very cloudy. It's cloudy tonight. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 What if this happens and it is just the beginning 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 There was actually some chilly weather at the end of October though. We had a few lows in the upper 20s in late October down in Silverton. I think we made up for it later in the winter though. We flirted with snow too, a few days before the Dec. 12 wind storm.Had a little ice around the 9th with what was initially progged to be a major outbreak 5-6 days out. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I can beat all of that. Exactly 0.00" last 24 hours and counting... Pretty sure no one outside of SE OR has seen less than us this month. Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 What if this happens and it is just the beginning But what if it doesn't happen? Hmmmmm..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 What if this happens and it is just the beginning That's what I was saying earlier this week. What if we see this pattern in December begin around the 3rd - 6th lasting 2-3 weeks through Christmas. Then some restructuring to the NPAC pattern, renewed blocking Jan 2nd - 5th for more blasts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 What if this happens and it is just the beginning Warmest November on record? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 It is a pretty lengthy outbreak too. For whatever reason that December 6-12th time frame is a common one here in the PNW. We'll see what kind of outlier it is. Three major events in an eight year period on the exact same days would be pretty ridiculous. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Three major events in an eight year period on the exact same days would be pretty ridiculous. It would be, but they say things come in 3's. That's science right?! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 The updated run of the 00z GEM is nice. I love the Blocking! http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016112500/240/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 One thing seems pretty obvious. The Pacific is probably gonna shut down for a bit pretty soon. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Warmest November on record? Probably Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 It would be, but they say things come in 3's. That's science right?! Good January goes out the window though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Wind gusts! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 The updated run of the 00z GEM is nice. I love the Blocking! http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016112500/240/500h_anom.na.png Its a little further west on the GEM Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Good January goes out the window though. FML! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Its a little further west on the GEMYep, more potential of a snowy pattern instead of just a cold, dry northeasterly blast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Its a little further west on the GEMYeah but the minor details should sort themselves out. The ridge should tilt in our favor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Even if it is something a little less awesome than what the models tonight are showing I think we'd all be happy. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 It's always winter in the clown range. Always. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Even if it is something a little less awesome than what the models tonight are showing I think we'd all be happy. I would take 27-32 and snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 December is our only winter month now. We have to make it count!Sad but true Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 25, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 January will bring back to life the hopes and dreams of distant memories where snow and cold was abundant. #MJGA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Down to just 37F here with moderate rain. A few days ago it looked like it might snow here tonight. Things trended a few degrees too warm since then, unfortunately. I find the 0z to be acceptable, but a little too dry. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Down to just 37F here with moderate rain. A few days ago it looked like it might snow here tonight. Things trended a few degrees too warm since then, unfortunately. I find the 0z to be acceptable, but a little too dry. Remember that beggars can't be choosers. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I see PDX has bumped up to 50. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Very windy now, rain slamming the southeast portion of the house. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 Remember that beggars can't be choosers.I want to have my cake and eat it too, thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2016 Report Share Posted November 25, 2016 I am getting ready to laugh out loud when I see the 00z ensembles. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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