SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Hey look. The Canadian is better than the GFS now! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2016113000/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_34.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2016113000/gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_35.png 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Michael J. Fox is pretty chilly.Nice overrunning snow next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Mind you their precip types are probably off by quite a bit. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Consistency!! I trust the Canadian more. Looks nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Yes was just up there. Not much snow yet. I acually just bought a beautiful 160 acre piece that is surrounded by national forest and is fenced. This will be where i build my home. And it is even higher in elevation. Holy cow. What are you gonna do with 160 acres? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Mind you their precip types are probably off by quite a bit. Stop with the negativity! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Stop with the negativity!5-9 inches seems more likely than 6-12. Blowing and drifting will be a major issue though. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 SO much colder in southwest/southern BC this run Gonna be an epic winter up there. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Clown Range! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016113000/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_51.png Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Holy cow. What are you gonna do with 160 acres?Probably cruise around on a snowmobile. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Clown Range! I predict rain and 45/40 that day. Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Clown Range! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016113000/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_51.pngWhere's 384??? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 This run could be fun in the uber-clown range though.Yup..it's trying hard. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 00z GEM - lock it in. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2016113000/gem_asnow_nwus_40.pngI always did like the Canadians. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 00z GEM - lock it in. 21" in Battle Ground this run Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 This run could be fun in the uber-clown range though. Reload, reset, reboot, remix. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 00z GEM - lock it in. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2016113000/gem_asnow_nwus_40.png Great transition event if this verifies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Reload, reset, reboot, remix.January cancel? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 January cancel?Oh no Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chopper 918 Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016113000/gfs_z500_mslp_npac_53.png Now if that 991 mb Low would go away, we could have a super deluxe block! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trainwreck Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 January cancel?You live in the northeast, you post on here as though you live here. Why do you care or not care so much as to be one of the main posters on the "western" site? I don't get it. If I lived over there, I'd sure be way more interested in my weather. Strange Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 January cancel? I'm cancelling November right now. January still has a puncher's chance. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 As long as the GOA/high latitudes remain blocky even the crazy fun in la-la land/clown range is possible.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Maybe we can actually get a white Christmas 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 I will give the clown range GFS one thing: lately it has been fairly consistent in showing the possibility for snow/cold again around the 15th.Early December was always a tease/warmup IMO. I like the Holidays (mid/late December into early January) more, before a hiatus thereafter followed by an even bigger event in February. Gotta love -ENSO/+QBO climo. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trainwreck Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Early December was always a tease/warmup IMO. I like the Holidays (mid/late December into early January) more, before a hiatus thereafter followed by an even bigger event in February. Gotta love -ENSO/+QBO climo.So odd. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 So odd.What part Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 00z GEM - lock it in. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2016113000/gem_asnow_nwus_40.pngEven though this is barely in the realm of possibility of believable range, I still think it holds a shred of validity considering current model trends. I'm optimistic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 So odd.What are you talking about? He's been a member here for years. Doesn't matter where you live 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Early December was always a tease/warmup IMO. I like the Holidays (mid/late December into early January) more, before a hiatus thereafter followed by an even bigger event in February. Gotta love -ENSO/+QBO climo.Let's get the sub-40 highs out of the system early so it can torch from mid Dec through mid Feb before the spring graupel shower season begins. 1 Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 00z GEFS 850mb temp anomaly a bit colder than 18z. Surface temp anomaly might be the slightest bit colder. 500mb anomaly shows our ridge breaking down and new Aleutian ridge as seen becomes a dominant block which is much healthier, stronger than previous runs.. Some hints that block might be further east towards 160 W. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Early December was always a tease/warmup IMO. I like the Holidays (mid/late December into early January) more, before a hiatus thereafter followed by an even bigger event in February. Gotta love -ENSO/+QBO climo. Is February one of the strongest signals you have seen for the PNW in a while? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Awwwww s***, snow wiz is in the mix! I'm genuinely curious as to what his synopsis is of the current model trends. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Looking like a theme of recurring cold showing up on the models now. Could be a series of cold snaps which will ultimately culminate in the big one. Very different progression than what we've seen in quite some time. FWIW the CFS is going bananas with the cold lately. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Is February one of the strongest signals you have seen for the PNW in a while?Strongest since at least 2013/14, yeah. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Awwwww s***, snow wiz is in the mix! I'm genuinely curious as to what his synopsis is of the current model trends. I think we have a realistic shot at coldest winter of the century so far. That's not saying all that much, but I'm really liking the progression. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 Let's get the sub-40 highs out of the system early so it can torch from mid Dec through mid Feb before the spring graupel shower season begins.Lol. If that happens I bet Jim finally packs it up and moves east. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 New GFS MOS is interesting for my folks in Idaho:Sun: 43/28Mon: 13/12 (midnight high)Tue: 11/-4Wed: 19/4Thu: 25/13Not a bad arctic front over there. Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2016 Author Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 I farted an hour ago. The last time I farted was in 2008. We all know what happened then! 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 30, 2016 Report Share Posted November 30, 2016 I think we have a realistic shot at coldest winter of the century so far. That's not saying all that much, but I'm really liking the progression.2008 was pretty cold Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.