HighlandExperience Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Jim is going to have a brain overload. Tim will say the sun will be out.Tim will post pics of cherry blossoms in Covington. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sometimesdylan Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Still looks cold up here. No surprise to you guys I'm sure. Gonna be interesting to see if any of these lows that approach SE AK next week will be able to fight their way to land or just get beat down by the ridge. Currently 40 degrees. Quote "There are so many waves coming in all the time, you don't have to worry about that. Take your time—wave come. Let the other guys go; catch another one." -Duke Kahanamoku Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 This ECMWF run is actually colder than 00z in WA/OR, thanks to a stronger upstream wavebreak. That said, it also has a somewhat longer, more progressive waveguide overall, which is closer to the GFS depiction to some extent. However, it handles the wavebreak itself very differently than the GFS, which is very important when it comes to the initial shot of polar air.In the ECMWF we trust! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 This ECMWF run is actually colder than 00z in WA/OR, thanks to a stronger upstream wavebreak. That said, it also has a somewhat longer, more progressive waveguide overall, which is closer to the GFS depiction to some extent. However, it handles the wavebreak itself very differently than the GFS, which is very important when it comes to the initial shot of polar air.Really tentative setup, even early on. It'd be pretty f*cked up awesome if we pulled anything like it off without any full latitude blocking. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 I have heard Gorton may be coming ashore soon to give us a pep talk... DJ?He s attending to some personal stuff right now Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Tim will post pics of cherry blossoms in Covington.I will post green grass photos from the swamp. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Still looks cold up here. No surprise to you guys I'm sure. Gonna be interesting to see if any of these lows that approach SE AK next week will be able to fight their way to land or just get beat down by the ridge. Currently 40 degrees.Well, your gain will be everyone else's loss, so be careful! 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 The trend is our friend again. Always fantastic to have KING EURO on our side! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 What is the euro saying for snow Sunday and Monday? Still cold enough with precip for 1000' snow levels? Anyone have the snowfall map for then? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Wow. The wait was worth it for the Euro. It shows Portland getting tons of snow and staying cold for a much longer time. The great battle between the Euro and GFS begins again! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 What is the euro saying for snow Sunday and Monday? Still cold enough with precip for 1000' snow levels? Anyone have the snowfall map for then?Yes. I saw it on one of the fb groups. Easily 2 -5 in for us 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Really tentative setup, even early on. It'd be pretty f*cked up awesome if we pulled anything like it off without any full latitude blocking.Yeah, the westward-biased longitude of the wavebreak and tropical forcing/WAFs are why I've been on the conservative side so far. Though as I'm sure everyone knows, the smaller mesoscale stuff isn't my strong suit, so take my thoughts with a grain of salt. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhijr Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 I have heard Gorton may be coming ashore soon to give us a pep talk... DJ?I read in his facebook group that a close relative was ill. So he might be away for awhile. This is just my assumption, I don't know for sure. Just thought I would give a heads up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Codyjack Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Not going to buy into this until "PaulB" from Eugene gives us the NOGAPS analysis. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Wow. The wait was worth it for the Euro. It shows Portland getting tons of snow and staying cold for a much longer time. The great battle between the Euro and GFS begins again! Wide area of 6-8" of snowfall for the PDX metro area while never really getting above freezing throughout the end of the run. Impressive run. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 The updated run of the 12z EURO shows a modified Arctic Blast coming next Wednesday followed by a system coming ashore Wednesday night/Thursday morning while still having negative 850mb temps. Looks like another L forms right off the coastline Thursday morning. Hopefully this tracks south to pull colder air in behind it. Then another snow storm on Saturday.http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016120112/144/850tw.conus.pnghttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016120112/168/850tw.conus.pnghttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016120112/168/sfcmslp.conus.pnghttp://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2016120112/216/sfcmslp.conus.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Euro gives SLE a low of 21 Wednesday morning Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 2008 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Haha, the 12z ECMWF is a coast to coast icebox in the extended range. Literally no positive anomalies anywhere in the lower 48. 4 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Haha, the 12z ECMWF is a coast to coast icebox in the extended range. Literally no positive anomalies anywhere in the lower 48.Drudge posted a link lol Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 All I can say is, is that I'm glad I don't live in Roseburg. One the worst non-coastal locations for snow in the PNW. That, and my old hometown near Aurora. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Where are those Euro snowfall maps? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 All I can say is, is that I'm glad I don't live in Roseburg. One the worst non-coastal locations for snow in the PNW. That, and my old hometown near Aurora. The Puyallup of Oregon? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Euro spits out 6" for PDX and subfreezing highs Thursday-Saturday. Really doubt things come together as perfectly as the Euro shows, but it sure would be sweet. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Here's one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Where are those Euro snowfall maps? Thank you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 I miss Dj dropping already.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Euro shows 12"+ at my place next week...We'll see...IDK why I am so pessimistic in these situations...I am like the opposite of Jim. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 I miss Dj dropping already....Yeah, the best weather play by play. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Euro shows 12"+ at my place next week...We'll see...IDK why I am so pessimistic in these situations...I am like the opposite of Jim.You think you're pessimistic... Think about how people feel who live at Sea-level in way less favorable locations. Be thankful. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Yeah, the best weather play by play.He's like Dave Niehaus with the mic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Where are those Euro snowfall maps? Wow! The models are now trending colder and snowier each run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 You think you're pessimistic... Think about how people feel who live at Sea-level in way less favorable locations. Be thankful. Bainbridge Island. Sea level. Well basically sea level. Great place to live. Not so great for snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 1, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Today's 12Z EPSGram trended slightly colder in thickness at YVR. It bottomed out at 520 at the 00z run, and the 12z run dips slightly below to something like 518 for Monday/Tuesday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 You think you're pessimistic... Think about how people feel who live at Sea-level in way less favorable locations. Be thankful. Exactly Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 18z looks a touch cooler and juicier with the low on Monday. Nice setup for Seattle north. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Snohomish county gets smacked on the 18z run on Monday. 9 inches for Everett.I love our drunk uncle!! In other news it's still raining!! Thinking about jetsking in my lower field! Currently 42 degrees. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Snohomish county gets smacked on the 18z run on Monday. 9 inches for Everett.Giant Puyallup/Bonney Lake "screw you" zone on that map... NICE! <_ fricken olympic mountains time> Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 GFS still doesn't like the idea of a more amplified backdoor transition for the trough. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 1, 2016 Report Share Posted December 1, 2016 Looks like Drunk Uncle gonna warm us up nicely... AND quick @ hr144 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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