Heavy Snow Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Since the smaller maps arent ipdating, 00z ECMWF snowfall totals through 4AM next Thursday. About 2-3 inches of this falls on Saturday night in the Seattle-Tacoma areas. Easily best Euro run so far for widespread snow.I don't know why it's showing more snow at the Oregon beaches than the Willamette Valley. It should be the other way around. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Day 10 is insane. January 1969/2011 redux???2011 yikes! I suppose it will be a battle of the northern and southern streams. It can go either way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I don't know why it's showing more snow at the Oregon beaches than the Willamette Valley. It should be the other way around. weak lows spinning up moisture that doesn't make it to the valley. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Raise you a D8-13 12z EPS mean. http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/2ACF678B-FFE0-4A4E-8966-6D0BB686A31A_zpsoxsb8ger.pngYou're not allowed to get cold while we are cold...you must sit under a SE ridge and like it! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I don't know why it's showing more snow at the Oregon beaches than the Willamette Valley. It should be the other way around.Resolution is bad. What may appear to be coastal may be representative of elevated locations just east of the coastal strip. Also, the coast can outperform inland areas in these modified Arctic setups as rain shadowing becomes an issue in NW flow and shallowing moisture. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 weak lows spinning up moisture that doesn't make it to the valley.Ok thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 00z ECMWF snowfall totals through 4AM next Friday. About 2-3 inches of this falls on Saturday night in the Seattle-Tacoma areas. Easily best Euro run so far for widespread snow. To the naysayers - obviously the majority of this falls out of 'realistic' range but nice to see nonetheless.I'd be happy if we had a couple inches going into Sunday morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 It doesn't get much better than this! Massive -PNA through Jan 10th! http://i.imgur.com/vQEjRJl.png 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 The pass was bad. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 It doesn't get much better than this! Massive -PNA through Jan 10th! http://i.imgur.com/vQEjRJl.pngLooks too far east to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I'd be happy if we had a couple inches going into Sunday morning. 3 would be nice. That gives a good solid cover. Snow cover would make the cold even more impressive. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Yeah, the rain shadow is my only concern of not getting a solid snowcover. I live at 500 feet in East PDX Metro so I might be ok but I'm concerned the center of the city might not get much.Snow possibilities for Sunday don't look too promising down here. The Puget Sound, as to be expected in these cases, should do better with the convergence wild card and more frontogenic stuff. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 6...yes 6 inches. Can you tell I'm snow starved?You're starved for something alright. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Pretty crazy to see how extensive the cold is going to be. With such a low PNA the East would normally torch. I have no problem with sharing as long as we get ours. We are seeing a massive displacement of cold air from the high latitudes this winter. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Pretty crazy to see how extensive the cold is going to be. With such a low PNA the East would normally torch. I have no problem with sharing as long as we get ours. We are seeing a massive displacement of cold air from the high latitudes this winter.Indeed. We have some air from Prince George, BC staying in our guest room right now which was displaced by oppressive upper levels. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Pretty crazy to see how extensive the cold is going to be. With such a low PNA the East would normally torch. I have no problem with sharing as long as we get ours. We are seeing a massive displacement of cold air from the high latitudes this winter.You can have the cold. I just want some snow, and temperatures warm enough to enjoy it in. I'll pass on the frigid/dry crap. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Haven't seen a 10 day like this in a while. 3 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Just used up all my likes. Fook. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Haven't seen a 10 day like this in a while. Screen Shot 2016-12-27 at 11.36.09 PM.pngThat would be impressive cold days 9 and 10 with snow falling. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I'm mostly just waiting for the 12z for Wednessday. I heard that will be the most accurate model run. TOMORROW IS THE BIG DAY. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Haven't seen a 10 day like this in a while. Screen Shot 2016-12-27 at 11.36.09 PM.pngHoly pancakes! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Snow possibilities for Sunday don't look too promising down here. The Puget Sound, as to be expected in these cases, should do better with the convergence wild card and more frontogenic stuff.I'd like to get at least an inch but it looks like more chances later next week so I could live with just half and inch or so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 00z GEPS Surface Temp anomalies coldest yet by far. Other runs aren't even as close to as cold as this. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem-ens/2016122800/gem-ens_T2ma_wus_31.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 850s don't go above -7c for Seattle from hr 108 through the end of the run. Good portion of those days at -10c or colder. Extremely improved snow totals. Much better blocking position/placement. Overall great run. Rest easy. Pretty amazing alright. This could be...just could be like one of the great cold Januaries of the old days. Still a lot to be sorted out before we can look that far ahead though. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 00z GEPS Surface Temp anomalies coldest yet by far. Other runs aren't even as close to as cold as this. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem-ens/2016122800/gem-ens_T2ma_wus_31.pngPeople vacationing in Mexico are going to be pissed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I'm officially staying up for the 06z GFS. Sleep is just not important with so much at stake. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I'm officially staying up for the 06z GFS. Sleep is just not important with so much at stake.I'll try, will take laptop to bed at least. So tired I cannot type correct have to fix every other word.... lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 He never left... just a little bit bored for a while.Yeah. I'm hoping it can lead the way with the potential snowstorms later next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I'll try, will take laptop to bed at least. So tired I cannot type correct have to fix every other word.... lol Two more hours to get to the sexy stuff. Or the steadily eastward trending block. Either way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I'm officially staying up for the 06z GFS. Sleep is just not important with so much at stake.By the time it actually starts snowing, it's usually just a relief and I can finally get some sleep. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 By the time it actually starts snowing, it's usually just a relief and I can finally get some sleep. It's already been about a month of this stuff for most of us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 It's already been about a month of this stuff for most of us.The NAM actually being relevant again has really cut into those napping windows. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I'm officially staying up for the 06z GFS. Sleep is just not important with so much at stake. I'm trying to decide if you're serious or not. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I think this will top anything this century for the NW except maybe December 2008. I think this could last longer though. We could easily beat any January event since at least 1980.Dec 2008 was an exceptionally long event. Of course I hope you're right, but that's setting the bar pretty high. I would say better chance this event is colder, rather than longer than 2008. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 The Euro ensemble is insane. The mean now shows 850s dropping to around -13 for Seattle and by day 9 there is a massive nation wide cold spell with the block still going strong. Truly extraordinary setup. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 Dec 2008 was an exceptionally long event. Of course I hope you're right, but that's setting the bar pretty high. Perhaps...but then again January is the month we can have epic / long cold waves. Obviously the January bar for this century is really low. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 By the time it actually starts snowing, it's usually just a relief and I can finally get some sleep. Oh good, I thought I was the only nutjob to do that. I don't remember who on here said it, but this place really is just an online insane asylum sometimes, we all probably do need some kind of meds given that we stay up to look at computer models and that our emotional state is directly linked to the output of the last known suite of model runs. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 I'm trying to decide if you're serious or not. Uber-ly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2016 Report Share Posted December 28, 2016 The Euro ensemble and control model look like something epic is setting up after day 10. The cold regroups in SW Canada, and the northern half of the NW quarter of the country with low pressure beginning to inject moisture into the picture. The control model shows wickedly cold air over southern BC. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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