SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 I dare say there was ensemble improvement with the 18z suite. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 I dare say there was ensemble improvement with the 18z suite. Though we are getting close to the time of year where ensemble improvement means a drying trend on the ensembles... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Is this an either/or thing or is it possible for both a convergence zone to bring snow and a vort max to bring snow farther north? It would mainly be either/or, as a vort max moving that far north would prevent a CZ from forming further south. These scenarios are always tricky, as the exact track of the low can make a big difference in flow, interactions with the terrain, precip intensity, etc. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Alot of shower activity off shore, once temps drop tonight during any clearing a quick inch can't be ruled out anywhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Alot of shower activity off shore, once temps drop tonight during any clearing a quick inch can't be ruled out anywhere. This is true... the air mass will be cold enough everywhere. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 What looked so promising on the coastal radar a couple hours ago does not look like much now... and there is still 2 hours of daylight left. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 What looked so promising on the coastal radar a couple hours ago does not look like much now... and there is still 2 hours of daylight left. YA that band was pathetic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 What looked so promising on the coastal radar a couple hours ago does not look like much now... and there is still 2 hours of daylight left. The actual low was never tracking as fast as that band, anyway. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 The band looks pretty healthy down here. Hopefully we will get some wet snowflakes by the end of it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 The actual low was never tracking as fast as that band, anyway. The remains of the low are moving NE to the west of Seattle now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 The band is holding together pretty well. Temp dropping, down to 33 now with some flurries. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 It's looking pretty dark down over the Juan de Fuca right now. I think the low is starting to reform down there now judging by the radar profile, it will be interesting to see how fast it heads for the exit. http://i131.photobucket.com/albums/p286/jemeric/IMG_4189_zpsev8d42pb.jpg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 I dare say there was ensemble improvement with the 18z suite.I thought there was too. Surprising. GFS and Euro/Gem really at odds right now. I'm guessing the GFS will trend towards the other two eventually. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 It's looking pretty dark down over the Juan de Fuca right now. I think the low is starting to reform down there now judging by the radar profile, it will be interesting to see how fast it heads for the exit.I had hoped to see things further NW than they are now. Victoria might catch the edge of it but looks like I will be hoping for a favourable shower to pop up. EC is forecasting up to 6" in the lower mainland tonight, this after some areas got as much as 8" this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 I had hoped to see things further NW than they are now. Victoria might catch the edge of it but looks like I will be hoping for a favourable shower to pop up. EC is forecasting up to 6" in the lower mainland tonight, this after some areas got as much as 8" this morning.Doesn't look like Vancouver BC proper got much of anything Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 This band could be a 4-19-08 redux. If only the PDO was negative... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Unbelievable we got almost no precip here today. Not sure how that happened. I'm seriously wondering if all of the potential we had last night through Tuesday morning will amount to nothing. At least the stuff later in the week looks much more impressive. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Doesn't look like Vancouver BC proper got much of anythingFrom this morning. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Doesn't look like Vancouver BC proper got much of anythingDowntown, no not a lot. The municipalities just to the east and with a couple hundred feet elevation saw 4-8". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Snow just started, 37 and dropping rapidly. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Rain/snow mix down here. 37 degrees. Good sign for tonight I should think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Airport recorded 3" this morning. A lot more than I did. Up to 57.2" for the water year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 From this morning. It just seems like you guys always score this winter. Probably a solid "A" winter for your area. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Airport recorded 3" this morning. A lot more than I did. Up to 57.2" for the water year. Are you tired of snow yet? I thought Missoula looked pretty good for sustained cold / snow cover, but is not too over the top with the snow. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Unbelievable we got almost no precip here today. Not sure how that happened. I'm seriously wondering if all of the potential we had last night through Tuesday morning will amount to nothing. At least the stuff later in the week looks much more impressive.It's been dry all day. Feels like nothing is going to happen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Already creeping up to my March average snowfall, in almost no time. Why is it so easy to do this here? Makes me question this month's normal snow. But I have done the numbers myself... so it's legit I guess. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Just went outside and its snowing. I dont see much moisture though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Temp dropped from 43 to 37 under that band. Good start to early tomorrow mornings potential. Had a brief burst of heavy snow at the end of it. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Just went outside and its snowing. I dont see much moisture though Yeah....I have no idea what happened today. Everything just dried up when it got close to us. At least we won't be blocked by the Olympics over the next 36 hours. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Dome Buster Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Nice band off of the incoming low here in Tanasbourne. Too bad the whole thing is just rain. If this thing would've held off until about 10-12 then we would've been in business. Just warmed up way too much today. Even the top of Cooper Mtn. was 44 today. If anything organized can move through overnight then we can get a quick inch. Otherwise lets bring on spring. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Already creeping up to my March average snowfall, in almost no time. Why is it so easy to do this here? Makes me question this month's normal snow. But I have done the numbers myself... so it's legit I guess. Could be you live over 4000 feet in elevation. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Are you tired of snow yet? I thought Missoula looked pretty good for sustained cold / snow cover, but is not too over the top with the snow.Nope, I am not Tim. Could definitely really use a lot more than 200-250" at the local hill though. Missoula is good for record breaking cold because it's a deep valley, but it's just a tad too far south to keep the snow consistently, there is a definitely a frequent storm track that goes 25-50 miles north of here. I mean it just often means a little rain and no snow destroying Chinook winds because the Bitterroot valley is oriented in a very N-S way, but it only means we have snow 60-80% of the days in meterological winter. Kalispell is probably best location to have 90%+ days with snow cover in Montana among towns. If you really want to get serious amounts move up to the foothills there like to Whitefish or Columbia Falls, and then you would clear 100" most years with no issue. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Yeah....I have no idea what happened today. Everything just dried up when it got close to us. At least we won't be blocked by the Olympics over the next 36 hours.You really need to spend more time with the ECMWF surface maps. Today would not have been a big surprise. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 I had hoped to see things further NW than they are now. Victoria might catch the edge of it but looks like I will be hoping for a favourable shower to pop up. EC is forecasting up to 6" in the lower mainland tonight, this after some areas got as much as 8" this morning. If it had only formed about 10 miles north that band right now would be dumping on Victoria rather than over the Strait. It seems to be moving very slowly, probably pivoting around the low. Being under a persistent shower like that is about as good as it gets with these sort of systems. If it stalls out longer we may yet see some wrap around bands form, after that the best hope is the trail of showers that will be following the departing system into the morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Nope, I am not Tim. Could definitely really use a lot more than 200-250" at the local hill though. Missoula is good for record breaking cold because it's a deep valley, but it's just a tad too far south to keep the snow consistently, there is a definitely a frequent storm track that goes 25-50 miles north of here. I mean it just often means a little rain and no snow destroying Chinook winds because the Bitterroot valley is oriented in a very N-S way, but it only means we have snow 60-80% of the days in meterological winter. Kalispell is probably best location to have 90%+ days with snow cover in Montana among towns. If you really want to get serious amounts move up to the foothills there like to Whitefish or Columbia Falls, and then you would clear 100" most years with no issue. 60% to 80% sounds fine to me. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 From Burnaby around 3pm today. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Eugene and Corvallis look like they are going to get a lot of precip this evening. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Nope, I am not Tim. Could definitely really use a lot more than 200-250" at the local hill though. Missoula is good for record breaking cold because it's a deep valley, but it's just a tad too far south to keep the snow consistently, there is a definitely a frequent storm track that goes 25-50 miles north of here. I mean it just often means a little rain and no snow destroying Chinook winds because the Bitterroot valley is oriented in a very N-S way, but it only means we have snow 60-80% of the days in meterological winter. Kalispell is probably best location to have 90%+ days with snow cover in Montana among towns. If you really want to get serious amounts move up to the foothills there like to Whitefish or Columbia Falls, and then you would clear 100" most years with no issue. Kalispell on average doesn't usually do all that much better but they had a good year this year. Here in Bozeman we had 1-3 feet of snow cover all winter and 67" of snowfall over meteorology winter. Of course March and April are some of our snowiest months as well and having the added elevation here (5,300') compared to Missoula/Kalispell really helps us as we head into the spring months. Expecting 3-6" tonight and what looks like plenty more later this week. 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Uhhhh..... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Kalispell on average doesn't usually do all that much better but they had a good year this year. Here in Bozeman we had 1-3 feet of snow cover all winter and 67" of snowfall over meteorology winter. Of course March and April are some of our snowiest months as well and having the added elevation here (5,300') compared to Missoula/Kalispell really helps us as we head into the spring months. Expecting 3-6" tonight and what looks like plenty more later this week.It's been a 70"+ winter for Kalispell.Bozeman gets chinook winds. I am guessing this is somewhat of an unusual winter for Bozeman too. While Bozeman gets higher snow #'s, it's drier snow so the SWE's aren't as good as they for Kalispell which really matters for longevity of the snow through February. December is obviously luck of the draw. I'm guessing Bozeman might have more snow cover in March just because it gets a lot more snow in March(snowy month) unlike Kalispell which gets the troughy showery pattern instead of the ULL's bozeman gets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.