Winterdog Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 I feel like I live in a different country than most of you. I had .25" of precip last night and all of it was rain. There were a few blobs mixed in for a while but not a flake. My low was 34 and it's now 37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Much more to the south, though. Let's not forget that SEA saw 5 sub-freezing highs last December, including 3 in a row in the 20s. That is not common historically. Most people around here remember Decembers to remember. 2 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: Ended up with 1.4" of actual accumulation last night, but could have easily had an extra inch if the snow hadn't gotten so wet. I would of loved to see this storm come into a arctic airmass. My favorite thing around here is watch it snow in the low 20's. Would of been a massive dump of dry snow. 2 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 24 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Still doesn't really get there for Portland... but should be some snow tomorrow and tomorrow night. Not bad for east king. I’ll take it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 We’re up to 69.4” of snow since December 2016 as of this morning. We had 61.5” here from February 2006-December 2016...a lot more snow in a shorter timeframe the last 6 years. 2016-2017-8.0” 2017-2018-5.5” 2018-2019-23.0” 2019-2020-2.0” 2020-2021-15.5” 2021-2022-11.3” 2022-2023-4.1” 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Winterdog said: I feel like I live in a different country than most of you. I had .25" of precip last night and all of it was rain. There were a few blobs mixed in for a while but not a flake. My low was 34 and it's now 37. Totally weird how much trouble you are having so far this season. I'm sure it will happen soon enough. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: I would of loved to see this storm come into a arctic airmass. My favorite thing around here is watch it snow in the low 20's. Would of been a massive dump of dry snow. That could have easily happened if things had gone just a tiny bit differently leading up to last night. This past several days has fallen just a notch short of what could have been an amazing run. Still pretty solid for many of us though. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Ended up with 1.4" of actual accumulation last night, but could have easily had an extra inch if the snow hadn't gotten so wet. My expectations were so low it was fun. Plus last nights snow was fairly heavy. Any thoughts on tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 12z GFS was below normal every single day for SEA. Makes you wonder if a big cold wave might emerge on the models in the coming days. Quite frankly a reset seems due though which might give us a milder period before some bigger goodies come later on. 5 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: That could have easily happened if things had gone just a tiny bit differently leading up to last night. This past several days has fallen just a notch short of what could have been an amazing run. Still pretty solid for many of us though. It’s still been a really impressive stretch but just 1-2 degrees colder we could’ve had 8-10 inches of snow this week. Still we pretty much snatched victory from the jaws of defeat this week. Things looked bleak on Sunday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: My expectations were so low it was fun. Plus last nights snow was fairly heavy. Any thoughts on tomorrow? I think the low level air that will be in place for tomorrow will support snow if the moisture makes it this far north. East winds will flood us with chilly dry air over the next 18 hours or so and then it will go almost calm. Some similarity to Jan 1, 2004 which was a nice surprise snow for us. 6 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: That could have easily happened if things had gone just a tiny bit differently leading up to last night. This past several days has fallen just a notch short of what could have been an amazing run. Still pretty solid for many of us though. It was my birthday so I looked at the extended model runs. We have plenty more chances coming the next 2 weeks. The way things look I could see snow staying on the ground here until Christmas. 6 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: It’s still been a really impressive stretch but just 1-2 degrees colder we could’ve had 8-10 inches of snow this week. Still we pretty much snatched victory from the jaws of defeat this week. Things looked bleak on Sunday. I'm really happy. The pattern was pretty messy, but we got some good wins. My personal favorite was the clear, cold, moonlit night with snow on the ground Thursday night. Can't beat that! 3 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said: It was my birthday so I looked at the extended model runs. We have plenty more chances coming the next 2 weeks. The way things look I could see snow staying on the ground here until Christmas. All you need is for us to not go into a "normal" pattern. Even cool and mostly dry would keep snow on the ground for you. Once dense snow freezes up it's hard to melt. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 I just realized my 3 year average snowfall is 35 inches per year so far. 2 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I think the low level air that will be in place for tomorrow will support snow if the moisture makes it this far north. East winds will flood us with chilly dry air over the next 18 hours or so and then it will go almost calm. Some similarity to Jan 1, 2004 which was a nice surprise snow for us. I have little doubt that system will make its way north enough to give light snow to Puget sound. I really would like Portland to score . 6 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: It’s still been a really impressive stretch but just 1-2 degrees colder we could’ve had 8-10 inches of snow this week. Still we pretty much snatched victory from the jaws of defeat this week. Things looked bleak on Sunday. And turned out even worse than I expected . Models were showing anywhere from 6-15" of snow for the coming week here last Sunday and I ended up with nothing. Never seen so much phantom snow in my life. But it does look like most other places Everett south met or exceeded expectations which is nice. Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: All you need is for us to not go into a "normal" pattern. Even cool and mostly dry would keep snow on the ground for you. Once dense snow freezes up it's hard to melt. We have a frozen 5 inch base from Tuesday and now this last 8 inches, 11 very dense inches isn't going anywhere soon. 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 14 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: We’re up to 69.4” of snow since December 2016 as of this morning. We had 61.5” here from February 2006-December 2016...a lot more snow in a shorter timeframe the last 6 years. 2016-2017-8.0” 2017-2018-5.5” 2018-2019-23.0” 2019-2020-2.0” 2020-2021-15.5” 2021-2022-11.3” 2022-2023-4.1” And yet the 2006-16 period had more actual Arctic air masses. Which would people prefer? 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 12Z ECMWF says next Saturday will be pretty depressing compared to the beauty of today. A screaming south wind and temps into the low 50s and pouring rain. 1 1 1 2 2 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just now, Front Ranger said: And yet the 2006-16 period had more actual Arctic air masses. Which would people prefer? I would easily prefer the 2006-2016 period in Portland. Though I would include January 2017, I had 14" of snow that month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: And yet the 2006-16 period had more actual Arctic air masses. Which would people prefer? I prefer the past few years. We’ve had a good run recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Olsen Twins trying to make it to grandmother’s house on AMC. It’s truly awful… until I saw the release date! 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 8 hours ago, Perturbed Member said: That's fair, I did notice the 3km was better. The GFS is pretty much calling for 1/10/17 version 2. This is the new upgraded GFS I believe. It will either look like a genius or a total joke after this. If the GFS does manage to verify that would be insane for you guys. Kinda hoping it does! I remember hearing that the 1/10/17 snowfall was a once in every 25 year event for the Portland area. So to get one that big again just under 6 years later would be pretty crazy! 2 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF says next Saturday will be pretty depressing compared to the beauty of today. A screaming south wind and temps into the low 50s and pouring rain. Leave it to you to find the one mild day on the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF says next Saturday will be pretty depressing compared to the beauty of today. A screaming south wind and temps into the low 50s and pouring rain. I can't believe how bad the euro did with this snow storm here. Even the nam did better. I made a comment last weekend that by today me and you might have over a foot on the ground today. We both have a foot lol. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Ready for more! Only Dec 3rd. Lots of winter left to go. 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Cold Snap said: If the GFS does manage to verify that would be insane for you guys. Kinda hoping it does! I remember hearing that the 1/10/17 snowfall was a once in every 25 year event for the Portland area. So to get one that big again just under 6 years later would be pretty crazy! That setup was pretty drastically different. Very complicated but also very explosive from a meteorological perspective. 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, Terreboner said: Leave it to you to find the one mild day on the run. I am just hoping to avoid a snow destroying pattern for my backyard. Total weenie when I have December snow to protect. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Got about 2 to 3 inches last night 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: I can't believe how bad the euro did with this snow storm here. Even the nam did better. I made a comment last weekend that by today me and you might have over a foot on the ground today. We both have a foot lol. ECMWF did great with precip placement and timing... like almost perfect. And it showed my area would basically miss out on the snow in contrast to the GFS which is also what happened. It might have underestimated your snow but it did way better overall than the other models. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 My favorite pic from lastnight. 8 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 9 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: And turned out even worse than I expected . Models were showing anywhere from 6-15" of snow for the coming week here last Sunday and I ended up with nothing. Never seen so much phantom snow in my life. But it does look like most other places Everett south met or exceeded expectations which is nice. You and @Winterdog got completely hosed. On Sunday it looked like this was going to be an exclusively kitsap peninsula/Everett north event. I’m sure in a few weeks time though…this will be forgotten and a lot of people will score. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 23 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: We’re up to 69.4” of snow since December 2016 as of this morning. We had 61.5” here from February 2006-December 2016...a lot more snow in a shorter timeframe the last 6 years. 2016-2017-8.0” 2017-2018-5.5” 2018-2019-23.0” 2019-2020-2.0” 2020-2021-15.5” 2021-2022-11.3” 2022-2023-4.1” That’s an AWESOME stretch for Tacoma. Guessing your long term average is only about 5-6” per year there. I’ve had 78 inches since February 2019 here in Everett. Seriously impressed by that too. 5 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Weak. 2 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: My favorite pic from lastnight. Great pic... it feels like I am there. You have great yard lights to see the snow falling at night! **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seattle Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I'm really happy. The pattern was pretty messy, but we got some good wins. My personal favorite was the clear, cold, moonlit night with snow on the ground Thursday night. Can't beat that! Was there!? It was cold Thursday night but sadly nothing to support it over here. I would hope the population centers, north (Bellingham), central (Seattle), and south (Portland and valley) can get something more. 2022-23 Winter: 11/29: .25" + 1" = 1.25" | 11/30: .25" 12/2: .2" + .5" = .7" | 12/3: .2" | 12/4: trace 12/18: .4" | 12/19: .2" + .8" = 1.0" | 12/20: .2 + 1.5" = 1.7 1/31: trace | 2/14: trace | 2/22: .2 | 2/26: 1.0" Total: 6.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 9 hours ago, Skagit Weather said: I've been stuck around 35F now for about an hour, but it's almost all snow and the radar is looking a little better. Probably still need it to drop another degree or two to really see any accumulation. Ended up with just a bit of slush on the grass that was gone by the morning. Hopefully you did better over there. This has easily been the most frustrating stretch of the past decade years here, lots of snow to the north and south but virtually nothing here. The GFS shows this pattern continuing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Great pic... it feels like I am there. You have great yard lights to see the snow falling at night! Thanks man, I just use a giant led light pointed up. I have it for that reason only . 3 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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