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PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.

The Blob

By The Blob
in West of the Rockies

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MR.SNOWMIZER
MR.SNOWMIZER

Best birthday present possible. 

Gradient Keeper
Gradient Keeper

A bit over 3/4" as the grass is almost covered. Not bad. More than I expected.

T-Town
T-Town

As others have noted, there’s something about sun on snow…

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

sfct.us_nw.png

  • Sun 1
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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

Operational GFS is still a bit of a cold outlier when compared to its ensemble suite, however, the ensemble is making a huge move in the direction of the operational... Ensembles might be playing catch up. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Front Ranger Grand Master

Front Ranger

Posted
Posted
23 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Hello 1983! Always wanted to experience the 80's!

Bozeman pulled a -20F/-32F on the 24th with that one. 6th coldest day on record. Seems plausible with this airmass and the lowest sun angles of the year once again.

DEN set their all-time record cold December max with a high of -8 during the 1983 event. Also stayed below 0 for 115 straight hours, which is the longest sub-zero period on record.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Operational GFS is still a bit of a cold outlier when compared to its ensemble suite, however, the ensemble is making a huge move in the direction of the operational... Ensembles might be playing catch up. 

GEFS made significant changes towards the 12Z operational solution on the last 2 runs... just playing catch up.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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MossMan Grand Master

MossMan

Posted
Posted

Temps plummeted at daybreak from 37 to 31. My wet deck turned into a slippery deck! 
 

Well I felt completely normal for about 4 days but we have a new fun sickness running through the house, was down with a low grade fever overnight, just enough to not sleep and have the shakes/chills. This season has been unbelievable for sickness, never seen anything like it. Perhaps it’s our immune system wanting to be at full strength for the massive extended cold and snow that’s coming! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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FroYoBro Grand Master

FroYoBro

Posted
Posted
Just now, MossMan said:

Temps plummeted at daybreak from 37 to 31. My wet deck turned into a slippery deck! 
 

Well I felt completely normal for about 4 days but we have a new fun sickness running through the house, was down with a low grade fever overnight, just enough to not sleep and have the shakes/chills. This season has been unbelievable for sickness, never seen anything like it. Perhaps it’s our immune system wanting to be at full strength for the massive extended cold and snow that’s coming! 

I've been dealing with my 2nd bout of Covid over this past week. 

 

It's coming. 

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MR.SNOWMIZER Grand Master

MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Temps plummeted at daybreak from 37 to 31. My wet deck turned into a slippery deck! 
 

Well I felt completely normal for about 4 days but we have a new fun sickness running through the house, was down with a low grade fever overnight, just enough to not sleep and have the shakes/chills. This season has been unbelievable for sickness, never seen anything like it. Perhaps it’s our immune system wanting to be at full strength for the massive extended cold and snow that’s coming! 

Do you take vitamins? ever since i have been taking massive vit C and D i never get sick. 

We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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Deweydog Grand Master

Deweydog

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Temps plummeted at daybreak from 37 to 31. My wet deck turned into a slippery deck! 
 

Well I felt completely normal for about 4 days but we have a new fun sickness running through the house, was down with a low grade fever overnight, just enough to not sleep and have the shakes/chills. This season has been unbelievable for sickness, never seen anything like it. Perhaps it’s our immune system wanting to be at full strength for the massive extended cold and snow that’s coming! 

I’ve been really glad this fall that we’re out of the small Petrie dish phase of parenthood. Although we did a charity function over the weekend with a bunch of kids and it seemed like 3/4 of them were hacking droplets in all directions. I feel like a ticking time bomb of virulence.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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ShawniganLake Grand Master

ShawniganLake

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

I’ve been really glad this fall that we’re out of the small Petrie dish phase of parenthood. Although we did a charity function over the weekend with a bunch of kids and it seemed like 3/4 of them were hacking droplets in all directions. I feel like a ticking time bomb of virulence.

It’s been a rough one so far for the kids and anyone who has kids.  Never sure if they are sick, still sick or sick again. Attendance at school and daycare has been 25-50% some days 

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MossMan Grand Master

MossMan

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Do you take vitamins? ever since i have been taking massive vit C and D i never get sick. 

Yeah I have been pumping myself full, between everyone in the house I think we are single handily keeping the vitamin makers in business lol! Almost a 100% substitute teacher situation at our kids little private school today, I’m pretty sure all of this has been originating at their school. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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RCola Community Regular

RCola

Posted
Posted

Great ensemble improvements! :) Worried about flying out of Seattle on the 19th, though. I hope if we do get snow the time frame moves up 12-24 hours. That seems to be the theme this year so fingers crossed.

 

I don't want to get too excited, but this could be one of those rare events where I experience cold and snow out here first and a week later experience the same cold and snow out east. 

 

 

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Skagit Weather Veteran

Skagit Weather

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Excited with the rest on these cold runs and hope! 
My niece from Soldotna Alaska just sent me this picture from yesterdays storm! Yikes 

tis the season 🎄❄️🎄

9771BC45-8F55-4407-B67A-B2F431989897.png

2E0FE51F-AC02-4F26-9088-63A45E22E39A.png

1840949632_ScreenShot2022-12-12at9_39_18AM.thumb.png.954d8b98256654830c2a6895d68a71d0.png

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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WildrootParable Community Regular

WildrootParable

Posted
Posted
31 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Temps plummeted at daybreak from 37 to 31. My wet deck turned into a slippery deck! 
 

Well I felt completely normal for about 4 days but we have a new fun sickness running through the house, was down with a low grade fever overnight, just enough to not sleep and have the shakes/chills. This season has been unbelievable for sickness, never seen anything like it. Perhaps it’s our immune system wanting to be at full strength for the massive extended cold and snow that’s coming! 

I've had the unfortunate occasion to visit the ER in the last few weeks (as a visitor, not a patient) and it's just so awful seeing the halls full of kids. It's a REALLY bad illness year. I was a teacher for littles for over a decade and I've never seen anything like this. 

Incidentally, the doggo just picked up a case of kennel cough thanks to some recent travel, so it seems like even without kids I can't win. 😑

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PuyallupChris Enthusiast

PuyallupChris

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, WildrootParable said:

I've had the unfortunate occasion to visit the ER in the last few weeks (as a visitor, not a patient) and it's just so awful seeing the halls full of kids. It's a REALLY bad illness year. I was a teacher for littles for over a decade and I've never seen anything like this. 

Incidentally, the doggo just picked up a case of kennel cough thanks to some recent travel, so it seems like even without kids I can't win. 😑

It’s really bad. My 5 and 4 year olds both had fevers over 104, and stayed sick for quite a while. I’m almost certain it was 2 separate illnesses back to back. They are ripping through communities right now.

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Rubus Leucodermis Grand Master

Rubus Leucodermis

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, Cloud said:

In the present term…. The showers over Puget sound right now popped up at the same time the 6z ran this morning and it hasn’t moved since. 

Hoping to score some stationary showers once it gets cold again. Always fun when that happens.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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Seattle Proficient

Seattle

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, Cloud said:

In the present term…. The showers over Puget sound right now popped up at the same time the 6z ran this morning and it hasn’t moved since. 

I was quite surprised by moderate rain... didn't have my rain jacket. Oops!

2022-23 Winter:

11/29: .25" + 1" = 1.25" | 11/30: .25"

12/2: .2" + .5" = .7" | 12/3: .2" | 12/4: trace

12/18: .4" | 12/19: .2" + .8" = 1.0" | 12/20: .2 + 1.5" = 1.7

1/31: trace | 2/14: trace | 2/22: .2 | 2/26: 1.0"

Total: 6.7"

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jakerepp Mentor

jakerepp

Posted
Posted

Flying up to Boise on Saturday. Looks like it will be extremely cold. Single digit lows...me likey!

Mom said they got 3'' overnight in Nampa. Hopefully it can stick around til we get there.

  • Shivering 1

Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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SnarkyGoblin Grand Master

SnarkyGoblin

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

The mood has really shifted on here! ❄️

A lot of people live and die by the model riding in the winter, including myself.

My interest in weather mostly is around extremes so going from "even the GFS thinks cold rain" to "euro and it's ensembles are on board for Cold and potentially snowy" is a pretty exciting change of events.  Even the GFS is trending back, albeit in a traditional GFS ways showing Antarctica temps in eastern WA.

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MossMan Grand Master

MossMan

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, PuyallupChris said:

It’s really bad. My 5 and 4 year olds both had fevers over 104, and stayed sick for quite a while. I’m almost certain it was 2 separate illnesses back to back. They are ripping through communities right now.

Yeah it’s been back to back to back illnesses at the house. Luckily the kids have been bouncing back rapidly each time…Me…Not so much. My wife also gets over it fairly quickly. It all started in November 5th with a scratchy throat…Been insane ever since. At least this time I was healthy for a few days, ended up getting a bunch of stuff done around the house and property which was nice. I really hope this one is much shorter in duration, need to be healthy for the big blast coming! 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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MossMan Grand Master

MossMan

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

There are definitely some hints in the models of the ridge moving back overhead after the arctic trough moves away. That would make for a pretty incredible cold stretch if it happens.  Been awhile since we’ve seen anything like that. 

That would be amazing! Would be nice to have snow on the ground for Christmas! 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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