PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.

[Snownerd3000]

3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Looks kind of a bit more like yesterday's 12z so far

Very similar but trough looks a little weaker but has dug a little more from what I can see

 

[RentonHill]

Day 4 - vs 00z

 

[RentonHill]

Day 4 - big 3

[MossMan]

45 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

FWIW, the longwave progression in 2012 was quite different compared to what the models are showing. Sprawling negative heights over Canada and the GOA with a block displaced well to the west. The game might looks similar up north but the players and venue would look a different. Different food options too with probably a lot of vegan and general-neutral fare. It was a different world 10 years ago… Thanks Obama!

How does this compare to Dec 1996?

[Mid Valley Duck]

At day 4.5 the Euro has way less of that remnant low pinching off the block compared to the GFS.

[RentonHill]

Day 6

 

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

How does this compare to Dec 1996?

Blocking was a lot more stable with that progression. It just kinda weakened over AK as the massive air mass over Canada sank south. 

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, Mid Valley Duck said:

At day 4.5 the Euro has way less of that remnant low pinching off the block compared to the GFS.

I've been noticing how the euro handles that energy better as well!

[Slushy Inch]

YUCK 

[BLI snowman]

Seems to be coming in line more and more with the other models.

[MossMan]

17 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

My mom’s texts are almost indecipherable. I have no idea what method she uses but it’s drop dead hilarious. And this is a woman who’s actually written books for crying out loud! Under the pseudonym Cliff Mass, of course…

My dad is the king of unreadable texts…Luckily I have learned a whole new dad text language so I know exactly what he is saying!

[Jbolin]

4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Blocking was a lot more stable with that progression. It just kinda weakened over AK as the massive air mass over Canada sank south. 

And it sank south QUICK 

[Mid Valley Duck]

Half step backwards for the Euro. Which means it sucks for Oregon.

[Phishy Wx]

conflicting reports

[OysterPrintout]

canada really has that border patrol on lockdown on this run

[Mid Valley Duck]

Through day 5 it looked pretty good but the base of the ridge gives out on day 5-6 and it shifts everything about 100 miles north.

[MossMan]

Major conflicted reports! 

[fubario]

annnnnnd cue the "winter cancel" posts in 3....2....1

[Slushy Inch]

4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Seems to be coming in line more and more with the other models.

Still better for Sunday but yes.

[Nov1985]

Everyone in Tacoma can rejoice at least. The snow donut hole is gone with this sketchy run. 

 

[Slushy Inch]

Still an Arctic blast and lots of snow for Seattle area.

[Mid Valley Duck]

 

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Major conflicted reports! 

This is a really good run for Washington. Not so much for Oregon.

[Doinko]

Still gets there for WA

 

[Snownerd3000]

This feels like a delay more than a bust. Watch the low level cold reloading into BC 

[MikeInEverett]

What’s weird is the block basically looks the same, if not better than the 12z run from yesterday through day 5 but for some reason the trough just doesn’t dig as much.

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, Snownerd3000 said:

This feels like a delay more than a bust. Watch the low level cold reloading into BC 

Good point! 

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, Mid Valley Duck said:

 

This is a really good run for Washington. Not so much for Oregon.

Way better than a yucky dry “backdoor” event where the folks on this forum who usually get the most snow anyway have to suffer in 20 degree sunshine while we score down here for once.

[Mid Valley Duck]

The block gets decapitated.

[Timmy]

 

1 minute ago, Snownerd3000 said:

This feels like a delay more than a bust. Watch the low level cold reloading into BC 

A delay to the delay.  I don’t think that counts 

[Chewbacca Defense]

3 hours ago, Everleigh said:

Got caught up this morning.....Wow!  We are in for a wild ride! 

I sure do appreciate all the maps and graphs that get posted, thank you to those that do that! 

I will gladly give both ovaries and a kidney, for those EURO snow maps to verify....! lol

Wow, that's impressive that you caught up.  I've been taking a break for a couple of days, and when I came back and loaded the page last night I think it was around pg 189-190 or so.....this morning I decided to jump ahead to the current page as of this morning (page 248 for the record) but have been in meeting all morning, I see it is showing there are 253 pages (probably more since I haven't refreshed my browser in a while...

 

CAN'T....KEEP....UP.....DROWNING....IN.....POSTS......SEND....HELP......

[Doinko]

Looks at the snow over the ocean

 

[Nov1985]

I can't seem to find anything to like in this run at all so far. 

[RentonHill]

Day 8

[OysterPrintout]

actually looks a lot like yesterday's 12z 

[Snownerd3000]

1 minute ago, Timmy said:

 

A delay to the delay.  I don’t think that counts 

This isn't new lol.  Our arctic outbreaks always seem to delay

[AlTahoe]

1 minute ago, Doinko said:

Looks at the snow and sleet over the ocean

 

Was just looking at that. Never seen a battle between Arctic and subtropical like that over the ocean before. Very odd

[Requiem]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Way better than a yucky dry “backdoor” event where the folks on this forum who usually get the most snow anyway have to suffer in 20 degree sunshine while we score down here for once.

God forbid anyone has to deal with fake non-arctic cold-- at least this way we can get our rightful warm rain while living vicariously through snow pics

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

This isn't new lol.  Our arctic outbreaks always seem to delay

The best ones come early.

[MossMan]

The evil sun is flash melting the frost off my roof Actually is great to finally see it again after the last several days of goo. The dogs always seek out the sun during the winter as well! 
Low of 30, currently 35. 

[Doinko]

Overrunning snowstorm