PNW December 2022 - Part II

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Poulsbo Snowman said:

Agreed, but I think the cold air will hang on until Saturday.

Yeah... there won't be much melting on Friday.   Temps barely get above freezing by the end of the day.   Might get delayed more.

[Terreboner]

I heard through the grapevine that Mark Nelsen put his chickens at a Fowl Camp..........now I'm not one to speculate but if those fowl mother fukkers are climate controlled then I guess it means we should be too??  Oh Markie.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Think I'm done for the night.  Looong day.  And I need to be fresh for tomorrow!

[Slushy Inch]

Luckily more of a mountain snow pattern on EPS than the pineapple express pattern on OP.

[WeatherGeek2022]

11 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Just looked at the end of GFS.  Wow!

more intriguing eye candy but definitely not buying into that at all right now. 

[OysterPrintout]

12 minutes ago, Requiem said:

I've undoubtedly done better than a lot of people south and west metro, but I'd daresay there really haven't been too many events that were significantly boosted by my elevation save for April 2022 and a couple early February 2019 snow skiffs. We do pretty badly with most of those onshore flow foothill snow events.

you shouldn't daresay that

[ShawniganLake]

1 hour ago, Terreboner said:

I know the highest elevation there.  Don't try to be smart, be helpful.  What did that bring to the conversation really?

Mt Washington resort is capable of getting 60 feet of snow in a year at a much lower elevation. I don’t think you could live at 7000ft on Vancouver island. 

[Slushy Inch]

[snow_wizard]

20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its hard to ignore the ECMWF within 3 days... but I guess it would be nice to have the GEM and GFS on board.    Both of those are way north on Tuesday.  

Although the GFS still works out in the end.

[Terreboner]

Just now, ShawniganLake said:

Mt Washington resort is capable of getting 60 feet of snow in a year at a much lower elevation. I don’t think you could live at 7000ft on Vancouver island. 

Probably not my friend.  Not everything is literal, kind of like the GFS and the UKMET.

But you got a friend in Memphis, on Union Ave.  Marc Cohn.

I bet he would have a beer with you a little lower though.

[snow_wizard]

5 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Mt Washington resort is capable of getting 60 feet of snow in a year at a much lower elevation. I don’t think you could live at 7000ft on Vancouver island. 

Mount Rainer puts Mount Washington to shame though.  Rainier has a full blown polar ice cap climate at the top.

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Not too bad.  Even the regular range GEFS had -PNA, -EPO, and -NAO at the end of the run tonight.  There might be hope for January.

[Terreboner]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Mount Rainer puts Mount Washington to shame though.  Rainier has a full blown polar ice cap climate at the top.

Not even what I'm talking about guys.   I appreciate the intensity of the forum though.  You guys always deliver.

[Meatyorologist]

If the Euro is right, I'll be off work all this week. Feels very plausible, if not likely. Even if Thursday/Friday thaws, the slush will make travel a nightmare.

[xfkirsten]

I did register for an adult hockey skills mini-camp in Snoqualmie for Mon/Tues/Wed night this week, so I am sure that is why we are finally getting this storm.

You're welcome.

[RentonHill]

5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

If the Euro is right, I'll be off work all this week. Feels very plausible, if not likely. Even if Thursday/Friday thaws, the slush will make travel a nightmare.

Bar

[ShawniganLake]

7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Mount Rainer puts Mount Washington to shame though.  Rainier has a full blown polar ice cap climate at the top.

Just to clarify. There is a mt Washington on Vancouver island.  It has a ski resort.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

There’s also a Mt. Washington in Oregon. It looks like a silicone breast.

[Slushy Inch]

The pinks are increasing!

[gusky]

12 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

If the Euro is right, I'll be off work all this week. Feels very plausible, if not likely. Even if Thursday/Friday thaws, the slush will make travel a nightmare.

Just checked the 00z, wow. Let's hope that CZ band moves up a smidge to N Seattle though

[Terreboner]

6 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Just to clarify. There is a mt Washington on Vancouver island.  It has a ski resort.  

In typical fashion, geographical bias has to take over on this forum.  Love all you guys for it.

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, gusky said:

Just checked the 00z, wow. Let's hope that CZ band moves up a smidge to N Seattle though

Snow fall is just higher to the south because of Tuesday's system.

[Meatyorologist]

Christmas light festival at Point Defiance Zoo.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

1 hour ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Holy crap! PDX-DLS of at least -14mb AND high temp Thursday ONLY 20!

 

1 hour ago, Perturbed Member said:

There is an initial light snow band that goes over NW OR and the soundings support snow at that point. It goes to sleet after that though. Would be nice if we could somehow get the upper levels just a bit cooler. 

 

 

Good to see the EURO still showing frigid temperatures for Thursday. I think the models will trend snowier with the Thu/Fri overrunning system as we get closer to the event. 

[gusky]

2 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Snow fall is just higher to the south because of Tuesday's system.

True, but CZ is also focused on downtown on the 00z too. 

[RentonHill]

4 minutes ago, gusky said:

Just checked the 00z, wow. Let's hope that CZ band moves up a smidge to N Seattle though

No. It’s going to stay right there. 

[gusky]

About the same for tomorrow but that Tues system has a higher mean on 00z

[xfkirsten]

6 minutes ago, gusky said:

Just checked the 00z, wow. Let's hope that CZ band moves up a smidge to N Seattle though

That little spike of pink near the I-90/I-405 interchange might also be because of the higher elevations of the Issaquah Alps.

[Meatyorologist]

06z NAM is more suppressed with the low.

[Requiem]

Checking EURO once again-- Tuesday-Thursday would downright wintry in PDX with some howling easterlies-- I just hope that system can trend a bit wetter.

[Meatyorologist]

I'm going to go out on a limb and say that Monday will be a surprise overperformer in the Sound. Increasing southerlies kick up some moisture into the region while the airmass fails to moderate. Mid-upper 20s and light snow. I'd go with 1-4".

[Nov1985]

Small chances around near year's

[gusky]

3 minutes ago, Nov1985 said:

Small chances around near year's

This is just too far. I feel guilty posting this.

[Meatyorologist]

GEFS has something close to a classic retrograde to start the New Year. Also brings back a strong -NAO signal.

[awright-31]

Well, almost time to stop the model riding and start the streetlight checks. As always hoping for a massive overperformer.

We’ll see how we do - Thurston County looks to be right on the edge of the screw zone. The low trends 30 miles north, we’re toast. 30 miles south, we might see 6 inches. Here we go!

[Slushy Inch]

8 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I'm going to go out on a limb and say that Monday will be a surprise overperformer in the Sound. Increasing southerlies kick up some moisture into the region while the airmass fails to moderate. Mid-upper 20s and light snow. I'd go with 1-4".

Based on Euro how is 1-4 inches overperforming?

[Slushy Inch]

I'll take it!

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Based on Euro how is 1-4 inches overperforming?

You are thinking of Tuesday's storm. I am talking about a more subtle convergence-related feature on Monday. Could be several hours of light snow.

[gusky]

1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

I'll take it!

Huh, I wonder if there's a possibility for an overperforming CZ tomorrow morning that could give us a little appetizer.

[Terreboner]

Probably for 99% of you here that dont get it, the 1%, I appreciate you.