Phil Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 49 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Too late to save January though. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 minute ago, Phil said: Too late to save January though. When is it not though. February looks to turn bitterly cold again. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: When is it not though. February looks to turn bitterly cold again. February has potential to be legitimate, no doubt. If the SSW comes to fruition I suspect there will be a bonafide MJO wave in response, as well. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 9 minutes ago, Phil said: Too late to save January though. But next January!!! 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: But next January!!! A January during an El Nino! It will be 50s everyday. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 44F and mostly cloudy. Looks like things are gonna be fairly normal-ish temp wise for a while so that's nice. 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 33 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: A January during an El Nino! It will be 50s everyday. I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if SEA scored a 70 degree day in a super nino January. 2 1 1 Quote 2024 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 2 Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86) Number of 90+ days - 0 Number of 95+ days - 0 Number of 60+ lows - 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Impressive. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 6z GEFS Day 8-16. I believe this was the coldest run thus far for the Gorge and eastern Washington. Pretty decent improvements. 12z ECMWF in 3 hours 45 minutes 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 5 hours ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: A January during an El Nino! It will be 50s everyday. The first half of next January will be cold. Bank on it. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Dark wet deck. 42. .14” so far. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 46 in Scio 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 it's still coming patience Daniel son 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 had some mixed precip spitting out there, 36 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Slight ensembles improvement on the 6z 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 44 and rain in Lebanon. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Operational GFS continues to diverge from the GEFS/EPS in the long range with the more zonal pattern. Suspect it’s wrong but we’ll see. There is often a degradation of model skill ahead of/during SSW events as dynamic trop/strat coupling is difficult to simulate, and many of the mechanisms are still poorly understood. 8 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Looks like another sneaky 50F day up at BLI. If it's not just from a rounding error then that would make 13 out of 18 days above 50F so far this year. 1 2 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 At least we are not Atlanta warm 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Delightfully rainy this morning. Looks like Phil gets a January 60-burger today! 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: At least we are not Atlanta warm Wait until the next El Niño. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 10 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Wait until the next El Niño. Yea. Remember the 2014-15 El Niño? Oh wait. This January is running almost 3F warmer than January 2015 at YXX 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 16 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: At least we are not Atlanta warm More freezes than we've had here... 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Quite the spread on the fuzz this morning. 5 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 44 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Slight ensembles improvement on the 6z Crescent City, CA is in the blue! 3 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 I had no idea we were considered "Abnormally dry." Drought monitor is showing much more color for the region then I expected including extreme drought for much of eastern Oregon. I know it hasn't been as wet, but I really didn't expect this. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: I had no idea we were considered "Abnormally dry." Drought monitor is showing much more color for the region then I expected including extreme drought for much of eastern Oregon. I know it hasn't been as wet, but I really didn't expect this. Spokane airport is right at normal for YTD precip (only 2.5 weeks in) according to local media. could easily fall back into drought with any extended dry period I suppose. curious to see what the precip amounts are for the water year though 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 The front coming in and hitting the region looks pretty neat. The front brought with it some pretty decent gusts too. Southern Oregon's coastline saw them range from 20-50mph. Conditions weren't as strong up north but a 21 was caught at Westport, 18 at Port Angeles, and a 26 on Whidbey Island directly facing the open sea. Even some decent gusts in the Sound with Des Moines, Seattle's Boeing Field, and Mukilteo all saw 22-23mph gusts. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: The front coming in and hitting the region looks pretty neat. The front brought with it some pretty decent gusts too. Southern Oregon's coastline saw them range from 20-50mph. Conditions were's as strong up north but a 21 was caught at Westport, 18 at Port Angeles, and a 26 on Whidbey Island directly facing the open sea. Even some decent gusts in the Sound with Des Moines, Seattle's Boeing Field, and Mukilteo all see 22-23mph gusts. Looks like some pretty hefty post-frontal showers. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 31 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Delightfully rainy this morning. Looks like Phil gets a January 60-burger today! DCA hit 61 already. Been hovering at 54/55 here thanks to a mountain wave cloud overhead, but that usually doesn’t last all day. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 6 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: The front coming in and hitting the region looks pretty neat. The front brought with it some pretty decent gusts too. Southern Oregon's coastline saw them range from 20-50mph. Conditions weren't as strong up north but a 21 was caught at Westport, 18 at Port Angeles, and a 26 on Whidbey Island directly facing the open sea. Even some decent gusts in the Sound with Des Moines, Seattle's Boeing Field, and Mukilteo all saw 22-23mph gusts. 39mph at Victoria Gonzales overnight. 57mph at Saturna in the southern Gulf islands. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Looking at the Westport camera, looks like the waves have gone over the breakers again flooding one road and a bit of the waterfront. Crews are actually blocking the road this time. Some pretty big waves still bashing the coast. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 13 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: The front coming in and hitting the region looks pretty neat. The front brought with it some pretty decent gusts too. Southern Oregon's coastline saw them range from 20-50mph. Conditions were's as strong up north but a 21 was caught at Westport, 18 at Port Angeles, and a 26 on Whidbey Island directly facing the open sea. Even some decent gusts in the Sound with Des Moines, Seattle's Boeing Field, and Mukilteo all see 22-23mph gusts. The gap in radar coverage between NW Oregon and SW Oregon is interesting. #tiger’slament 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 New GEFS is worse. But I don't really care sense EPS will be coming out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 11 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: The gap in radar coverage between NW Oregon and SW Oregon is interesting. #tiger’slament It took a fair bit of lobbying Congress just to get the Langley Hill radar built, and Southern Oregon doesn’t have the presence in the House that the Seattle and Portland metro areas collectively do. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 18 minutes ago, Phil said: Bye bye Tonga cooling Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: It took a fair bit of lobbying Congress just to get the Langley Hill radar built, and Southern Oregon doesn’t have the presence in the House that the Seattle and Portland metro areas collectively do. Which is just sad, the importance of a coastal radar is obvious. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 47 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: I had no idea we were considered "Abnormally dry." Drought monitor is showing much more color for the region then I expected including extreme drought for much of eastern Oregon. I know it hasn't been as wet, but I really didn't expect this. It's been pretty dry up here for the last 60 days and the Cascades are definitely starting to struggle. 1 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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