Money Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 RAP now showing 9-10 inches of snow in SE W http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=snku_acc&rh=2018020317&fh=21&r=conus&dpdt= HRRR with 8+ as well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VMB443 Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 RAP now showing 9-10 inches of snow in SE W http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=snku_acc&rh=2018020317&fh=21&r=conus&dpdt= HRRR with 8+ as wellMy gut tells me this is going to over perform - we’ve had a lot of under performers so you’d have to think eventually the law of averages is going to catch up. At times we are getting some nice bursts of snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 3, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 St Paul getting rocked for a little while...radar looks great up by you... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Lots of dry air to overcome by Chi-town as usual Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 My gut tells me this is going to over perform - we’ve had a lot of under performers so you’d have to think eventually the law of averages is going to catch up. At times we are getting some nice bursts of snow.18z RAP coming in even better for your area with 10-11 now 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 18z RAP coming in even better for your area with 10-11 nowIs this your first potential 6+ of the season? Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Is this your first potential 6+ of the season?Yeah we’ve probably only had 7 or 8 total inches of snow this winter. There was one clipper early on that gfs had over here with 6+ within 24 hours of the event but shifted north and hit GB instead Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Lots of dry air to overcome by Chi-town as usualThis is looking to be a dud in Chicago metro...maybe 1-2" tops for the most part. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Getting raked right now. Mega flakes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 This is looking to be a dud in Chicago metro...maybe 1-2" tops for the most part.Yep, story of our winter. Next week will probably end up being a dud as well when all is said and done. Potential is there for some Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 I'm still holding out for some lake influence to hopefully kick in and over perform. On e can always hope. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 just got added to the wwa 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 This is looking to be a dud in Chicago metro...maybe 1-2" tops for the most part.Hasn't the forecast always been 1-3 inches for the weekend? Still think lakeside there will be some 3+ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Moderate snow with huge flakes now Def increasing in intensity last 30 mins Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 At work... Seems like things are looking more snowy? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 looks like a band is setting up 30mi north of me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VMB443 Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Things seem to be skirting just north of me, hope that’s not a trend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Things seem to be skirting just north of me, hope that’s not a trend.Its the OmaDome, it decided to pay Milwaukee a visit. Enjoy! Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 In other news, nice band of rain over Iowa. It's not snow, but it IS QPF, which is better than nothing, especially this season. Temps are also way over performing, up to 45 degrees at the airport. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Should have another 2 hours or so of snowfall. Gonna end up exceeding the predicted amounts I think. At least 3” out there now. Still snowing moderately. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 just got added to the wwaLatest HRRR with 6+ for you http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=snku_acc&rh=2018020319&fh=17&r=us_mw&dpdt= Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VMB443 Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Its the OmaDome, it decided to pay Milwaukee a visit. Enjoy!I’m definitely feeling some Nebraska pain right now - hoping it is just a passing malady. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Some pretty heavy snow just moved in here out of the blue at 1:35 PM MDT with a temperature of 41 F...as a sharp cold front is moving through. Started the day with bare ground and just 15.5" of snow on the winter. Hopefully, there will be some improvement there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 me as well. dusting on concrete and nothing coming for the sky...painful Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 About 2.7 on the ground so far and coming down good. Been snowing since 10/11 ish Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Despite radar indicating rain here, it is actually not doing anything, and when it does precipitate, it falls as snow. Must be quite a bit of dry air and evaporative cooling. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Some pretty heavy snow just moved in here out of the blue at 1:35 PM MDT with a temperature of 41 F...as a sharp cold front is moving through. Started the day with bare ground and just 15.5" of snow on the winter. Hopefully, there will be some improvement there. Temp fell from 41 F to 34 F in 30 minutes and the snow is accumulating on grassy surfaces... Edit: Down to freezing / 32 F at 2:25 PM MDT. HRDPS; the only model I trust; has 0.4 LE through Hour 24. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 North it is. Fondy and Sheboygan are going to be the winners. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...A long duration of widespread accumulating snow late tonight through Sunday evening. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are expected. * WHERE...Genesee, Lapeer, St. Clair, Livingston, Oakland and Macomb Counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 7 PM EST Sunday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions Sunday. Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Temp fell from 41 F to 34 F in 30 minutes and the snow is accumulating on grassy surfaces... Edit: Down to freezing / 32 F at 2:25 PM MDT. HRDPS; the only model I trust; has 0.4 LE through Hour 24. Something is better than nothing, which is what we'll likely get. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Around 4 so far and coming down good 1 inch the last hour or so 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Something is better than nothing, which is what we'll likely get. It continues to snow here; generally not too heavily. Temp was down to 17 F @ 4:35 PM MDT...down 24 degrees in just 3 hours. There is a big canyon off the back of my property and it very, very, windy there. Thus, telling the difference between falling snow and blowing snow is not so easy. I hope Nebraska sees a nice snowfall. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Already 3 fatalities in FDL Nasty outside Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VMB443 Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Coming down here again - pretty heavy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 It continues to snow here; generally not too heavily. Temp was down to 17 F @ 4:35 PM MDT...down 24 degrees in just 3 hours. There is a big canyon off the back of my property and it very, very, windy there. Thus, telling the difference between falling snow and blowing snow is not so easy. I hope Nebraska sees a nice snowfall. At 5:20 PM MDT the snow is coming down a bit more earnestly and the temperature has fallen back to about 14 F. There is also some fog & blowing snow. Wind has slackened considerably and is light out of the north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 WWA for 3-5" overnight looks solid. Local grid has 100% SNOW for tonight and Sunday. Haven't seen back-2-back periods with 100% since idk when? Winds are up which means dynamic system, not a whimpy dying system. Night time cooling will bring the snow line south, tho not sure at what hour exactly?? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Nice AFD by GRR. They even think up to 4" for Monday night along 94. SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday night)Issued at 300 PM EST Sat Feb 3 2018 No changes are going to be made with the headlines with thisforecast package. The only things that might need to be adjustedwith time would be an upgrade to a warning across the NW if snowfalls to heavily, or some slight adjustments with regards toexpiration times depending on the timing of the impactful snow outof the area on Sun. We are still thinking a general 3-6 inch event for much of the area,with locally higher amounts across the NW of up to 10 inches throughSunday. The duration of the snow across the NW will keep thoseaccumulations from being too high of an impact. The heaviest snowwill be across the NW portion of the area through tonight and willdiminish Sun morning as the front sinks far enough SE and offshoreflow takes shape. The heaviest snow for the SE portion of the area will come overnighttonight and through Sunday morning. This comes as the sfc front willsink into that portion of the area, and the upper wave passage takesplace. There is fairly good consensus amongst the models, so we feelgood at this time with the advisory. Some lake effect will be possible along the immediate lakeshorecounties late Sun and Sun night with NNW flow and colder air comingback in. This lake effect should not be of much consequence as theridging coming in the wake of the Sun upper wave will driveinversion heights down to around 3-4k feet AGL. We will not have to wait long then for our next synoptic snow eventin this active pattern taking shape over the nrn CONUS. We will seea jet streak dive SE out of Canada and ride along the U.S./Canadianborder. There is not much of a sfc low with this system, but thereis quite a bit of stronger mid-level fgen that develops and movesthrough as a result of the RRQ of the strong jet streak. This will focus much of the snow late Mon and mainly Mon nightacross the South. The lakeshore may see some slightly elevatedamounts with lake enhancement occurring with a wrly low level flow.Right now it looks like up to about 4 inches will be possible(highest South). The details still are a bit uncertain, especiallywith it being a fgen event and where bands may set up. Latest map for this storm: Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 That dumped. 4:00 to 5:40...2" sitting at 3" right now. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 It's rippin' snow outside....everything is covered with a solid coating... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 It will get nasty here later tanite. Winds are alittle gusty now. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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