westMJim Posted March 16, 2018 Report Share Posted March 16, 2018 00z Euro provides a snowstorm for SEMI next week. UGH!!!! This snow should be given to OKwx2k4 who really needs it. My area has gotten enough already. @Tabitha....Do you know if Detroit exceeded 60" thus far this Winter? I know it is very close to that number, if not, over it.Not Tabitha but as of today (March 16, 2018) No Detroit is not over 60" for this winter season it now stands at 58.6" at Metro. And a reported 44.4" at Grosse Point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 16, 2018 Report Share Posted March 16, 2018 The storm coming on Sunday night into Monday looks like a better moisture producer for Nebraska and Kansas than the current one, low a little farther south on NAM with that storm instead of the dry slot now. 12Z NAM even puts some snow down that looks like it would be heavy and wet. Would love it for precipitation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted March 16, 2018 Report Share Posted March 16, 2018 Word on the hill is that they're going to try and stay open next week too. My ski hill hasn't been open that late in several years, probably since the awesome winter of 2013-2014. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted March 16, 2018 Report Share Posted March 16, 2018 Winter hates me. It has no mercy.For crying out loud. I know it's spring but you get it. Just end it already. Lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 16, 2018 Report Share Posted March 16, 2018 18Z NAM hits Northwest Kansas into Central Nebraska with a snowstorm Monday. We will have to see about that. Skeptical. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 It was cold in Michigan’s UP over night and into the early AM of Friday. The temp. dipped to -1 at Houghton, -3 at Ironwood and -6 at Champion. Here's Michigan snow cover this (Fri.) AM: Painesdale 40", Grand Marais 37", Munising 33", Copper Harbor 32", Calumet 30", Atlantic Mine 28", Herman 27", Marquette and Harvey 25", Jacobsville 22", S. Ste. Marie, Watersmeet, Paulding and Michigamme 19", Ironwood 18", Chatham 16", Cooks 15", Champion and Gladston 14", Rapid River 13", Ontonagon 12", Green Garden 11", Stambaugh and Arnold 9", Norway 8", Gaylord 7", Manistique and Kingsley 6", Onaway and Alpena 5", Maple City 4", Grayling 3", Houghton Lake 1". 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 17, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Drier trends across NE/KS with the early week system...nonetheless, it is beneficial precip bc after this system, unfortunately, the next one will likely miss the central Plains... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 17, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 March has opened like a lion, and will likely finish like a Lion....Simba!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 The narrow, overnight band of precip in central Iowa dropped up to 9 inches of snow between Des Moines and Ames. The band dropped 2.5" just sw of Cedar Rapids, but it didn't make it up here. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 At this time it is sunny and a cold 31° here at my house. I had a low of 19° this morning the official low was 22° at the airport. So far this month has a departure from average of -1.4° but the warmest it has gotten is only 46°. The seasons snow fall is at 71.7” with just under half of that falling in December. After a slight warm up this weekend it will turn cold once again but remain dry Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 The narrow, overnight band of precip in central Iowa dropped up to 9 inches of snow between Des Moines and Ames. The band dropped 2.5" just sw of Cedar Rapids, but it didn't make it up here.What!!!? I didnt know this. Im heading to Des Moines later. Interested to see what will be left of it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Wow. Crazy. I did don’t even notice the snow reports until now. We got a light glaze of ice and sleet here. Looks like I missed out on accumulating snow by only 30 miles or so. What a weird snow storm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Models are showing a big, complex system crossing the region in 7-8 days. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted March 17, 2018 Report Share Posted March 17, 2018 Models are showing a big, complex system crossing the region in 7-8 days. Extended forecast is in on it too, calling for 3-5 Friday then another 3-5 on Saturday. But I think they are being drama queens, the big weather sites always love to play up a late season storm like this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 18, 2018 Sadly, this will be the only system this month to provide a good chance of any appreciable rains for KS. Every other system will likely develop to the east and north going forward. I sure hope the 06zNAM high rez is right... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 18, 2018 12z NAM holding onto a KS drenching rain... http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/jpg/current/current_ks_text.jpg 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 18, 2018 Report Share Posted March 18, 2018 We are now in the 2nd half of March 2018 here in Grand Rapids yesterday was the warmest day this month so far with a high of 53° The departure from average is now at -1.2° and the month has seen 4.9" of snow fall the seasonal total remains at 71.7" Total seasonal snow fall at some other Michigan locations thru March 17th are Muskegon 97.8", Lansing 50.0", Detroit 58.6" Flint 77.4". Saginaw 35.9" Alpena 50.3" (-23.3" less than average) Houghton Lake 40.3" (-19.5" less than average) Sault Ste Marie 95.4" (-13.2" less than average) Gaylord 103.4" (-26.1" less than average) Traverse City 96.3" (+0.6" more then ave) West Branch 32.2" (-14.3" less than ave) Petoskey 107.1" (-10.6" less than ave) and Marquette 132.4" It should be noted that parts of the UP still have over 24" of snow on the ground. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 18, 2018 Report Share Posted March 18, 2018 Also here is the latest ice cover on the Great Lakes https://www.glerl.noaa.gov/res/glcfs/glcfs.php?lake=l&ext=ice&type=N&hr=00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted March 18, 2018 Report Share Posted March 18, 2018 No one's interested in the weekend disturbance? Or is it just too early. I have a lot riding on this storm, if it's snow, I get to end the snowboard season with an awesome fresh snow weekend. If it's rain, I'm done here and it's the time of the year I stab old man winter in the back and tell him to go away as I get ready for summer stuff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 18, 2018 Report Share Posted March 18, 2018 With how awful models have performed this winter outside of 72-96 hours (even inside that sometimes) I’m still in wait and see mode for the weekend. I’m hoping to get a decent rainmaker here. No chance at snow where I’m at. Minnesota and parts of Wisconsin could be in play. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 18, 2018 Report Share Posted March 18, 2018 Euro showing any snow? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 18, 2018 Report Share Posted March 18, 2018 Looks like a Bismark to Rochester to Chicago hit on the 12z Euro. Looking at the free maps on weather.us so can’t really tell what accums are. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 18, 2018 Report Share Posted March 18, 2018 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted March 18, 2018 Report Share Posted March 18, 2018 ecmwf_acc_snow_conus_240.pngecmwf_acc_precip_conus_240.pngPlease verify. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 19, 2018 Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 Please verify. Please tell me your post was tongue-in-cheek. Look how the Euro treated our buddy Hawkeye for this weekend's system, and you're looking at d10 maps! And I'm not saying this cuz I don't wish any snow for you. Actually, I love your enthusiasm for finishing your slope season with a white bang! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 19, 2018 Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 Tomorrow may be an interesting weather day here in Central Nebraska. NWS Hastings says it is a very tricky forecast. 1-2 degree difference between rain, or a heavy convective snow. Says forecast is low confidence and could bust. They listed several models that paint 10 inches in my area or 0. 0z NAM and HRRR are both crazy with snow. I just want moisture, any form. Besides, it is supposed to be 70 by Friday. I will update tomorrow what actually occurs. Imo, more rain than snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted March 19, 2018 Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 Tomorrow may be an interesting weather day here in Central Nebraska. NWS Hastings says it is a very tricky forecast. 1-2 degree difference between rain, or a heavy convective snow. Says forecast is low confidence and could bust. They listed several models that paint 10 inches in my area or 0. 0z NAM and HRRR are both crazy with snow. I just want moisture, any form. Besides, it is supposed to be 70 by Friday. I will update tomorrow what actually occurs. Imo, more rain than snow.I’m happy we are finally getting rain. I’ve been kicking up a ton of dust lately while driving around Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted March 19, 2018 Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 Street flooding might become an issue in Lincoln soon. I'm only judging off radar, I'm stuck in Texas for the next week. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted March 19, 2018 Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 Please tell me your post was tongue-in-cheek. Look how the Euro treated our buddy Hawkeye for this weekend's system, and you're looking at d10 maps! And I'm not saying this cuz I don't wish any snow for you. Actually, I love your enthusiasm for finishing your slope season with a white bang! Oh,I know it'll probably not happen, but I have that feeling like you're gambling and on your last bet before it's all over. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 19, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 Tomorrow may be an interesting weather day here in Central Nebraska. NWS Hastings says it is a very tricky forecast. 1-2 degree difference between rain, or a heavy convective snow. Says forecast is low confidence and could bust. They listed several models that paint 10 inches in my area or 0. 0z NAM and HRRR are both crazy with snow. I just want moisture, any form. Besides, it is supposed to be 70 by Friday. I will update tomorrow what actually occurs. Imo, more rain than snow.That is one sweet looking blob of moisture on radar across the majority of KS this morning. Looks like your right on the northern edge of the heavier precip. Getting any frozen precip?? Radar suggests some snow is falling over Kearney. Gotta love the spin and look of this system on radar. Glad to see some of you are cashing in on much needed moisture. Something tells me this is where systems will track next Autumn/Winter. Anyhow, this should help alleviate some of the drought conditions but it would certainly help to get a couple more good rain makers this Spring. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 19, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 After today's rains, 00z GEFS pretty much sum up where the drought is across the central Plains. Here is the Day 4-10 precip anomalies suggesting the precip will continue to fall on the periphery of the drought stricken regions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 19, 2018 Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 Our school has a 2 hour delayed start as of right now. Snowing like crazy. Looks like 3 or more inches already (guess from bedroom window). Trees drooping with heavy snow on the limbs. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 19, 2018 Author Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 Our school has a 2 hour delayed start as of right now. Snowing like crazy. Looks like 3 or more inches already (guess from bedroom window). Trees drooping with heavy snow on the limbs.On this last full day of Winter, Ol' Man Winter is giving you a dose of his presence before he lets go for the year in your region. On the other hand, that may not be the case around here later this weekend! 00z Euro still holding on to the idea of a stripe of accumulating snows from MN into the Lower Lakes...we shall see... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 19, 2018 Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 On this last full day of Winter, Ol' Man Winter is giving you a dose of his presence before he lets go for the year in your region. On the other hand, that may not be the case around here later this weekend! 00z Euro still holding on to the idea of a stripe of accumulating snows from MN into the Lower Lakes...we shall see...Several schools around here are now closed. Maybe we are next? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted March 19, 2018 Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 Grand Rapids has a pleasantly mild weekend with a lot of sunshine and temperatures in the low to mid 50’s for highs after lows in low to mid 20’s. It should be noted that the Dew Points have been very low by our standards only in the upper teens to low 20’s, Todays CFSv2 screams continued on the cold and dry side into the first week of April.http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/weekly/images/wk1.wk2_latest.NAsfcT.gifweek 3-4http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/weekly/images/wk3.wk4_latest.NAsfcT.gifweek 1-2http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/weekly/images/wk1.wk2_latest.NAprec.gifweek 3-4http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/weekly/images/wk3.wk4_latest.NAprec.gif 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 19, 2018 Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 Updated snowfall map. I am 30 miles southwest of Kearney so on the edge of 6 inches. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 19, 2018 Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 Spring in Nebraska. It seems in the last decade or so, our Springs have had worse weather than our Winters. Track meet scheduled for tomorrow already cancelled. 3-6 inches of extremely heavy, wet snow on the ground. Where do teams practice? Golf, Tennis, and Soccer all trying to find indoor places to go. I don't coach a spring sport, but it can be a challenge for administrators and coaches. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted March 19, 2018 Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 I had 1.4" of rain from Friday's system. Didn't have a chance to check the rain gauge this morning from the overnight rain. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 19, 2018 Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 GFS has shown heavy snow in Iowa 2 straight runs Friday night into Saturday. At the very least hopefully we get heavy rain. A spring snowstorm would be cool and one to remember, but it's extremely rare this time of year this far south in Iowa. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2018031912/144/snku_acc.us_mw.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted March 19, 2018 Report Share Posted March 19, 2018 Spring in Nebraska. It seems in the last decade or so, our Springs have had worse weather than our Winters. Track meet scheduled for tomorrow already cancelled. 3-6 inches of extremely heavy, wet snow on the ground. Where do teams practice? Golf, Tennis, and Soccer all trying to find indoor places to go. I don't coach a spring sport, but it can be a challenge for administrators and coaches. You get school cancelled or just the late start?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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