Really, really lovely cumulonimbus action tonight! I just happened to have my drone in the car and got some solid shots of DT Seattle/Lake Washington/Mercer Island/Bellevue looking north from Skyway. Alas, the focal length of the lens doesn't do the vertical height justice and my WB was off rendering it into semi-gross HDR territory, but still... fun looking weather! It was quite windy- I was flying right at 390 ft and the drone was giving me all sorts of warnings about sustained winds/gusts.
A most incredible snow storm. At times the snowfall rates have been as heavy or slightly heavier than January 2017. Temp 27.5, Dewpoint: 27.1 with gusty east wind and very heavy snow continuing. I'm at 11 1/2" now! UNBELIEVABLE!!!! This pic does no justice at all.
NBM is quite an interesting product! Their weighting algorithm is moderately complex and dynamic, though does has some drawbacks as we saw yesterday. For those who don't know, NBM is an attempt by NOAA to create a super probabilistic forecast model that ingests output from all the models above and outputs forecast guidance for local offices that help them to gauge the relative odds of particular weather outcomes. The 'special sauce' is the post-processing, normalization and weighting that they d
SEA hasn't seen a colder than normal calendar year since 2011.
Since 2003, only 3/21 years (2007, 2008, 2011) were colder than normal at SEA. Those 3 cold years did not balance out of the 18 years of warm.
I hope the 18z GFS forecast verifies and it looks nice but I hope 5 degrees colder and a half inch wetter everyday with one of those split day Memorial Day weekend teases on Saturday the 26th where it starts out really sunny and pleasant and then the winds change mid day and it clouds up and it yanks it away really suddenly and viciously from everyone who is out on the lake just like that one weekend we had back in April only colder and wetter.
Busy. A bullfrog holds court every evening and there’s an ******* heron that seems to enjoy terrorizing a group of ducks in the pond immediately behind the house. I downvote him every time it happens but it doesn’t seem to be helping.
NW OR and SW WA haven't had a proper (55+mph) south windstorm since April 2017. Probably the longest streak on record at this point.
Although somewhat ironically, the last 3-4 years have still placed some of the most extreme stress on the local trees that we've seen since Typhoon Freida. With the snow/ice of February 2021, heatmageddon in 2021, the April 2022 freak snowstorm, and then the east wind and ice in January this year. Collectively all that has culled out a lot of the weaklings.
This January's wind was pretty crazy, a house nearby got crushed by a huge fallen tree because of the wind. I think that's the strongest wind I've seen in a while, but we haven't really had many strong south wind storms recently from what I remember.
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