Really, really lovely cumulonimbus action tonight! I just happened to have my drone in the car and got some solid shots of DT Seattle/Lake Washington/Mercer Island/Bellevue looking north from Skyway. Alas, the focal length of the lens doesn't do the vertical height justice and my WB was off rendering it into semi-gross HDR territory, but still... fun looking weather! It was quite windy- I was flying right at 390 ft and the drone was giving me all sorts of warnings about sustained winds/gusts.
A most incredible snow storm. At times the snowfall rates have been as heavy or slightly heavier than January 2017. Temp 27.5, Dewpoint: 27.1 with gusty east wind and very heavy snow continuing. I'm at 11 1/2" now! UNBELIEVABLE!!!! This pic does no justice at all.
NBM is quite an interesting product! Their weighting algorithm is moderately complex and dynamic, though does has some drawbacks as we saw yesterday. For those who don't know, NBM is an attempt by NOAA to create a super probabilistic forecast model that ingests output from all the models above and outputs forecast guidance for local offices that help them to gauge the relative odds of particular weather outcomes. The 'special sauce' is the post-processing, normalization and weighting that they d
No, I know. I was putting it out there for anyone to engage with. Israel just puts crap out there and people eat it up with no fact checking, as the video shows.
Hilarious pretense. How many times does it have to be said that being pro-Palestine/anti-genocide does not mean Pro-Hamas? Are some people too stupid to separate the two topics?
I suspect the bulk of May will be warm/dry up there, but sandwiched between cool/wet patterns at the beginning/end (current troughy pattern and the next one ~ 25th).
What happens from the solstice onwards will probably hinge on if/when the niña cell begins to establish. Right now there is no indication of a niña circulation on the EPS weeklies, which run through mid-June. If anything there’s a weak (but insignificant) low frequency signal near the dateline, which is more niño-like.
But really this is pure MJO without much of an ENSO component.
That was a very tenuous set up only shown the GFS caused by the current system digging a little further south. The ECMWF, EPS, and GEM never even hinted at it which is red flashing sign that the GFS is out to lunch.
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