PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale

[SouthHillFrosty]

A little less precip so far this run. Will be less snowy

[Kolk1604]

I feel like this happens every year. We get the money pattern at the wrong time. It's either too early or too late

 

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Flurries and 35.6˚F. Was at the grocery store in the last hour and it was starting to get crazy. Warnings are up and people know.

[TacomaWx]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

A little less precip so far this run. Will be less snowy

Actually shows 0.1” more snow tonight IMBY than the 12z 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Gummy said:

No maps showing temps above 40 and no wind maps showing onshore flow.  Only applies to WA though.

Yeah... but some of those maps are great for other places.     The big c-zone on Tuesday afternoon happens because of strong onshore flow.  

[ShawniganLake]

35 with the occasional flurry here. 

[WeatherGeek2022]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

I feel like this happens every year. We get the money pattern at the wrong time. It's either too early or too late

 

 

"there's always next year"

[Cloud]

The way the NWS is handling defeats all the PURPOSE of weather FORECASTING. 

[WeatheringLoyalHeights]

3 minutes ago, KingstonWX said:

So strange - basically showing half an inch accumulation tonight for a pretty wide swath of the sound (Says the same for me in north Seattle). Yet they also drop a WWA for up to 2” in the same areas. Suppose a lot has to do with the forecasted low of 35, which seems high.

Hope these temps stay at bay. Looks like we just crested 40 here. I’ll take those WRF maps posted earlier for tonight’s event please

[FroYoBro]

1 minute ago, Gummy said:

No maps showing temps above 40 and no wind maps showing onshore flow.  Only applies to WA though.

I think snow pictures should be banned unless 95% of all posters have at least a trace of snow on the ground. 

[T-Town]

 

[joelgombiner]

2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

I feel like this happens every year. We get the money pattern at the wrong time. It's either too early or too late

 

 

Could there be a reason why that is the case? It seems like these late-season cold periods are related to the breakdown of the PV at the end of winter, so that might be part of the answer. 

[KingstonWX]

Just now, WeatheringLoyalHeights said:

So strange - basically showing half an inch accumulation tonight for a pretty wide swath of the sound (Says the same for me in north Seattle). Yet they also drop a WWA for up to 2” in the same areas. Suppose a lot has to do with the forecasted low of 35, which seems high.

Hope these temps stay at bay. Looks like we just crested 40 here. I’ll take those WRF maps posted earlier for tonight’s event please

Yea, my WWA says up to 4" for where I'm at (though if I go about 150 feet north it's 2" lol).

[TacomaWx]

Getting some radar returns over the central/north sound now…but don’t expect anything for another 3-4 hours most likely. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Actually shows 0.1” more snow tonight IMBY than the 12z 

Yea it’s just very slightly less here, a little more here game. Nit picky stuff lol

[Sandy rocks]

I am curious about something. The maps show less amounts here than Washougal even though we are higher elevation and farther east. Can some explain that? I would be appreciative.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Looks great for Portland 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, T-Town said:

 

At least they didn’t do a full Portland and wait until the event was well underway.

[KingstonWX]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Getting some radar returns over the central/north sound now…but don’t expect anything for another 3-4 hours most likely. 

I think those are from CASAG not KATX, so yea, not hitting the ground. I'm under one right now and the clouds are definitely thickening up but there's nothing falling. 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Getting some radar returns over the central/north sound now…but don’t expect anything for another 3-4 hours most likely. 

High clouds still off in the distance here. 

I will use this as my "before" picture and compare to tomorrow and then probably again after we are buried out here on Tuesday.

[Requiem]

Today's song (and maybe what some of us will be seeing next week ) 

 

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Clouds are still thin from Everett southward... allowing for a nice warm up.   46 in North Bend and 47 in the Issaquah Highlands right now.    

Crazy! Warmer today than I was expecting.  38 here! Still think most places near sound or below 800ft will see rain for a bit. The evaporative cooling has its work cut out. 

[Doinko]

5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

At least they didn’t do a full Portland and wait until the event was well underway.

Still ridiculous that this was their forecast.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Bluebird conditions and 34.

[Deweydog]

6 minutes ago, Sandy rocks said:

I am curious about something. The maps show less amounts here than Washougal even though we are higher elevation and farther east. Can some explain that? I would be appreciative.

Exposure to southerlies might be part of it, but primarily it’s likely more about about moisture availability issue. The stuff later tomorrow night and into Monday morning really focuses on Clark County, especially on the GFS.

[SouthHillFrosty]

This could be a generational run for Portland. Back to back storms is crazy 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Crazy! Warmer today than I was expecting.  38 here! Still think most places near sound or below 800ft will see rain for a bit. The evaporative cooling has its work cut out. 

Still a relatively cool 41 at SEA.   East breeze is not reaching there like it is out here.

[Deweydog]

A day at the beach! Love the ice formations thanks to the efforts to mitigate risk to the cranberry crops. Also a coastal snow update!

[Sandy rocks]

The the GFS looks good for Sandy. Is that the best model now or is the Euro?

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, Sandy rocks said:

The the GFS looks good for Sandy. Is that the best model now or is the Euro?

Euro is king

[WeatheringLoyalHeights]

Cloud cover seems more saturated now north of Seattle. I still see peeks of blue sky to our south around interbay but just clouds and more clouds to the north. Doubtful we will see any more uptick in the temp.

[Requiem]

That narrow band of snow with offshore or flat gradients on Monday could actually drop a couple widespread inches on the Portland area I'd fathom.

[Doinko]

Snow is still hanging on. Pretty amazing for so late

[snow_wizard]

18z GFS is a little colder tonight than the 12z in Pierce and King Counties.  Not much, but anything is a big deal in this case.

[TT-SEA]

Tuesday still looking very interesting on the 18Z run

[MikeInEverett]

Clouds thickening. It’s coming. 40F currently.

[Doinko]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Tuesday still looking very interesting on the 18Z run

Wow another snowstorm for PDX. Hoping the Euro caves!

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Anything worth tracking today?

[snow_wizard]

No change on the low track for the Tuesday system.  I am loving that one, because the models show it easily being cold enough with temps below freezing at least for the early part of it.

This run also shows Tacoma getting more snow tonight than previous runs.  Very good sign.

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said:

Anything worth tracking today?

Ya think?