PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale

[Meatyorologist]

Some of y'all out here marrying people who don't like to talk about the weather. Goddamn masochists.

[Cold Snap]

RGEM showing a pretty nice CZ setting up right in the middle of Snohomish county after the front comes through.

[Weiner Warrior]

8 minutes ago, T-Town said:

30 minutes?  My wife would terminate any discussion on evaporative cooling after 30 seconds. 

Lol.. we were in the car so she had no options!!

[Deweydog]

My wife has always been a good sport about it, but always looks for opportunities to go full snark about it. She also absolutely finds dissertations about subsidence inversions and tropopause folds a turn on. 

[Doinko]

1 hour ago, Perturbed Member said:

PDX NWS vs 18z ECMWF for tonight.

 

1 inch or so would be really nice to refresh the snowpack! Pretty crazy how well the snow has held up in the shade for late February, still a solid 3-4" there. Mostly melted in the sunny spots though

[T-Town]

10 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Post your divorce papers on this thread within 24 hours, or you will be banned for life.

Oh man. 35 years down the drain. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

26 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said:

Just spent 30 minutes explaining evaporative cooling to the wife and how the our recent move to bellevue was the best decision because we are at 500' elevation. She told me I was talking too much. She just doesn't get it.

Just explain to her that she will get 8" more often and leave it at that.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

So far nothing here despite under the radar for a bit. Virga at its best. Temp down to 34. Going to be a nice event tonight.  I'm curious to see how far my temp can drop tonight during snowfall. I'm thinking I might get down to around 30 which would be nice quality snow and not weigh down the branches to bad.

[Perturbed Member]

Just now, Doinko said:

1 inch or so would be really nice to refresh the snowpack! Pretty crazy how well the snow has held up in the shade for late February, still a solid 3-4" there. Mostly melted in the sunny spots though

Same here, have 4+ inch snow depth in shaded areas. Already down to 32F here. We should be good for 1-2 inches I think. 

[Chewbacca Defense]

Topped out at 36, currently 33/19 and waiting for the snow to start.  I think it has started to snow in Lynden, so just a matter of time.

[Phishy Wx]

32 with a DP of 22

just hope we don't get shadowed too bad

probably 1-3" 

melted by tomorrow at this time

SW wind is a snow eater

[snow_wizard]

Very impressive temps for SEA and PDX today.

SEA = 42/24

PDX = 43/18

Bring on more of this!

 

[Snownerd3000]

11 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

My wife has always been a good sport about it, but always looks for opportunities to go full snark about it. She also absolutely finds dissertations about subsidence inversions and tropopause folds a turn on. 

Quite the kink

[Timmy]

Down to 30 already 

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Very impressive temps for SEA and PDX today.

SEA = 42/24

PDX = 43/18

Bring on more of this!

 

Definitely one of my favorite events that I've experienced, from the 6-8" blizzard, then subfreezing high and ground blizzard the day after with full sunshine, and possibly some more snow transitioning out of it. 

[GHweatherChris]

37/26 temp/dewpoint spread here currently.

[snow_wizard]

32 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Yeah unfortunately it’s not looking great for most of pierce county. We’re right on the border of the snow hole it looks like. Should fare decently here tonight still being just far enough NW. 

Still a lot of question marks for tonight.  I would be happy with a solid inch with this one.  The ECMWF is back to showing 1 to 1.5 for tomorrow night here so that would be great.  Tuesday morning looks like the big deal though.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

22 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said:

Lol.. we were in the car so she had no options!!

My wife's knowledge of weather is smelling snow before it arrives.

She says she smells it coming and wonders why I track it all night.  

[Doinko]

Looks like we got to around 17 degrees this morning

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Still a lot of question marks for tonight.  I would be happy with a solid inch with this one.  The ECMWF is back to showing 1 to 1.5 for tomorrow night here so that would be great.  Tuesday morning looks like the big deal though.

We should manage about 3-4 inches the next few days. Probably 1-1.5 tonight here as well. We’re both kind of on the edge of the lower totals shown…but still not the worst spots to be tonight. 

[Hawksfan2008]

00z NAM completely backs off on the Tuesday snow and deformation zone for the sound. The EURO is the only model worth taking seriously. 

[Doinko]

52/-2 at Redmond today!

[snow_wizard]

The NBM shows the low on Tuesday tracking south of Olympia.  That would be fantastic for the Seattle area.

[TacomaWx]

Looks like Tahola on the coast is back to snow after starting out as rain for a bit. Queets as well. Looking good for snow tonight in the interior. 

[Doinko]

It's the NAM but Monday morning could be interesting

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Doinko said:

52/-2 at Redmond today!

The warmer air aloft must have managed to surface there.  Crazy!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Man I've used a bunch of firewood this season, I think more than ever. 

My burning season starts in September and it's all we use to heat our home.

Normally burn around 4.5 cord and we are already at 4 cord. 

We will be burning well into April so we'll be at around 5.5 to 6 cord this season. Crazy!

[Cold Snap]

2 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

00z NAM completely backs off on the Tuesday snow and deformation zone for the sound. The EURO is the only model worth taking seriously. 

Yeah NAM isn’t looking too great for the south sound.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Looks like Tahola on the coast is back to snow after starting out as rain for a bit. Queets as well. Looking good for snow tonight in the interior. 

Good rule of thumb.  If it's snow on the coast we should be golden.

[SouthHillFrosty]

FML. I guess I need to move to cannon beach for snow 

Edited February 26, 2023 by SouthHillFrosty

[snow_wizard]

Just now, Cold Snap said:

Yeah NAM isn’t looking too great for the south sound.

Thank goodness it's the NAM.

[WildrootParable]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Man I've used a bunch of firewood this season, I think more than ever. 

My burning season starts in September and it's all we use to heat our home.

Normally burn around 4.5 cord and we are already at 4 cord. 

We will be burning well into April so we'll be at around 5.5 to 6 cord this season. Crazy!

Same here. It's been one heck of a winter if you measure in firewood. 

[Ken in Wood Village]

Kind of amazing how the temperatures where warm today. It was around 40 in my area but it's now 34 degrees and the sun hasn't been down for an hour. As I'm writing this, the temperature dropped to 33 degrees. The dewpoint is 24. If and when the moisture comes, I know the temperature will fall, I believe we will see snow. How much, I don't know. All we can do is watch what happens now. 

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Man I've used a bunch of firewood this season, I think more than ever. 

My burning season starts in September and it's all we use to heat our home.

Normally burn around 4.5 cord and we are already at 4 cord. 

We will be burning well into April so we'll be at around 5.5 to 6 cord this season. Crazy!

I only burn mine at night and I've used quite a bit.  A lot of cold nights this season.

[Perturbed Member]

The NAM is on drugs. This is what it predicts the temps to be at 7PM. It is already several degrees colder than that here. It is already below freezing. Joke of a model. 

[Deweydog]

5 minutes ago, Doinko said:

52/-2 at Redmond today!

That’s pretty insane.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

FML

There's really no reason for the hole to be there with the Tuesday system.

[Doinko]

19 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

Same here, have 4+ inch snow depth in shaded areas. Already down to 32F here. We should be good for 1-2 inches I think. 

I think you'll probably do a bit better farther west and cooler at the moment but seeing some more snow fall at all is pretty amazing

[FroYoBro]

2 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

The NAM is on drugs. This is what it predicts the temps to be at 7PM. It is already several degrees colder than that here. It is already below freezing. Joke of a model. 

Well it is 37 at pdx. You are going to do better than other Portland areas tonight. 

[Doinko]

RGEM is pretty great for west PDX and especially Clark County