Jesse Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Seattle back to 519 thickness on Friday night! Not too often you see the thickness lines running straight E to W on this side of the mountains. This pattern is excellent for the Puget Sound area because there are no easterly gradients to cause downslope heating.Pretty crazy stuff. I’m still not sure what to think entirely. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 The fact that you felt the need to reply to that silly post in order to make it clear it was not a burn sort of says it all. Sounds good. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Holy crap this run is cold! The weatherbell maps spit out sub freezing afternoon temps well into next week for Seattle. Nice snow shown for Portland on Tuesday. GFS continuing to play catch up to the ECMWF there. Euro had been locked on the prolonged cold for a while already and now the GFS is finally catching on. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Pretty crazy stuff. I’m still not sure what to think entirely.Jesse doubts are far more pure and honorable than Tim doubts. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Serious cold all next week and reload is looking strong! A bunch os snow opportunities too! BRING IT!BC921ACB-56AC-43B8-A11F-EECDEFA0D12F.pngWe're all ready to get pounded hard! ❄❄ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 We're all ready to get pounded hard! ❄❄That’s what she, she and she said. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Jesse doubts are far more pure and honorable than Tim doubts.Oh come on. We all know you would never side with me over him. Plus I didn’t make any calls 2-3 weeks out. A second blast seems pretty outlandish, but I’d take it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Pretty crazy stuff. I’m still not sure what to think entirely. As modeled on the GEM and GFS the cold shot late next week, while not digging as far south probably has better low level cold potential than the Sunday-Tuesday stuff at least for PDX. Looks like a wannabe February 2014. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 We're all ready to get pounded hard! ❄❄ Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 We're all ready to get pounded hard! ❄❄Naughty. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Oh come on. We all know you would never side with me over him. Plus I didn’t make any calls 2-3 weeks out. A second blast seems pretty outlandish, but I’d take it!I don’t take sides. Not possible at this altitude. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 I just woke up. How were the 00z GFS and GEM? 00z ECMWF in 54 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 As modeled on the GEM and GFS the cold shot late next week, while not digging as far south probably has better low level cold potential than the Sunday-Tuesday stuff at least for PDX. Looks like a wannabe February 2014.I was gonna say, has some similarities. It’s being referred to as the second Arctic blast but really it would be the first. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 I just woke up. How were the 00z GFS and GEM? 00z ECMWF in 54 minutesYou can either have Andrew or Frontal snowsquall give you the breakdown. It’s like a choose your own adventure story! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 You can either have Andrew or Frontal snowsquall give you the breakdown. It’s like a choose your own adventure story! Looks great! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Yeah hard to find much bad about the GFS. Im sure it’s gonna change and pull back beforehand. But should at least see some flakes in the air. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 If only this were happening a month earlier when sun angles weren’t..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Lol. Just kidding. Yeah best GFS operational run yet by far especially Centralia, Olympia northward. I love the improvements after Day 5.5 very EPS. Day 8+ backdoor cold shot with increasing east winds. It'll be significant colder than modeled Gorge to PDX due to this. Factor in possible snowcover throughout the Gorge and Columbia Basin. 00z GEM very cold, backdoor reload Day 8+. Potential for a much stronger arctic blast. 500mb pattern after Day 6 also follows the EPS. The potential the next 4-8 days is huge. I'm still cautiously optimistic with some confidence increasing. I want to see models hold through Friday 00z. 6z GFS in 4 hours 30 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Looks great! I think the low water mark for this event is Mark's current 7-day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 If only this were happening a month earlier when sun angles weren’t.....Not cool. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 That's one thing I wouldn't like about places like Denver. If I live somewhere continental I want it to be consistently cold.You might change your mind if you lived in North Dakota. Variety isn't bad. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 That’s what she, she and she said.9DC60846-E868-4422-AA1F-8F5CFBF8D5FE.gifNaughty.http://www.thenewportbuzz.com/winter-storm-quinn-threatens-a-backdoor-6-9-inch-pounding-on-wednesday/14632 http://www.thenewportbuzz.com/winter-storm-newport-expected-to-get-pounded-by-a-thick-8-12-inches/13894 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 FV-3 running NOW! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Glad to see the GEM still bringing it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Really like the look of the R2D2 model tonight. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 I think this event could be the beginning of a major regime shift / a major pattern shakeup. It will be interesting to see where we go after the cold blocky regime ends. As for the 1950s summers...some of the months were delightful in spite of being chilly. A redux of that decade would be amazing.What makes you say that? I see the favorable MT/AAM and ERW train backing over the IPWP, which supports the upcoming pattern, but I don’t see how it could be long term shift. It appears to be a sub-seasonal state. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 I think we all need to seriously consider that Tim may be controlling the weather. We're just gonna believe it was a coincidence he pulled this perfect forecast out of his a** from 3 weeks out? 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 POLAR VORTEX https://www.king5.com/mobile/article/weather/puget-sound-region-still-has-a-shot-at-getting-snow/281-ef3196dd-9c1c-4771-bce7-251b0e6c6dae 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Interesting comment on the GEM. Late next week 850s only drop to about -7C at PDX, but they are about -13C in the Columbia Basin. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 How’s the WHAM looking??? 1 Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 I think we all need to seriously consider that Tim may be controlling the weather. We're just gonna believe it was a coincidence he pulled this perfect forecast out of his a** from 3 weeks out?Makes his impending execution a little bittersweet. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 I think we all need to seriously consider that Tim may be controlling the weather. We're just gonna believe it was a coincidence he pulled this perfect forecast out of his a** from 3 weeks out?It hasn’t come to pass yet. Let’s not be annointing anyone until we have at least an inch from EUG-YVR. Can’t let the guard down. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 What makes you say that? I see the favorable MT/AAM and ERW train backing over the IPWP, which supports the upcoming pattern, but I don’t see how it could be long term shift. It appears to be a sub-seasonal state.In other words, another hot summer... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 I think we all need to seriously consider that Tim may be controlling the weather. We're just gonna believe it was a coincidence he pulled this perfect forecast out of his a** from 3 weeks out? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Models starting to look pretty similar across the board for the Sunday-Morning event. Here is the 00z GEM 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Tim could be the Tony Romo of weather! 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 31, 2019 Report Share Posted January 31, 2019 Makes his impending execution a little bittersweet. Seriously, just cut it out with the victimizing Tim crap. It gets really old. He has built a reputation for himself over the last 10+ years, and even though he has definitely improved recently people have memories. Any s**t flung his way, especially if it's not overtly mean spirited ( I don't think anything lately really has been ) is probably doing a pretty good job of balancing out old karmic debt if nothing else. He's a big boy and can handle it. Routinely making it out to be more than it is just makes things worse. /rant 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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