SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 CLEARING!!! for now Snow shower moving through right now. North wind picked up a little after it. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Mid-level clouds backbuilding from the Cascades to the valleys later on??They seem to slowly improve but stay kinda messy until late tomorrow morning. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ewnichols25 Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 back down to freezing after topping out with a high of 35°F. low this morning was 22°F.Hit 18 degrees here after a high of 34. Now at 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 It may be the 1989 storm that I'm thinking of. I wasn't quite 10 in 1990, so dates are likely confused. But I definitely remember being without power for a very long time. 10-year-old me thought that was pretty cool. Not so much for adult me.1990 had two storms in December that I think were both more snowy than the 1989 Feb 1 arctic blast, and in 1990 led to a white Christmas. That was a much better event for North Sound as far as snow goes. But 1990 was pretty D**n windy too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 1993-94 and 1973-74 at least had regional arctic airmasses. And 2013-14, 2003-04, 1983-84, 1953-54, 1923-24, 1893-94, 1883-84, 1873-74, and 1853-54 is better than the 0-1 catalog. 2020-21 will be the first year of Phil's multi-year Nina Ice Age, though. #1720-21redux A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Sounder Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 weather app says rain this weekend is it gonna snow i hope it snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Aye I finally registered. I’m gonna keep my eyes glued to this forum for the next week :-) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 They seem to slowly improve but stay kinda messy until late tomorrow morning.24 or so at PDX seems like a safe bet. But they could easily go lower if clearing is fairly widespread and long lasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 weather app says rain this weekend is it gonna snow i hope it snowMetro area will probly see something. S valley is really iffy. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 35 and light rain. Will be interesting to see if there is any clearing in the next 24 hrs. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I remember when 206 was the ONLY area code... My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 weather app says rain this weekend is it gonna snow i hope it snow PDX-SEA will probably see something. Basically the whole region above 500 feet will see at least a couple inches. NWS says the GFS is underestimating the cold air in place, the easterly wind, and the Columbia Gorge cold pool. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 24 or so at PDX seems like a safe bet. But they could easily go lower if clearing is fairly widespread and long lasting.I’d go with 24 as the best case assuming they lost they’re meaningful snow cover. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Sounder Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 PDX-SEA will probably see something. Basically the whole region above 500 feet will see at least a couple inches. NWS says the GFS is underestimating the cold air in place, the easterly wind, and the Columbia Gorge cold pool.what is gfs is that weather.com i like the weather channel they have pretty graphics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 GORGEOUS location! Does the creek have any fish?Some strays come up from the Clackamas. Clear Creek runs in just above the Carver Bridge. I've seen a few springers move thru the shallows and watched bald eagles catch a steelhead or two. Watched otters get some as well. Not a lot of fish, just a few. I'm an avid steelhead and salmon fisherman but I won't disturb any fish that come up this creek. Hopefully they will spawn, whether hatchery or nats. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
antipex Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 PDX-SEA will probably see something. Basically the whole region above 500 feet will see at least a couple inches. NWS says the GFS is underestimating the cold air in place, the easterly wind, and the Columbia Gorge cold pool. I do wonder how the Gorge will influence PDX... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 The Gorge will be the big player in this I think. It will cover a multitude of sins with the tracking of the low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Westy Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I finally registered as well. I also have several friends now following. Can't wait for the tremendous potential ahead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Totals through 4AM Wednesday. Good lord! Gonna miss more work it seems. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Speaking of the basin cold pool, high of 26 in Pasco today, 27 in Yakima and Hermiston, 24 in Pendleton. #inversionseasonisback 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Lives will be lost. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Fridays are usually anticipated because it’s the last day of the work week for most. This Friday will solely be anticipated for something else. #IsItFridayYet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 what is gfs is that weather.com i like the weather channel they have pretty graphics GFS stands for "good fried steak", and is usually what meteorologists eat before they forecast. But weather.com is a LOT more accurate. 2 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Mark is apparently now calling for significant snow chances through Valentine's Day. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Westy Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 My location is on the higher hills in West Seattle. The town virtually shut down over 2-3 inches and schools have been closed the past 2 days with almost no snow on the main arterials. Can't imagine what the city will do if half the potential outcome from the weekend comes to fruition. But..been burned before too many times to count by telling my wife/ friends too quickly...wait until Thursday? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 When you can get cold core showers with a freezing level already down to 500-1,000ft then add low and midlevel cold from the Gorge that is a classic set up for accumulating snow for our area. You can't ask for a better set up. Still a lot of moving parts so hearts can be easily broken but I sure like the possibilities of this. Way better than what we just had. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 My location is on the higher hills in West Seattle. The town virtually shut down over 2-3 inches and schools have been closed the past 2 days with almost no snow on the main arterials. Can't imagine what the city will do if half the potential outcome from the weekend comes to fruition. But..been burned before too many times to count by telling my wife/ friends too quickly...wait until Thursday?Wait until you see flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Good lord! Gonna miss more work it seems.Take an uber! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 PDX-SEA will probably see something. Basically the whole region above 500 feet will see at least a couple inches. NWS says the GFS is underestimating the cold air in place, the easterly wind, and the Columbia Gorge cold pool.The GFS often under-estimates surface cold pooling out this way too, especially at-range. I’ve seen it bust warm by over 18 degrees within 24hrs in a few bizarre setups. I wouldn’t worry about it. 3 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 My location is on the higher hills in West Seattle. The town virtually shut down over 2-3 inches and schools have been closed the past 2 days with almost no snow on the main arterials. Can't imagine what the city will do if half the potential outcome from the weekend comes to fruition. But..been burned before too many times to count by telling my wife/ friends too quickly...wait until Thursday? So Seattle proper got about 2-3". It's hard to tell what amounts were widespread sometimes because in my mind everyone in W. Washington on here is "from Seattle," but I know different locations up there vary wildly. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 A 32.5F/11.9F day here. Didn't get quite as cold as February 2011, but there's still time. Running about 3 degrees warmer at this time tonight as compared to last night so it'll be interesting to see if we can get back down to what we saw this morning. Also, I wouldn't mind the precipitation resisting the Fraser outflow a little more. While 3" would be great, it would be a little disappointing if Seattle ended up with a foot. Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 The GFS often under-estimates surface cold pooling out this way too, especially at-range. I’ve seen it bust warm by over 18 degrees within 24hrs in a few bizarre setups. I wouldn’t worry about it.All the models struggle with scouring situations for us. Tons of examples where surface temp progs can be 10-15 degrees too warm and retreat is delayed 24-48 hours or more. January 2004 and December 2008 are ridiculous examples. 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Westy Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 So Seattle proper got about 2-3". It's hard to tell what amounts were widespread sometimes because in my mind everyone in W. Washington on here is "from Seattle," but I know different locations up there vary wildly. Yes, K12 alluded to this too thinking Seattle got nailed. We did not. Friends up north and on the east-side did but not Seattle metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Yes, K12 alluded to this too thinking Seattle got nailed. We did not. Friends up north and on the east-side did but not Seattle metro. Yeah, usually when I say Seattle I'm thinking Puget Sound. I often forget how diverse the totals are up there. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 So Seattle proper got about 2-3". It's hard to tell what amounts were widespread sometimes because in my mind everyone in W. Washington on here is "from Seattle," but I know different locations up there vary wildly.From official snow reports, the city got anywhere from 2-5", with highest amounts in north Seattle. Northern and eastern suburbs got anywhere from 4-9". A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 All the models struggle with scouring situations for us. Tons of examples where surface temps can be 10-15 degrees too warm and retreat is delayed 24-48 hours or more. January 2004 and December 2008 are ridiculous examples.Which mesoscale models tend to handle it best out there? I presume the ECMWF would simulate the terrain effects better than the other globals? The GFS seems to be catastrophically terrible w/ CAD and terrain effects in general. It’s embarrassing. Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryant Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Yeah, usually when I say Seattle I'm thinking Puget Sound. I often forget how diverse the totals are up there.Models for this storm show a foot for Seattle, and 2-3" for myself and others up in Whatcom County. So yeah, you can imagine the frustration 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Lives will be lost.Lives will be made. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Which mesoscale models tend to handle it best out there? I presume the ECMWF would simulate the terrain effects better than the other globals? The GFS seems to be catastrophically terrible w/ CAD and terrain effects in general. It’s embarrassing.I assume the Euro, but it’s been a while since we’ve had a setup to test it. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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