TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 52 and overcast in the s valley. Nice night. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 .05” on the day. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 52 and overcast in the s valley. Nice night.You really should stop using Weed ‘N Feed. Especially considering your health problems. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 You really should stop using Weed ‘N Feed. Especially considering your health problems. Once there is a constant dry period for a bit, I'm going to just get out there and pull the rest of them up, but I didn't want them to get bigger before I have a chance to do so. Didn't even think about the health risks which isn't a surprise given my typical carelessness. Sucks not being able to feel independent so I enjoy going outside and doing my best to make the yard look good at the very least. It looks a lot better than it did already. Pulled up a Hawthorne bush last summer before my surgeries and my GF told me I pushed myself too far. That thing was absolutely brutal. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Once there is a constant dry period for a bit, I'm going to just get out there and pull the rest of them up, but I didn't want them to get bigger before I have a chance to do so. Didn't even think about the health risks which isn't a surprise given my typical carelessness. Sucks not being able to feel independent so I enjoy going outside and doing my best to make the yard look good at the very least. It looks a lot better than it did already. Pulled up a Hawthorne bush last summer before my surgeries and my GF told me I pushed myself too far. That thing was absolutely brutal.Yeah, I honestly didn’t know much about the stuff, just knew it was pretty toxic. I did some research after the discussion here and was pretty surprised how bad it is on several different levels. The first thing I thought of was the possible side effects to health and how it might impact you. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Long day at work. What did I miss? Seems like it is raining outside. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Guess my brother got about 1.5" of rain today down in Coquille. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Up to .16” Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Fascinating how accurate the models can be even with all the variables to account for. Showed this convergence forming several days ago right around this time too. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 ECMWF shows mid 70s for Memorial Day weekend... at least through Sunday which is day 10 now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Just over an inch of rain here overnight... and about .75 in the valley. But only .16 at SEA for the last 24 hours. Still way below normal everywhere... but everything has been thoroughly watered around here now. It can stay lush green out here in the Snoqualmie Valley well into July even when its much drier than normal... such as last year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 And this was before the historically wet May pattern across CA... Also from Cliff: Some areas of California will experience the wettest second half of May in the historical record. Inches of rain will fall in the lowlands and several feet of snow will pile up in the high Sierra Nevada. Soil and fuel moistures are above normal and the heavy rain and massive snowfall will push off wildfire season by several weeks at at minimum and quite possibly more. This is very good news for us in the Northwest, since we received substantial smoke aloft from California during the past two years. Expect less of that unwanted California import this summer. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 17, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Just over an inch of rain here overnight... and about .75 in the valley. But only .16 at SEA for the last 24 hours. Still way below normal everywhere... but everything has been thoroughly watered around here now. It can stay lush green out here in the Snoqualmie Valley well into July even when its much drier than normal... such as last year. The convergence zone areas around the central cascades and the central Puget Sound have been blessed with the rain in April/May. Here at my house we’ve only gotten 0.25”-0.30” since this pattern change has occurred this week. Still doubles last May’s total though lol. Hopefully we can get more regionwide rainfall for Western WA. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 The convergence zone areas around the central cascades and the central Puget Sound have been blessed with the rain in April/May. Here at my house we’ve only gotten 0.25”-0.30” since this pattern change has occurred this week. Still doubles last May’s total though lol. Hopefully we can get more regionwide rainfall for Western WA. Sure seems like May is going to end up significantly drier than normal at this point. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 17, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Sure seems like May is going to end up significantly drier than normal at this point. Seems that way, atleast in the PNW. Guess I need to move to California I hear they have rain there now. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Stayed dry and breezy overnight here with gusts to around 25mph still. Sun is trying to break through this morning. Low of 50F Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 As the ECMWF has been showing... the rain is ending in the Seattle area in the early morning and most of the day should be dry. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Once there is a constant dry period for a bit, I'm going to just get out there and pull the rest of them up, but I didn't want them to get bigger before I have a chance to do so. Didn't even think about the health risks which isn't a surprise given my typical carelessness. Sucks not being able to feel independent so I enjoy going outside and doing my best to make the yard look good at the very least. It looks a lot better than it did already. Pulled up a Hawthorne bush last summer before my surgeries and my GF told me I pushed myself too far. That thing was absolutely brutal.If you’re having issues pulling them, try a pickaxe. Trust me man, it’s much easier and it actually tills the soil in the places where the weeds were. We don’t use week killers because they tend to damage tree roots of some species, sometimes fatally if applied for long enough. Also, when you lay the new grass seed, try putting some netting over it so more of it grows. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Also from Cliff: Soil and fuel moistures are above normal and the heavy rain and massive snowfall will push off wildfire season by several weeks at at minimum and quite possibly more. This is very good news for us in the Northwest, since we received substantial smoke aloft from California during the past two years. Expect less of that unwanted California import this summer.ShawniganLake will be mad. Dude clearly loves smoke. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 As the ECMWF has been showing... the rain is ending in the Seattle area in the early morning and most of the day should be dry. Well after 5 am, though, and it will be raining north of Seattle for a bit. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 FWIW, 44/52 EPS members have substantial precipitation across both WA/OR next week. The 200mb jet will be somewhat farther north, so we’ll see what happens. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Looks like over 2" of rain at Meacham in the past 24 hours. Good to see. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 NAM still shows a pretty substantial storm for Washington County on Saturday evening. Very good chance it hits my area, as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Well after 5 am, though, and it will be raining north of Seattle for a bit.ECMWF only shows 6 hour blocks of time. I said it looks like it would be winding down in the early morning... probably around 5 a.m. The ECMWF was right... it showed very light precip in Seattle in the 5-11 a.m. period. It also shows no precip in the Seattle area after 11 a.m. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 1 Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 47 and foggy this morning. 0.07" in the bucket since midnight. 0.83" on the month. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 ShawniganLake will be mad. Dude clearly loves smoke. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 17, 2019 Author Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 51 and cloudy at 8:30am. Was breezy all of last night and still a bit breezy this morning with SW winds. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 40° and raining here this morning. I guess that is just typical mid-May fare around here. It kind of is at 5,000' and north of 45º. 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 FWIW, 44/52 EPS members have substantial precipitation across both WA/OR next week. The 200mb jet will be somewhat farther north, so we’ll see what happens. Pretty sure this is related to low resolution on the EPS precip maps. The ECMWF shows the same 500mb pattern as the EPS for next week and into the weekend... and it also shows convective precip in the mountains of BC, OR, and WA on several days later next week while its sunny and in the 70s in the lowlands. This probably looks like widespread precip to you on the EPS maps. The big rain event for this week is over now and both SEA and PDX are around .33 for the month... so it has not produced the advertised soaking rains yet. And the devil is in the details of course. For example... the pattern shown below for tomorrow is going to result in a partly sunny day for the Seattle area with a high in the low 70s. The jet extension definitely arrived... but its focused just a little too far south. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 The key to late next week and into the weekend is related to a piece of energy rotating around the offshore ridge. The GFS keeps insisting this will round the top of the ridge and move into the PNW... while the ECMWF absorbs it into the deep trough near the Bering Sea. Here is the new 12Z GFS for next Wednesday... And the 00Z ECMWF at the same time... And no sign of it on the 00Z EPS mean at that time... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Pretty sure this is related to low resolution on the EPS precip maps. The ECMWF shows the same 500mb pattern as the EPS for next week and into the weekend... and it also shows convective precip in the mountains of BC, OR, and WA on several days later next week while its sunny and in the 70s in the lowlands. This probably looks like widespread precip to you on the EPS maps. The big rain event for this week is over now and both SEA and PDX are around .33 for the month... so it has not produced the advertised soaking rains yet. And the devil is in the details of course. For example... the pattern shown below for tomorrow is going to result in a partly sunny day for the Seattle area with a high in the low 70s. The jet extension definitely arrived... but its focused just a little too far south. I never really thought it looked like a very wet pattern for W. Oregon at least. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 I never really thought it looked like a very wet pattern for W. Oregon at least. Lots of low resolution EPS total precip maps posted last week indicating that we would be very wet by this point and getting wetter for the foreseeable future. Did not happen. I also pointed out last week that the EPS precip maps did not make sense considering that 500mb mean showed the trough moving east next week and ridging building in... Phil said I did not understand the EPS mean. And yet... it appears now that the precip maps were way overstated and a ridge actually will be building in. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Even with the GFS showing that ULL rounding the top of the ridge next week... it still shows it becoming warm and dry over the holiday weekend. The FV3 has been in general agreement with the GFS... but the new 12Z FV3 abandons the idea of a ULL moving in from the north and keeps a ridge over us through next weekend. Now in agreement with the ECMWF and EPS. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 Lots of low resolution EPS total precip maps posted last week indicating that we would be very wet by this point and getting wetter for the foreseeable future. Did not happen. Yeah...long term local climate experience came into play on this one. I think we all saw this not being some sort of historic May pattern for the PNW. 4 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 00Z GFS for Memorial Day... And the new 12Z GFS: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 00Z GFS for Memorial Day... And the new 12Z GFS: Good thing Farmboy got out of Quartzite! 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 FV3 certainly going with a warm weekend next week now... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 17, 2019 Report Share Posted May 17, 2019 FWIW... the 12Z GEM jumped on board with the ridging next week and through the weekend as well. Big shift from its 00Z run. Phil reported that about 80% of the EPS members show substantial precip for us next week. But there is actually a good chance that the lowland areas of WA and OR get no precip at all later next week and weekend. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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