August 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[TT-SEA]

Wow, Euro is impressively troughy. Tim's silence is deafening.

 

 

In all day staff meeting.   

 

It looks ugly though.   You ride me for complaining and you ride me for not complaining.  

[GHweatherChris]

In all day staff meeting.

 

It looks ugly though. You ride me for complaining and you ride me for not complaining.

Lol, you tend to have all day meetings alot when the models look bad!

[El_Nina]

Drizzling, cloudy and just 66. Also strongly reccomend Jack Stauber if you love a little alternative with a nice beat.

[TT-SEA]

Lol, you tend to have all day meetings alot when the models look bad!

 

 

I tend to have meetings all the time.   I am just more inclined to find ways to post when I see things I like.  

 

LOL

 

LMFAO

 

ROLMFAO

 

etc.

[MossMan]

Day six.

 

F*ck this place and f*ck this climate.

 

F*ck.

Yeah!

[GHweatherChris]

Triggered.

[Front Ranger]

In all day staff meeting.

 

It looks ugly though. You ride me for complaining and you ride me for not complaining.

3 min. Impressive.

[TT-SEA]

3 min. Impressive.

Thanks.

[TT-SEA]

Lots of highs in the 70s in the Seattle area per the 12Z ECMWF.

 

Not too bad.

[Omegaraptor]

Portland will be socked in with a marine layer all day today and will struggle to reach past the low 70s.

 

Low was 64. Is the same cool/cloudy/humid pattern from early July making a reappearance?

[Frontal Snowsquall]

NWS is still predicting a warmer than average August but I have no idea where they are getting their prediction from. I think it is heavily influenced by recency bias from the last few summers.

 

Wonder if this could be the big solar minimum already presenting its cooling impacts. If so, we really could be in for a cold and snowy winter.

Their new 8-14 day outlook doesn't look too bad. Cooler and wetter than normal.

 

The low solar is what gets me excited the most about this coming winter.

 

[ShawniganLake]

First cool August since 1995 coming up?

It’s been a warm start so we will have some work to do.

[Omegaraptor]

Interestingly, GFS puts forcing in the WHEM during the 8-10 day period.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Very pleasant and cloudy 70F in downtown Springfield.

[Phil]

Their new 8-14 day outlook doesn't look too bad. Cooler and wetter than normal.

 

The low solar is what gets me excited the most about this coming winter.

 

Ugh. Share the love, brother.

[TacomaWaWx]

We will see what the 18z shows soon. Sunshine’s still MIA in Tacoma, cleared out at 1pm yesterday. 66 degrees currently.

[El_Nina]

The blackberries are much fatter and more abundant this year from the frequent rains.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Leaves starting to turn here.

[TacomaWaWx]

18z looks about the same regarding precip totals for the Puget Sound area Saturday. Looks like that day temps probably won’t break 70 for some, but every other day through day 7 looks like it should. Some showers shown early next week mainly in the north interior.

[ShawniganLake]

Leaves starting to turn here.

Maples are turning here. Snow isn’t far off. Should we have the annual debate about whether or not the leaves are turning due to the changing season or due to stress?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I hope so. The 12z EURO is not backing down.

 

 

We'll see this pattern predominate November-March.

[Omegaraptor]

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf

 

NWS has issued a final El Niño advisory, stating that the ENSO is now neutral with a 50-55% chance of neutral conditions lasting through winter.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Ugh. Share the love, brother.

At least from the outlook you'll be a little drier than normal, so less humid?

[TT-SEA]

Maples are turning here. Snow isn’t far off. Should we have the annual debate about whether or not the leaves are turning due to the changing season or due to stress?

 

 

Trees are completely bare here now and everything is in deep winter dormancy.   Finally!  

[TT-SEA]

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf

 

NWS has issued a final El Niño advisory, stating that the ENSO is now neutral with a 50-55% chance of neutral conditions lasting through winter.

 

 

Lots of warmer than normal water across the Pacific...

 

[Front Ranger]

Trees are completely bare here now and everything is in deep winter dormancy. Finally!

Some buds starting to poke up out of the ground here in Tillamook. Spring is right around the corner!

[TT-SEA]

Some buds starting to poke up out of the ground here in Tillamook. Spring is right around the corner!

 

 

The cherry blossoms for spring of 2022 are blooming now in North Bend.  

[Timmy Supercell]

SPC has a Slight Risk for a good chunk of Oregon tomorrow.

[TacomaWaWx]

18z is pretty wet by August standards through all of BC, WA and the northern half of OR days 10-14.

[TacomaWaWx]

67 and no sunshine still.

[ShawniganLake]

67 and no sunshine still.

Boo. It has been crystal clear up this way today. I’m guessing around 75

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Still 70F coming back into Springfield.

[TacomaWaWx]

Boo. It has been crystal clear up this way today. I’m guessing around 75

I don’t mind the marine layer days if we get a bit of sunshine at the end of the day. Doesn’t look like there’s going to be sunshine here however. I’ll take a 70 and cloudy day over a 90 degree hot day, but 70 and cloudy is pretty meh. If it’s going to be cloudy it might as well rain.

[ShawniganLake]

Trees are completely bare here now and everything is in deep winter dormancy. Finally!

I gotta remember to put the Christmas lights up before the snow hits.

[Dave]

It's been refreshing with cool temps and cloud cover the last couple of days, however I'm not ready to say goodbye to summer yet. I would like to get some more boating in.

[Dave]

Nice to see it return to ENSO neutral. I don't have any stats to back this up, but it seems like la nada years deliver more winter goods than nina or ninos.

[Requiem]

The last time we had a thunderstorm event in Eastern Oregon, the valley got something too. Let’s hope for a repeat!

[Guest CulverJosh]

Bumping out here.

[Requiem]

Bumping out here.

There’s a severe warned storm out there, right? Stay safe, but enjoy nonetheless!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Nice to see it return to ENSO neutral. I don't have any stats to back this up, but it seems like la nada years deliver more winter goods than nina or ninos.

 

Feels like there's lots more blocking.