August 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Omegaraptor]

Hope we get something like November 2006. That was an epic month.

[TT-SEA]

Hope we get something like November 2006. That was an epic month.

 

 

Hopefully Portland has the driest rainy season on record.   That would be epic.

[Requiem]

Hopefully Portland has the driest rainy season on record. That would be epic.

Epic would be November 2006, your favorite month!

[Omegaraptor]

Hopefully Portland has the driest rainy season on record.   That would be epic.

 

I hope California re-enters drought, and this time it's twice as long and twice as severe.

[TT-SEA]

Epic would be November 2006, your favorite month!

 

The last 10 days were pretty nice.   Gorgeous in fact.

 

Could have done without one day of ridiculously warm, torrential rain that caused so much damage around here.     

[TT-SEA]

I hope California re-enters drought, and this time it's twice as long and twice as severe.

 

I don't hope for that... you must be a sadist.    <_>

[Requiem]

The last 10 days were pretty nice.   Gorgeous in fact.

 

Could have done without one day of ridiculously warm, torrential rain that caused so much damage around here.     

 

That's fair. How'd you like December 2003 and January 2004?

[TT-SEA]

That's fair. How'd you like December 2003 and January 2004?

 

We were split between San Diego and here at that time... but mostly in San Diego during those months.   Looks like a pretty wet period with a nice cold/snowy period for about a week here in the middle.   I think we transitioned out of that cold spell quicker than Portland.  

[Frontal Snowsquall]

You might have a long wait. I hope you do.

 

I have a good feeling about September and October being nice.

 

Even 2008 took until the middle of December.

I wouldn't mind seeing sunshine, just as long as the days are cool and crisp. Mix in some stormy weather in between.

[MossMan]

You might have a long wait. I hope you do.

 

I have a good feeling about September and October being nice.

 

Even 2008 took until the middle of December.

I was washing my truck in shorts on Thanksgiving of 2008 if I remember correctly.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

With no nino developing to this point, I think there will be regional action at some point in Dec-Jan this time.

Same here. Last couple of winters, the Dec/Jan combo have been complete duds. I'm liking our chances a lot this winter.

[Omegaraptor]

We haven’t seen an average or above average February in three years. Same goes for March at PDX if you go by the mean temperature instead of the average high.

 

Last two Januaries have been torches, however.

[Front Ranger]

Heavy drizzle!!

[Omegaraptor]

Same here. Last couple of winters, the Dec/Jan combo have been complete duds. I'm liking our chances a lot this winter.

Dec 2017 wasn’t terrible. We had a decent shot of cold around Christmas and even a White Christmas (albeit a rather pathetic one, but then again this is the PNW lowlands). Wasn’t a blowtorch like January 2018.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Trough is paying a visit. Some are happy. Others may be in protest.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Dec 2017 wasn’t terrible. We had a decent shot of cold around Christmas and even a White Christmas (albeit a rather pathetic one, but then again this is the PNW lowlands). Wasn’t a blowtorch like January 2018.

Yeah, can't believe I overlooked that one. Was actually a decent snowstorm out here in Gresham on Christmas Eve. It was a marginal event that overperformed.

[MossMan]

Same here. Last couple of winters, the Dec/Jan combo have been complete duds. I'm liking our chances a lot this winter.

December 2008 redux but in January this time!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

December 2008 redux but in January this time!

January 1950 redux!

[ShawniganLake]

Nice day!

[Guest CulverJosh]

I sit at 2775', with no marine influence. Like my chances.

[MossMan]

Yeah, can't believe I overlooked that one. Was actually a decent snowstorm out here in Gresham on Christmas Eve. It was a marginal event that overperformed.

Think I had 5” Christmas morning of 2017.

[Omegaraptor]

Trough is paying a visit. Some are happy. Others may be in protest.

 

I don't mind at all, because of how deep it's digging down. Some rain in southern Oregon and far north California should definitely hold away the wildfires when I go to that region later in the month. Can't wait.

 

It's just weather, anyway. One day of fall-like weather in summer is far better than having a multi-day trip ruined by wildfire smoke. Super glad this summer is absolutely nothing like the last two years when it comes to fires.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Dec 2017 wasn’t terrible. We had a decent shot of cold around Christmas and even a White Christmas (albeit a rather pathetic one, but then again this is the PNW lowlands). Wasn’t a blowtorch like January 2018.

Definitely a north south event. 17-18 was way better in Feb down here. Let’s hope that’s not an analog tho. EUG hasn’t had a white Christmas since 1990!

[El_Nina]

I sit at 2775', with no marine influence. Like my chances.

Pretty low elevation for Eastern Oregon. You know what they say...

[Phil]

I believe it originated on the East Coast. It's the official criteria that the NWS uses. I agree though that it's too broad of a term. It also depends on the anomalies a location gets.

More like Boston. DCA has already had 40 days above 90*F and will probably hit 60+ by 10/1.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[High Desert Mat?]

Pretty low elevation for Eastern Oregon. You know what they say...

Shadowed!!!!!!

[MossMan]

[High Desert Mat?]

Since I’ve lived in central Oregon for the last 10 years, I would say 5 were white Xmas’s and the others were sunny and crisp, especially the mornings. Every other year though there has been a good dumping of snow. 16’-17’ there was snow on the ground for three months. I believe Bend got 70” of snow that year. Incredible to be here for that and driving semi throughout the whole winter as well. Last February wasn’t anything to sneeze at either.

[TT-SEA]

Since I’ve lived in central Oregon for the last 10 years, I would say 5 were white Xmas’s and the others were sunny and crisp, especially the mornings. Every other year though there has been a good dumping of snow. 16’-17’ there was snow on the ground for three months. I believe Bend got 70” of snow that year. Incredible to be here for that and driving semi throughout the whole winter as well. Last February wasn’t anything to sneeze at either.

 

 

I think we have had snow on the ground on Christmas Day at least 7 out of the last 10 years.   And some of those years there was snow falling on Christmas.

 

2016 and 2017 were absolutely beautiful with snow on the ground and sunshine.   We got about 6 inches of snow on Christmas Eve into Christmas morning in 2017.  There was no snow last year... but it did snow a little the next morning.

[Jesse]

18z shows a horrific heat event starting next week.

The 18z ensemble is less to your liking

[ShawniganLake]

The 18z ensemble is less to your liking

Kcuf. No 90s and probably no smoke. This summer sucks.

[Deweydog]

That Euro sure is goofy...

 

Don’t see 595dm heights over the Aleutians, like, ever.

 

HAS to be a good/bad sign for winter.

[GobBluth]

958 mb low over Hudson Bay on August 20. That's.....odd.

[Omegaraptor]

958 mb low over Hudson Bay on August 20. That's.....odd.

GFS long range shows stupid garbage all the time with 0% chance of verifying. Two days ago the 00z was showing 125°F highs in the Sacramento Valley for August 19.

[TT-SEA]

00Z ECMWF still shows clearing and upper 70s for the Seattle area tomorrow... don't believe it based on how today went in Portland.

 

Friday is cooler than previous runs with a more persistent marine layer.

 

Good news for Saturday though... now looks totally dry and in the upper 70s with just some high clouds.

 

A few showers for Sunday... partly cloudy and in the mid 70s.

[Guest CulverJosh]

Pendleton AFD is a good read as it pertains to the next couple of days. Could be some real good boomers. My eyes will be to the sky the next few evenings.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[BhamMe]

10 day for the lower mainland of BC, upper 60's to low 70's most days with some persistent clouds. Summer appears to be winding down. 

[FroYoBro]

Light rain this morning!