Farmboy Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Nov 20th is getting pretty close now. Not looking good for that one.Winter cancel. Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Enjoy this mild, zonal reprieve while it lasts..because it might be the last one until late January.Mr. -EPO is almost certainly coming back, either later this month or in December.but but but Rod Hill said there would be 6 weeks of rain coming up!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 11/20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 The EPS is showing less of a warm signal in the 10-15 day period now... but not much of a cold signal either. Time is moving forward... the 10-15 day period just about takes us to December now. Still drier than normal though over the next 15 days: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Low of 42 here this morning. Should be heading for the mid-50s again today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Ditch that wimpy Stihl, dude. Echo 8010 or Redmax 8500 are the big kahunas.Those are not for my back. Also I stick to brands that never let me down...Stihl for power equipment, John Deere everything, GM trucks, and Talenti for Gelato. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Gusty to strong east winds all night. This is about the strongest east wind I can remember with PDX/TTD-DLS at only -6mb. Peak gusts: Corbett 64 mph, Crown Point 74 mph(twice) I really hope we see some kind of miracle pattern change on the 12z runs today and good model continuity/agreement. C'MON!!!! 12z ECMWF in 1 hour 49 minutes 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Our GOA ridge has definitely been replaced for the time being. https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?sat_500+9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 11/202022 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 2022Ice age should be well underway at that point. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Doesn’t look especially cold for him but those precious rates would be some power outages with the wetness of it. Good thing it’s out over 300 hours.Yeah, heavy snowfall rates. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Long range is going for a Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 12z just gave me a migraine. Those dam 2nd year ninos. They’re a bit&h. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 November 2008 feel to this. 4 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 November 2008 feel to this. I sure hope you are right. I love xmas shopping in 12 degree weather. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Long range is going for a s**tSo cold and rainy? Nice! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 https://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/the-ultimate-gray-area-seattle-named-gloomiest-place-in-america-during-winter Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 The PDO dropped down to -0.45 in October, way down from 0.41 in September. BTW Nate Mantua is not at the UW, the PDO page that he used to update there no longer updates. He is at swfsc.noaa.gov. and that is where you can find the latest pdo updates 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 I did quickly hand rake the walkway leaves this morning, they were trying to choke out my moss. Had to be careful not to damage my moss with the rake however. 4 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 So cold and rainy? Nice!You wish. Ensemble looks about the same as previous Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 You wish. Ensemble looks about the same as previous Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Gusty to strong east winds all night. This is about the strongest east wind I can remember with PDX/TTD-DLS at only -6mb. Peak gusts: Corbett 64 mph, Crown Point 74 mph(twice) I really hope we see some kind of miracle pattern change on the 12z runs today and good model continuity/agreement. C'MON!!!! 12z ECMWF in 1 hour 49 minutesWas suprisingly very windy on my way back home from work yesterday. Always love a good east wind event. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 F440AF06-79F6-4B60-97BA-2BDEF8F06819.pngWeird how the operational doesn’t show up on that old site. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Weird how the operational doesn’t show up on that old site.Yeah I’m kind of blown away by it. Feel like it’s time to move on to the new site but I just don’t want to leaf. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Yeah I’m kind of blown away by it. Feel like it’s time to move on to the new site but I just don’t want to leaf.Cute. It’s time to cut the cord. Embrace change. Unless that change is banning leaf blowers. Or anything else that might cause a disturbance to your neighbors. Lawn mowers, chain saws, weed eaters, hot tubs, heat pumps, dogs, cats, marijuana smoke, cigarette smoke, wood stoves, music, Harley motorbikes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Let's take a look back. Last week some models/runs and even ensembles were suggesting a *possible* pattern change around November 9th. The EPS said NOPE! Fast forward to a few days ago and the possible pattern change was pushed back to the 16th. Other than 1 or 2 times the EURO/EPS said NOPE! Now we're at November 14th and yet again the GFS/GEF/GEM/CMCE are showing some wet weather with a pattern change around November 23rd-24th pushed back again. EURO/EPS says NOPE! It's the models' way of saying Real Soon Now. http://www.jargon.net/jargonfile/r/RealSoonNow.html 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Our GOA ridge has definitely been replaced for the time being. https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?sat_500+9That should begin to help cool the blob. C'MON!!!! 00z GFS in 8 hours 6 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Euro is...sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Anyone have precip totals from the 12z Euro? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Anyone have precip totals from the 12z Euro?7 Day Rainfall Totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Definitely a light at the end of tunnel kind of look on the Euro at day 10. 3 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 7 Day Rainfall Totals Better than a kick in the pants. Whatever on earth that means. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 That should begin to help cool the blob. C'MON!!!! 00z GFS in 8 hours 6 minutesLike I said before, the "blob" is not a bad thing, if it is in the right place. A negative PDO features a warm blob below Alaska (except just south of the coastline) The blob of a few winters ago was hugging our coast (positive PDO). The current PDO is -0.45 http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/pdo_warm_cool3.jpg 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Like I said before, the "blob" is not a bad thing, if it is in the right place. A negative PDO features a warm blob below Alaska (except just south of the coastline) The blob of a few winters ago was hugging our coast (positive PDO). The current PDO is -0.45 http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/pdo_warm_cool3.jpgYou're right. It's all about placement/position. Think Cold and SNOW!!!! C'MON!!!! 6z NAM in 11 hours 55 minutes 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 14, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 You're right. It's all about placement/position. Think Cold and SNOW!!!! C'MON!!!! 6z NAM in 11 hours 55 minutes Yup. The blob was there in 13-14. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Cute. It’s time to cut the cord. Embrace change. Unless that change is banning leaf blowers. Or anything else that might cause a disturbance to your neighbors. Lawn mowers, chain saws, weed eaters, hot tubs, heat pumps, dogs, cats, marijuana smoke, cigarette smoke, wood stoves, music, Harley motorbikes.You forgot children. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 14, 2019 Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Warmer today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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