11/26 - 11/28 Winter Storm

[Stormhunter87]

[GDR]

Better start stockpiling the bread and milk now

[jaster220]

NAM looking close for E Iowa

 

[St Paul Storm]

18z GEFS pretty much in line with the op run, maybe a bit south with the mean. I think we’re starting to see some stability from the models today.

[CentralNebWeather]

Winter Storm Watches begin to be hoisted west of me. NWS Hastings already saying several inches or more here are possible with wind. Looks interesting Monday night through Tuesday

[jaster220]

Uh yeah that is crazy looking.

 

Here comes another blocking induced loop-de-loop storm 

 

[jaster220]

Winter Storm Watches begin to be hoisted west of me. NWS Hastings already saying several inches or more here are possible with wind. Looks interesting Monday night through Tuesday

 

Always nice to see..

[St Paul Storm]

MPX being their usual conservative selves. Probably wise. Still a ways to go with this. But a 10% chance of any accumulation?

[jaster220]

Just cleaned up my property from this week's windy rainstorm this afternoon. Another round of leafs ripped from trees appears to be in my future..

 

[jaster220]

MPX being their usual conservative selves. Probably wise. Still a ways to go with this. But a 10% chance of any accumulation?

 

  Still feeling snake-bit from Vet's Day? 

[CentralNebWeather]

Mowed up the remaining leaves that blew in the other night. Everything is nice and clean. Looks like almost 100% of the leaves are now down in my area. Let it snow now.

[St Paul Storm]

  Still feeling snake-bit from Vet's Day?

 

Not sure. I don’t think the models were showing a good bit here within 72 hours with that storm. Either way. still plenty of time with this one. If the models keep showing what they showed today, they can start upping the hype I think.

[jaster220]

Looks like I was correct wrt an impending windstorm 

 

 

GRR tidbits:

 

The Tuesday into Wednesday system, at least to me presents a
significant high wind threat with it. The ensemble members of the
ECMWF have many of the versions showing wind gusts to over 50 mph
both along the coast and inland. Given that both models show a
deepening storm with a brief shot of cold air behind the system
this would make sense.

 

We will likely need another small craft advisory for Monday then
a gale watch for Wednesday (maybe a storm force wind watch).

 

 

 

Might as well take wind if we can't get snow 

[Niko]

Looks like I was correct wrt an impending windstorm 

 

 

GRR tidbits:

 

The Tuesday into Wednesday system, at least to me presents a

significant high wind threat with it. The ensemble members of the

ECMWF have many of the versions showing wind gusts to over 50 mph

both along the coast and inland. Given that both models show a

deepening storm with a brief shot of cold air behind the system

this would make sense.

 

We will likely need another small craft advisory for Monday then

a gale watch for Wednesday (maybe a storm force wind watch).

 

 

 

Might as well take wind if we can't get snow 

Yes, wind will be the main factor w next weeks midweek storm w possible leftover flurries or wet snowshowers. The bulk of the precip will be done w by the time cold air arrives. Winds will be the main factor. I can definitely see a High Wind Watch be posted.

[Money]

NAM pretty similar

 

Good hit from C IA to SW/C WI

[GDR]

Smoked centra Iowa 8-12

[jaster220]

NAM pretty similar

Good hit from C IA to SW/C WI

 

 

Smoked central

Iowa 8-12

 

 

MORE??

 

[Niko]

[St Paul Storm]

GFS holds serve it looks like. Totals increased in SE MN into C WI.

[GDR]

Canadian makes a push north

[jcwxguy]

Euro

[clintbeed1993]

EURO is quite a bit more bullish than the other models. Interesting. Hope it's right but with marginal temps I doubt it.

[CentralNebWeather]

NWS Hastings becoming more confident of a snow storm Tuesday.

https://twitter.com/nwshastings/status/1198560779781337088?s=21

[jaster220]

 

Nice map. So far, GRR has "breezy" in my grid for wednesday despite the AFD wording I posted last night. 

[jaster220]

NWS Hastings becoming more confident of a snow storm Tuesday.

https://twitter.com/nwshastings/status/1198560779781337088?s=21

 

Would this be more snow than you've had with previous systems?  Edit: This year I meant

[Clinton]

6z Euro

[Clinton]

6z Euro mean and ensembles.  Nebraska lookin white!

[Madtown]

towel thrown here

[jaster220]

6z Euro

 

UP of Michigan Special right there. Perfect timing as that region is notorious for it's Thanksgiving storms. Grew up hearing one of my uncles tell the story about how they "got buried" trying to get home from deer camp back in the late 40's. It was snowing so hard they couldn't see the highway after dark so they pulled off into a business that was closed (was a Sunday night iirc). They all fell asleep and when they awoke all the windows were covered with snow! They couldn't see anything but snow. They thought it had snowed so hard that night as to bury their car. Until they opened a door and found out they'd just been plowed under by the gas station's snow plow truck. Had to dig their way out of a snow pile to continue home, lol. 

[jaster220]

towel thrown here

 

Yeah, that sucks. You at least had a legit shot. Us further SE were just teased by a fluke run or two. 

[Clinton]

UP of Michigan Special right there. Perfect timing as that region is notorious for it's Thanksgiving storms. Grew up hearing one of my uncles tell the story about how they "got buried" trying to get home from deer camp back in the late 40's. It was snowing so hard they couldn't see the highway after dark so they pulled off into a business that was closed (was a Sunday night iirc). They all fell asleep and when they awoke all the windows were covered with snow! They couldn't see anything but snow. They thought it had snowed so hard that night as to bury their car. Until they opened a door and found out they'd just been plowed under by the gas station's snow plow truck. Had to dig their way out of a snow pile to continue home, lol. 

LOL now thats a trip!

[St Paul Storm]

Thanks for posting the maps, Clinton. Looking good for at least a few inches here. This might double or even triple our snowfall total so far this season.

[St Paul Storm]

Also, where is Gosaints?? Rochester area looking real good.

[gosaints]

Also, where is Gosaints?? Rochester area looking real good.

Didn't even look at a model until this morning. Chances look decent

[CentralNebWeather]

Would this be more snow than you've had with previous systems? Edit: This year I meant

Yes. Most I’ve had is a little over 2” in a single event

[gosaints]

Thanks for posting the maps, Clinton. Looking good for at least a few inches here. This might double or even triple our snowfall total so far this season.

quite a slow start to the season, but at the point where one storm can get us to average.

[Tom]

As has been the case this year, models trending wetter/stronger as we get closer to the event. Nice wound up storm shaping up for you guys out west/north. Some places may see a record daily snow tally from this.

[Tom]

High rez NAM showing possible thundersnow in E NE/IA...interesting convection showing up...

[jaster220]

  All globals and NAM have a sub-990 mb low crossing NMI on Wed. This is a windstorm in the making for SMI, but 12z NAM wants to throw in some squalls?? 

 

[St Paul Storm]

Bam! This would be fun. Pretty good jump west and stronger on the NAM