TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Remember when things kept trending colder as we got closer to them back in October? Maybe there can be more of the same in January. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 00z runs tonight all eyes on Day 6-8 to see IF we have a ridge merger, how much the ridge over us flattens, and where the eventual block begins to develop in proximity to 160 W. We are an eyelash away from greatness. Maybe two eyelashes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Its only the control run but still nice to look at. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 BB was talking more about the propensity for clown range insanity with the old models. The models are a lot less likely now to show unrealistic, cracked-out solutions in la la land - I'm sure statistical variability is a larger component to their programming now. But they are still very inaccurate more than a week out, despite spitting out fewer orgasmic maps.I’m pretty sure that was exactly what I was referring to. And yes, Flatiron. They are indeed still quite unreliable beyond seven days. I concur. There is considerable evidence that you are right about that. Spot on. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Wow, 35*/28* today! busy couple days so will need to sit down and catch up on the models later on 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Wow, 35*/28* today! busy couple days so will need to sit down and catch up on the models later on 'Tis the season for mucky inversions! 45/29 in North Bend and it looks like it was sunny or partly sunny most of the day with no haze. Still looks nice even after sunset... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 27, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Lock it in. Nice cascade snow, but some of the numbers east of look a little on the low side. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 I know, I know...nothing good is possible with a +NAO.Not the problem re: 12z Euro. That was a prolific wavebreak but it was too far West, pretty much due north of Japan. By contrast, the 18z GFS breaks the wave farther east and produces a much more interesting solution. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Quite the expansive block on the 18z. Too bad it's not more amplified. Would be much better if it could nose into Alaska. Might eventually do that later in the month irrespective of this opening shot. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Big snowstorm for the Midwest. Shocker.In other words: Back to normal for every winter over the last 2+ million years. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 The weeklies have some incredibly amplified/frigid members in the long range. They do have a propensity to under-propagate forcing from the IPWP, but an amplified -EPO/-PNA like that is not out of the question if the IO forcing really does go dormant as projected. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 00z runs tonight all eyes on Day 6-8 to see IF we have a ridge merger, how much the ridge over us flattens, and where the eventual block begins to develop in proximity to 160 W. We are an eyelash away from greatness. Maybe two eyelashes.We are only 1 llama eyelash away, but 8 human eyelashes. It is all a matter of perspective. 2 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 27, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 We are only 1 llama eyelash away, but 8 human eyelashes. It is all a matter of perspective. 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 The weeklies have some incredibly amplified/frigid members in the long range. They do have a propensity to under-propagate forcing from the IPWP, but an amplified -EPO/-PNA like that is not out of the question if the IO forcing really does go dormant as projected.In other words, anything is possible at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 I’m pretty sure that was exactly what I was referring to. And yes, Flatiron. They are indeed still quite unreliable beyond seven days. I concur. There is considerable evidence that you are right about that. Spot on.It may sound like splitting hairs, but just because they're not as extreme now in the long range scenarios doesn't mean they're more accurate. Whether it's simply because of higher resolution or whatever. That was the point I was trying to make - based off something said in the discussion previously. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Not the problem re: 12z Euro. That was a prolific wavebreak but it was too far West, pretty much due north of Japan. By contrast, the 18z GFS breaks the wave farther east and produces a much more interesting solution.I agree that the 18z was better. I was just comparing the Euro to prior runs. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 32 here with a dew point of 23 and precip not far away I'm thinking snow here is a good bet. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Wow, 35*/28* today! busy couple days so will need to sit down and catch up on the models later on I sure wasn't expecting it to be so cold today. Pretty impressive! We had a rare situation with an inversion in a already chilly air mass. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 In other words: Back to normal for every winter over the last 2+ million years.Go home. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 32 here with a dew point of 23 and precip not far away I'm thinking snow here is a good bet.Nice. Your probably the few western puget sound locations that will get snow tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Exciting day with the models today. The last two GFS runs were quite good, the EPS continues to slowly improve, and the EPS control is coming up great on every run now. Interestingly all models agree this will be almost entirely a PNA block when it develops. Those are much more more likely to bring significant snow than EPO blocks. BTW the EPS is going below -2 on the mean for PNA now. I'm all in on this as I have been for weeks now. The writing is on the wall. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Go home.What does your secret HAARP source say now? Was supposed to be before Christmas. Then New Years. I’m tired of the punting, brah. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 I had a high of 36 here today. AWESOME!! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Poleward transport of -AAM at of top of the stratosphere should begin tightening, the. weakening the upper portion of the stratospheric-PV next month. Clearly evident now. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Phil is the boss. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 32 here with a dew point of 23 and precip not far away I'm thinking snow here is a good bet.I have a tiny feeling we see a brief spell of wet snow here, wind is still out of the east and it is 36 with DP 28, will depend on precip rates for sure. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 He doesn’t understand our climate. His posts are laughable here. Been watching it for years. I bet he can tell me why it snowed here yesterday. Twenty something narcissist. A boy. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Admission: I’m Josh’s secret source. I disguised my voice as his fishing buddy’s, hacked their web chat, and decided to troll the fück out of his dumb, f*t azz. Sorry all. Technically my fault. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 He doesn’t understand our climate. His posts are laughable here. Been watching it for years. . pot meet kettle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Admission: I’m Josh’s secret source. I disguised my voice as his fishing buddy’s, hacked their web chat, and decided to troll the fück out of his dumb, f*t azz. Sorry all. Technically my fault.Not gonna bite. You’re too sweet, Phil. Glad you love my fat azz. You wish of course. I am too picky for you. Happy holidays everyone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Btw. Mat just told me he is on moderation. What the hell Fred? Did he say something? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Never mind. He wasn’t logged in. Lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Talk about everything going our way to make this work! 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Not gonna bite. You’re too sweet, Phil. Glad you love my fat azz. You wish of course. I am too picky for you. Happy holidays everyone.I like big butts and a cannot lie.. ..actually I’m a leg man an I definitely can lie, but what’s the difference? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Never mind. He wasn’t logged in. Lol.Stop spamming the forum. 5 posts in 20 minutes from you and nothing weather related. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 I like big butts and a cannot lie....actually I’m a leg man an I definitely can lie, but what’s the difference?Sir mix alot grew up about 15 miles from my house lol. I met him back in 1989 he was a cool guy. Also had about 15lbs of gold around his neck. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 I like big butts and a cannot lie.. ..actually I’m a leg man an I definitely can lie, but what’s the difference?I’m a leg guy too. Personalities always are a distant fourth. Lol 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 pot meet kettleIt’s funny you post this, but you honestly add very little. Not like I care like the celibates here do. We obviously have awesome personal lives. Let’s laugh at guys like Phil who really have nothing else to do. The guy is in Cabin John, MD.....and he posts in a mainly Washington/Oregon forum. Is he for real??? Lol. I will hug my wife and cuddle my 4 pets. Probably send my mom, mother in law, and stepmom all lovely messages. Along with my 5 nieces and nephews and my daughter and soon to be second daughter. You go Phil. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Really, I don’t understand why, of all things in the world, a weather forum needs to get so personal. Seriously people, let’s just appreciate what may or may not come and go with the flow. Trite platitude, but apt IMO 8 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 27, 2019 Report Share Posted December 27, 2019 Sir mix alot grew up about 15 miles from my house lol. I met him back in 1989 he was a cool guy. Also had about 15lbs of gold around his neck.Coolio. So that’s 15 miles from where you live now or where you grew up? 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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