Deweydog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Arctic air a notch or two further south in BC by Saturday morning.For the newbies: My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 That's bizarre. Clear positive splat test at my house in Everett this morning on the way to work.I experienced the same lumpy rain around 8AM this morning leaving Mukilteo en route to Tulalip for Cedar Basket Weaving, once I got down to DT Everett it was 5 degrees warmer than Boeing Freeway. Such is life in the PSCZ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Does anyone have the video captioned with forum members going over models? Would be a good instructional video for new members!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Does anyone have the video captioned with forum members going over models? Would be a good instructional video for new members!!Would love this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Arctic front about 50 mi further south by Sunday morning compared to 12z. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runninthruda206 Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Bellingham gets hammered Sunday wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Karate Kid III is on. It’s terrible but it was released in 1989. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Heavy snow with Arctic front. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Arctic front about 50 mi further south by Sunday morning compared to 12z. exactly the type of stuff you want to see leading up to a major event...timing sped up! 2 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Very pretty. Wow what a classic looking storm track. 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Middle finger to WA county as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Nice improvement with the track of the surface low on Sunday for a regional event. Could use a couple notches south but good trend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Wow so Sunday could be a lot snowier than we thought around the Seattle area. Maybe more than just a dusting to an inch with the Arctic front. 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Wow so Sunday could be a lot snowier than we thought around the Seattle area. Maybe more than just a dusting to an inch with the Arctic front. A good start to the new year and for the weeks ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 18z a good notch South with Sunday's system. Brings it about through Everett compared to Vancouver, BC on the 12z. Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 504 line down to Puget Sound by late Monday evening. Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 GFS just keeps getting colder. It'll stop getting colder eventually...right? Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 18z a good notch South with Sunday's system. Brings it about through Everett compared to Vancouver, BC on the 12z.Going to take a track about like November 2010 i bet. Maybe further south. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 This run is looking more like the 6z. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 The arctic front/backwash behind the low Sunday is exactly the type of system models struggle immensely with. I would bet on there being more moisture around in that airmass Sunday evening than modeled rather than less. 4 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I'm extremely looking forward to Sunday. High temp of 47 at Noon in Seattle and by 2PM it's already 30 degrees. 17 degree drop in 2 hours! Then add this baby into the mix and it promises to be a dynamic, exciting day. Just to keep it real... the ice box 12Z ECMWF showed temps still above freezing for the Seattle area at 10 p.m. on Sunday night and the wind still from the SW. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 This run is looking more like the 6z. Often the case for whatever reason. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Just to keep it real... the ice box 12Z ECMWF showed temps still above freezing for the Seattle area at 10 p.m. on Sunday night and the wind still from the SW.That's because it brought the low in much further North around Vancouver which delayed the cold by about 6-10 hours. Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Ungodly east side cold. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 That's because it brought the low in much further North around Vancouver which delayed the cold by about 6-10 hours. Right. And the 00Z GFS will likely shift north again. The 18Z and 06Z runs always seem to do these jumps... no idea why. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjb Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Does anyone have the video captioned with forum members going over models? Would be a good instructional video for new members!!that video is so frick'n funny !!! Iw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 The arctic front/backwash behind the low Sunday is exactly the type of system models struggle immensely with. I would bet on there being more moisture around in that airmass Sunday evening than modeled rather than less. Yeah, with an actual Arctic front crashing down the Sound, no way that snowfall map would be accurate for the Seattle area. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Right. And the 00Z GFS will likely shift north again. The 18Z and 06Z runs always seem to do these jumps... no idea why.More than likely it will strengthen a bit more than modeled and come in a bit further North rather than trend South unfortunately, I agree. Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Let's hope this low ends up near or a little farther south than being projected currently. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 8, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Wet snow falling this pleasant afternoon. Many will disagree, but this is my favorite type of snow. 2 Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 24 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Does have some striking similarities to November 2010. 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 that video is so frick'n funny !!! IwBig time, I am trying to find it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Right. And the 00Z GFS will likely shift north again. The 18Z and 06Z runs always seem to do these jumps... no idea why. if it does go further south then oh boy it's on. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Here comes big daddy for mid week We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Cold is definitely a couple notches less extreme this run than the 12z. Still amazing though. Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Midweek low looks like its a hair north of the 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Just to keep it real... the ice box 12Z ECMWF showed temps still above freezing for the Seattle area at 10 p.m. on Sunday night and the wind still from the SW. Question- Why after it was the straggler to come into line with the others, is the Euro now being used as a priority criterion for temperature forecasts? Wouldn't the others be more reasonable since they were onto the pattern first? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 18z definitely looking a little less intense down this way, more of a glancing blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Does have some striking similarities to November 2010. Considering that brought a high of 25 to SEA, it actually seems more than possible this air mass could pull off a high of 20. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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