luvssnow_spokane Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 The GFS is just in love with this solution of just spinning the low right off shore until it dissipates. Yeah been showing that sit a spin action for many runs now. Interesting. My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I honestly just want something for PDX, and the GFS and EURO look okay for that. I'm more about the stats for posterity. A 34/29 day with 4" of snow is fine, but an airmass that verifies at -14C 850mb temps with a 25/12 day would pump me up a lot more. If SLE measures an 850mb temp below -10C I will be happy. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 definitely nothing that will scoot the low level cold air out of here through day 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 GFS has no clue right now. Remember last week when it showed a stormy day for this Friday and the other models were actually dry that day? Goofy. I am planning on Friday being dry and beautiful. Dude that was last Friday. You can’t expect a model to be accurate a week out! Oh, wait... 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 The truth comes out!Holy crap. I had no idea. He only cares about Portland? Whaaaaaaat? **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 GFS has no clue right now. Remember last week when it showed a stormy day for this Friday and the other models were actually dry that day? Goofy. I am planning on Friday being dry and beautiful. You are saying we should trust the GFS? Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 8, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I agree on the wet snow. Looks more pretty when everything is plastered. It's also good for enjoying a nice downtown walk out there when the ground just looks like it rained. Big flakes coming down, best for both parties Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Can someone please post the Kuchera total snowfall? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 High temps in the low-mid teens on Tuesday and Wednesday. Lows in the single digits. Seattle bottoms out at a brutal 6 degrees Wednesday morning, and that's among the warmer temps. I have a hard time believing the -10F shown for Abbotsford and Langley. Even adding 10F to that would still qualify as historic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 The Uncle still delivers. It's all going to depend on the track of the low. Most areas should at least see snow before any changeover to ice. The potential is there for area(s) to get clobbered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Holy crap. I had no idea. He only cares about Portland? Whaaaaaaat? I mean, you only care about Seattle (To be specific, North Bend), no difference there. I want everyone to be hammered, but I mean everyone. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Having a nice little grapple/ hail shower. Ground getting white Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Having a nice little grapple/ hail shower. Ground getting white 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I mean, you only care about Seattle (To be specific, North Bend), no difference there. I want everyone to be hammered, but I mean everyone. Just teasing you... we all basically just care about what happens in our area. Except one particular person who has taken on the burden of being personally responsible for every tree within a 500 mile radius. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Here's through next Saturday morning... Beautiful. So much potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 8, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Here's through next Saturday morning... If central Deschutes county is 30-40" that should translate to at least a solid 2 feet for K-Falls... Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Beautiful. So much potentialPrelude to 1996 flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 You are saying we should trust the GFS? I has definitely been winning me over recently. I would not discount its solution with that low spinning offshore next week. I swear it showed the Friday storm for about 5 days before any other model. I was sure it would blink. I almost did a post comparing it to the ECMWF and was going to mock the GFS. And yet it will be coming in just like it showed... the only difference is that there will be a little less cold air available at the time than it showed originally. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 It's also good for enjoying a nice downtown walk out there when the ground just looks like it rained. Big flakes coming down, best for both parties That's good so you dont have to chain up during your walk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 27 years ago today it snowed a lot at my house. The next day I put my sweet ride in the ditch. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Here's through next Saturday morning... The Gorge east winds are going to be hungry next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 8, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 That's good so you dont have to chain up during your walk. Keeps down the number of crazy drivers we have in town as well. 1 Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I think, to be honest, that all areas maybe north of Salem have a very decent chance next week. Portland has the east winds to help it out... "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Snowing on highway 18 now... starting here as well. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post GHweatherChris Posted January 8, 2020 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Here it is! 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanNyberg Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Snowing on Hobart road out of Issaquah. 2 -------------------- Sean Nyberg IG: @SeanNyberg X: @SeanNyberg Facebook: Sean Nyberg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Snowing on highway 18 now... starting here as well.Happy Hemlocks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I has definitely been winning me over recently. I would not discount its solution with that low spinning offshore next week. I swear it showed the Friday storm for about 5 days before any other model. I was sure it would blink. I almost did a post comparing it to the ECMWF and was going to mock the GFS. And yet it will be coming in just like it showed... the only difference is that there will be a little less cold air available at the time than it showed originally. The new GFS is certainly impressing with this pattern so far but do we have any actual objective measures on its performance relative to the ECMWF since the FV3 went live? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 3" of snow at Cape Blanco over the next 2 weeks...that is all. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Looks like by the 14th the operational is about 1C warmer than the mean at PDX. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Going to be a long 4-5 hours until we start seeing some of the first 00z runs come in. Gonna be a long night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Yep i think i am heading to my cabin a few days. Looks like 35 below there is possible.Boil water and launch into air!!! bucket list item for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Here it is! Absolute. Brilliance. 3 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Tiger Orgasm.png GFS feels that the east winds will be quite unkind to the east PDX metro. Way less snow than basically anywhere else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 3" of snow at Cape Blanco over the next 2 weeks...that is all. Have you ever been to Cape Blanco? Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I’ll be heading up to Mt Hood Meadows soon. Will report on conditions if I can 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Coldest ensemble mean yet at PDX by a whisker. -13.0C 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Have you ever been to Cape Blanco? One of my favorite places to go. Been twice. I think it's only had measurable snow a handful of times. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Coldest ensemble mean yet at PDX by a whisker. -13.0C Mean even bottoms out at -10C here. That's almost unheard of. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts