Part II- January 2020 Obs and Discussion

[Weiner Warrior]

I'm laughing

[GHweatherChris]

Finally, moderate snow falling and sticking immediately!

[El_Nina]

Coldest low is still 22 set back in October. I dont think that's changing

[Front Ranger]

Sad but possible. Would also validate my call that this winter would be a dud in general. I guess February could save us again, but chances seem slim.

Aren't you getting a bunch of snow? Slightly more than Jan 2005?

[Front Ranger]

iFred. Is that you?!

Member since Jan 2014...hmmm.

[Front Ranger]

Kmartin disappeared as fast as the Thursday low!

[Deweydog]

The main event of the winter so far for the PNW is obviously happening this week.

 

MLK was a closer call...

Sure. But it depends on your perspective. On the micro level you’re going to have a tonight time convincing anyone south of XXXXX (undetermined as of yet) had any real redeeming qualities. November produced temps down near 20 and snow.

 

For that “event” to even be in the game as potentially the “highlight” of the winter for a large portion of the region is pretty compelling.

 

We’ll see, but the clock is ticking!

[wxmet]

Wouldn't worry about the current hole over Seattle. It will fill. 

[Front Ranger]

Sure. But it depends on your perspective. On the micro level you’re going to have a tonight time convincing anyone south of XXXXX (undetermined as of yet) had any real redeeming qualities. November produced temps down near 20 and snow.

 

For that “event” to even be in the game as potentially the “highlight” of the winter for a large portion of the region is pretty compelling.

 

We’ll see, but the clock is ticking!

Just a bit more regional snowfall happening this week. Some would say that matters more than cold mornings that warm into the low 40s.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Aren't you getting a bunch of snow? Slightly more than Jan 2005?

 

I wouldn't say a bunch. 3.3" today. Which is very nice I will not complain. Up to 4.8" on the season. 

 

Looks like more snow is moving in. I will be sitting out on the porch to enjoy it. 

[Weiner Warrior]

I gotta admit... you all were talking on that Kevin guy and how crazy he was so I signed up last year and was going to pretend to be him. Then i got interested in the comments and was stuck with this shitty name! Made me laugh when his name popped up there!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just a bit more regional snowfall happening this week. Some would say that matters more than cold mornings that warm into the low 40s.

 

My favorite I-5 station was 34/21 on 11/30/19.

[Requiem]

It's just weather. Don't know why I got so emotionally invested. Nice to take a step back and see things from a different perspective. I think I might have piled on my everyday life stress onto something I can't even control-- which is never a good thing.

 

...also was that Kevin Martin?

[Front Ranger]

[GHweatherChris]

Dang, that was a quick 1/4 of snowfall, heavy at one point.

[Dave]

I've got a very positive splat test here. Best results of the season for me so far.

[Deweydog]

It's just weather. Don't know why I got so emotionally invested. Nice to take a step back and see things from a different perspective.

 

...also was that Kevin Martin?

There’s nothing wrong with it and it’s nothing to be ashamed of. We all fall in love with the chase, but the chase can be pretty draining even when it pays off. At the end of the day these kinds of whiffs make the home runs that much sweeter. And there are home runs to come. Maybe not this year or next, but they’re out there.

[runninthruda206]

Wouldn't worry about the current hole over Seattle. It will fill.

U better be right

[Cloud]

Good to see radar starting to fill in that hole. Hope this keeps up. 

[Chewbacca Defense]

No more north wind on the ECMWF for the next 10 days after early tomorrow morning for the Seattle area.

 

Outflow hangs on up there until Wednesday evening.   By Thursday morning... its done up there as well and its into the 40s.   Maybe my parents will be able to leave their house and get down their hill... which would be good because my dad just had major surgery.

 

 

 

But the air mass cools down again on Friday into Saturday... enough for some lowland snow in places despite the lack of Fraser outflow.   Its a pretty weak warm up.   

Bummer about your dad, hopefully he has a quick recovery. I’m trying to remember, aren’t they in the Tweed Twenty area?  Might be getting mixed up with someone else, seems like a lot of folks on this forum have Bellingham ties...anyway if they are they are near me.  If they need anything from the store or a prescription picked up shoot me a message.  I’ve been able to get around up here just fine despite all the ice, and I work down by Barkley Village/Haggen so it would be easy enough to help out.

[ShawniganLake]

A few stations in BC are taking a run at -50F tonight. Puntzi mountain already down to -45F.

 

Looks like it might be close to -40 at out cabin in the south cariboo area.

[Deweydog]

Where’s my EPS crack???

[GHweatherChris]

Wow, 1/2 inch new now, this cell is ripping!!

[Requiem]

Reinvention is fun too. With the death of a snow event I thought I'd make a username easier to remember.

 

Also I'm surprised, I know the history of Kevin Martin and all but wasn't he an admin on here at some point?

[GHweatherChris]

Roads are now covered!

[ShawniganLake]

NAM ALERT.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Roads are now covered!

 

Sometimes it pays to stay up. 

[wxmet]

Looks like some heavier activity is penetrating deeper inland...Let's hope they continue as they round the Olympics.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

06z nam looks very snowy Olympia northward next 30 hrs.

[Timmy]

Reinvention is fun too. With the death of a snow event I thought I'd make a username easier to remember.

 

Also I'm surprised, I know the history of Kevin Martin and all but wasn't he an admin on here at some point?

not an admin. More like a crazy person who sold his forecasts somehow and pops up in the news from time to time not in a good way. There are many here more well versed in KMart than I tho.

[Timmy]

06z nam looks very snowy Olympia northward next 30 hrs.

yeah some strong deformation looks like.

[Requiem]

not an admin. More like a crazy person who sold his forecasts somehow and pops up in the news from time to time not in a good way. There are many here more well versed in KMart than I tho.

 

I spent a little time on the Weather West blog (California weather) and he's been banned from there too. Tried to pitch his forecasts to me once (I think he was predicting supercell thunderstorms over PDX in late October). Kinda crazy, not gonna lie.

[Timmy]

I spent a little time on the Weather West blog (California weather) and he's been banned from there too. Tried to pitch his forecasts to me once (I think he was predicting supercell thunderstorms over PDX in late October). Kinda crazy, not gonna lie.

sounds like him

[Deweydog]

That up there could seriously catch some people off guard.

[GHweatherChris]

Sometimes it pays to stay up.

The potential stayed in play.

[Requiem]

That s**t up there could seriously catch some people off guard.

 

May be something of a repeat of last February's first snow event up there (think it was the 3rd). Lots of widespread 5-8 inch totals with low forecasted amounts.

[Deweydog]

May be something of a repeat of last February's first snow event up there (think it was the 3rd). Lots of widespread 5-8 inch totals with low forecasted amounts.

Well this would be a completely different set up.

[Cloud]

NAM. 

 

[GHweatherChris]

1.5" of snow for 1/13, 2.00" WTD.

[bainbridgekid]

Been getting on and off light snow here at 26 degrees the last couple hours and have about a half inch new. Roads are as icy as I've ever seen them.

I'm thinking a fairly widespread 2-4" is pretty likely between now and tomorrow afternoon from Olympia through Everett and another 2-4" tomorrow night from about North Seattle through Bellingham.